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Latest Update and Provisional Programme

(Updated 20 November 1998)

12th AUSTRALIA NEW ZEALAND CLIMATE FORUM

Kingswood College, University of Western Australia, Perth

Monday 30 November to Wednesday 2 December 1998

 

PLEASE NOTE: Registrations for the 12th Australia New Zealand Climate Forum have now closed. This update includes the provisional programme and some additional new information. It also includes pricing details and registration forms, which are being kept on the web until the conclusion of the Forum for the convenience of any delegates who may wish to refer back to them.

 

 

The Australia New Zealand Climate Forum is a gathering of researchers and other people working in climate and associated areas. It is held usually every year, at different sites around Australia and New Zealand. This year, for the first time, the Forum will be in Western Australia, where it will be hosted by a number of organisations keenly active in climate and its applications.

The theme of the Forum is

UNDERSTANDING CLIMATE AND ITS REGIONAL IMPACTS

Including

  • Regional climate variability
  • Impacts on primary industry
  • Impacts on other industry
  • Impacts on water resources
  • Impacts on the broader environment

Participation is certainly not limited to Australians and New Zealanders or to people working in those countries. Input on relevant work from elsewhere in the Indian and Pacific Ocean regions is particularly welcome. The Forum traditionally provides a valuable opportunity for an exchange of information on a wide range of climate-related work. There is a strong emphasis on work in progress as well as recently completed work.

 

IOCI 98

The timing of the Forum has been chosen to follow directly after IOCI 98, the Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Seminar and Workshop. Some people will wish to attend both events. To some extent the Forum theme is also designed to complement the subject matter of IOCI 98.

The IOCI is a five-year strategy established by the Western Australian Government to develop more effective interseasonal climate forecasting and improve understanding of climate variability in the Australian south-west. Coordinated research is being conducted by CSIRO Divisions in Perth and Melbourne and by BMRC. The strategy is designed to seed and foster research specific to the region and, importantly, research that is relevant to other regions that are potentially affected by the Indian or Southern Oceans. The initiative will be of major economic significance to climate-dependent industries and natural resource management.

The Seminar and Workshop, to be held in Perth on Thursday and Friday 26-27 November 1998, will examine the state of our knowledge towards the end of the first year's research. Among the speakers will be principal investigators from the three research bodies along with other experts in areas of climate and its applications.

The Friday morning of the Workshop will be a closed session for a limited number of invitees. This will give other visitors an opportunity to get out and about in Perth and Fremantle and do a little sightseeing or shopping.

 

Weekend South-west Tour

On the weekend of 28-29 November arrangements have been made for a climate-related tour in WA's beautiful South-west for Forum delegates, IOCI 98 delegates, partners and friends. It is planned to take in some of the world-famous forest areas, vineyards, coastal scenery and caves and to visit one or two features of meteorological and climatological interest along the way.

The cost of the tour is $230.00 (twin-share), including travel, entrance fees, one night’s accommodation, breakfast, dinner and two lunches, but not including all drinks and snacks.

 

The Forum Venue

Perth is a modern city of 1.3 million people, situated on the Swan River and extending to the lower west coast of Western Australia. The average daily maximum temperature at the start of December is about 26°C, the average minimum is about 14°C and rain is recorded only about one day in six. Perth’s mean rainfall in November is 22 mm (median 17 mm) and in December only 14 mm (median 10 mm).

Perth is served by many flights per day connecting to all of the major Australian cities, as well as a large number of international connections. The domestic airport terminal is some 12 km east of the city centre and the international terminal about 19 km. The Forum will finish just before lunch on Wednesday 2 December.

The Forum will be held at the Kingswood College Specialist Training and Conference Centre, a superb facility centrally located and set in tree lined grounds, some 6 km west of the city centre, adjacent to the University of Western Australia and only a short stroll from the beautiful river foreshore area. Buses and taxis are available outside the main entrance and there is ample car parking. For those delegates coming early to attend IOCI 98, the venue for that event is about 6 km from Kingswood College.

 

Organisation

The Forum will be convened by a Committee consisting of Mr John Cramb (Bureau of Meteorology, Western Australia), Dr Ian Foster (Agriculture Western Australia) and Dr Charitha Pattiaratchi (Centre for Water Research, University of Western Australia), in collaboration with the IOCI Panel.

 

Scientific programme

There will be a full scientific programme, with 39 papers planned for oral presentation over the two-and-a-half days and an expected 14 poster papers. Twenty-five minutes will be allocated for each oral paper, including five minutes for question time and discussion. The latest Provisional Programme has now been posted.

 

Other Forum Events

In addition to the scientific agenda the Forum programme will include a welcome barbecue at Kingswood College on Sunday 29 November commencing at 6.30 pm, and the Forum Dinner which will be held at Perth Zoo Function Centre on Tuesday evening 1 December, with pre-dinner drinks commencing at 7.00 pm. A bus has been arranged to transport delegates between Kingswood College and the Function Centre, departing at 6.45 pm and commencing the return journey soon after 10.30 pm.

No formal activities are planned for the Monday evening. However, arrangements have been made for a bus to take any interested delegates down to Fremantle for a leisurely meal and a look around.  There are also a number of restaurants and cafes within easy walking distance of Kingswood and a lot wider range a short drive away.

 

Costs

Please note again that registrations for the Forum have closed.

The Forum facilities and accommodation have been chosen for convenience and comfort but also with recognition of the needs of delegates wishing to keep costs down.

Accommodation costs (bed and breakfast)

The charge for a motel style guest room is $70 per night single or $75 shared. For flatette accommodation the charge is $75 per night single or $80 shared. A townhouse (one double room, one twin and one single) costs $120 per night. The charge per night for a student room is $45.

Therefore, to give a few examples, the costs for a delegate staying three nights would be:

Single delegate staying in motel style guest room $210.00
Delegate sharing twin or double motel style guest room $112.50
Single delegate staying in student room $135.00
Delegate sharing townhouse with three others $  90.00

The same rates apply for delegates arriving early to attend IOCI 98.

Registration and other costs

The fee for full registration is $150, reduced to $100 for full-time tertiary students. Included in this are two lunches, five morning and afternoon teas and the book of abstracts. The cost for delegates attending just one day is $75, which also includes lunch, morning and afternoon tea and the book of abstracts. There is no student discount to the one-day rate, or to the rates for evening functions and accommodation.

Kingswood College can cater for special dietary requirements. Please advise of any such requirements when registering.

The charge for the Sunday evening welcome barbecue is $25 (drinks extra). The Forum Dinner will cost $55, including pre-dinner drinks and savouries, a sumptuous meal and a limited number of drinks per table.

A total payment of $230 will therefore cover full registration and both official evening events.

Please note that airport transfers will be left to delegates themselves. Taxis are readily available at the airport terminals. From the domestic terminal there are also buses that stop just outside Kingswood College. The numbers are 200, 201, 202 and 208, but please check in case of any late changes. It should be noted that these buses tend not to outpace the taxis, and that they run less frequently in the evening hours and not at all after about 6.40 pm on a Sunday.

 

To Register for the Forum

Note again that registrations have closed. The following information is being kept on the web until the conclusion of the Forum for the convenience of delegates who may wish to refer back to it.

To register for the Forum please complete a copy of the Registration Form and forward it with your full payment to reach the address indicated by 30 October 1998. Registrations for the Forum will not be accepted after this date.

All payments must be in Australian currency. Payment by credit card is preferred, but please note that the only cards accepted are those listed on the registration form. Cheques should be made payable to 'CPM Bureau of Meteorology'.

If you are a full-time tertiary student wishing to claim the reduction to the registration fee, please mark that fact clearly on the form. Also provide on the form the name and contact details of a supervisor or some other available referee on the staff of your university.

Please note that there is a limit to the number of registrations that can be accepted.

 

To Book Accommodation

Accommodation must be booked in advance by forwarding a completed copy of the Accommodation Request Form to Kingswood CollegeANZ, accompanied by a deposit equal to one night's accommodation. The closing date is the same as for registration, 30 October 1998.

 

Commercial Exhibits

Delegates will be interested in a small number of commercial exhibits on display at the Forum. Any other potential exhibitors are requested to express their interest by 30 October by contacting the Organising Committee at

climanz@bom.gov.au

 

Provisional Programme

The following is the provisional programme as at 19 November.

 

Monday 30 November
0800-0830 Registration
0830-1000 Opening Session      Chair: Len Broadbridge
0830 Welcome and Official Opening
0900 Keynote Address:  Data, perceptions and misconceptions.  Dr Joseph Gentilli AO, Department of Geography, University of WA

0930 Keynote Address:  Scientific rigour amidst political correctness.  Dr Brian O'Brien, Brian J O'Brien & Assoc. P/L, Floreat Park WA

1000-1020 Coffee
1020-1225 Climate and the Oceans      Chair: Chari Pattiaratchi
1020 Variation of the Indian Ocean and seasonal climate in Australia.  Gary Meyers

1045 Forecasting Indian Ocean SST: the benefits of blending models and data.  Peter McIntosh

1110 Modelling Interannual Variability in the Indian Ocean. Andreas Schiller

1135 South-west Western Australian winter rainfall and its association with Indian Ocean climate variability. I.N. Smith, P. McIntosh, T.J. Ansell, C. Reason and K. McInnes

1200 On IntraSeasonal Oscillations and Tidal Mixing – two phenomena affecting Australian climate. Stuart Godfrey

1225-1335 Lunch and posters
1335-1515 Climate Variability      Chair: Mary Voice
1335 The Indian Ocean Climate Initiative A WA initiated partnership to foster research in climate variability and development in seasonal forecasting affected by the Indian and Southern Oceans.  Brian Sadler

 

 

1400 An investigation into climate variability and predictability for south-western Australia.  L.E. Chambers, D.A. Jones, W. Drosdowsky, M. Haylock, C. Frederiksen and N. Nicholls

1425 Decadal Climate Variability in Australia during the 20th Century.  Scott Power, F. Tseitkin, V. Mehta, B. Lavery, S. Torok and N. Holbrook

1450 Trends In The Incidence Of Drought Exceptional Circumstances In NSW.  Harpal Mavi and John Crichton

1515-1535 Tea
1535-1715 Climate Variability      Chair: Gary Meyers
1535 Recent Changes in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Stratospheric Circulation.  Kohji Kawahira

1600 The Semiannual Oscillation in surface pressure in southern latitudes.  David J. Walland

1625 Climate ups and downs in the twentieth century.  William J. Wright

1650 Variations of cyclonicity across the Australian region and links with rainfall for the period 1965-1993.  R.M. Leighton, K. Keay and I. Simmonds

1715-1800 Poster Session
1830 Bus departs for Fremantle (for those interested)

 

Tuesday 1 December
0830-1010 Climate and Agriculture      Chair: Ian Foster
0830 Challenges for Climate Applications Research.  Barry White

0855 Impacts of seasonal climate forecasting on primary producers in regional Queensland.  P. Hastings and D.B. O'Sullivan

0920 The Regional Impact of Climate on Grain Production in Western Australia.  David J. Stephens

0945 A Summary of evaluations from participant surveys following Workshops and Information Sessions (on the topic of 'Agriculture – Coping in a Variable Climate').  David George, David Buckley and Paul Carberry

1010-1030 Coffee
1030-1235 Climate and Agriculture      Chair: Doug Abrecht
1030 Survey of Agricultural Climate Research, Development and Services in Australia.  Graeme J. Tupper, Harpal S. Mavi and David H. White

1055 Climate Extension in Regional Queensland.  Jacqueline Balston, Veronica Chapman and Col Paull

1120 The application of climate data to aid decisions on farm fodder reserves; a methodology to cope with climatic changes and variability.  David Buckley

1145 Climate Risk Management in low rainfall environments of SA and WA.  Melissa Truscott, Jim Egan, Doug Abrecht, David Tennant, Gary McKenzie and Jacqueline Balston

1210 Application of Climate Research – South Queensland.   Ross Ballin

1235-1335 Lunch and posters
1335-1450 Climate and Water Resources      Chair: Bryson Bates
1335 Methods of sensitivity analysis to assess impacts of climate change on water resources at the regional scale.  Chris de Freitas

1400 Estimation of regional evapotranspiration through remote sensing.  Fuqin Li and T.J. Lyons

1425 Does seasonal forecasting help individual water users make better decisions? – Feedback from the Rainman Streamflow Project case studies.  Lamond Graham and Mark Wheeler

 

 

1450-1525 Poster Session
1525-1545 Tea and posters
1545-1725 Understanding Climate: Analysis and Techniques      Chair: Chris de Freitas
1545 Redefining wetness by dryness: the duration and extent of the north Australian monsoon.  Richard Heerdegen and Garry Cook

1610 Downscaling: An attempt to reconstruct local Australian temperature using large scale predictors.  B. Timbal and B.J. McAvaney

1635 An assessment of the standard approach in the calculation of monthly climate averages and 30-year climatological normals.  Yuriy Kuleshov and Kelvin Wong

1700 A modification of Köppen's climate classification scheme.   Harvey Stern, Graham de Hoedt and Jeneanne Ernst

1845 Bus departs for Perth Zoo Function Centre for Forum Dinner
1900 Pre-dinner drinks
1930 Forum Dinner

 

Wednesday 2 December
0830-1010 Data, Decision Support and Mesoscale Climate      Chair: Jacqui Willcocks
0830 Implementing The National Benchmark Network for Agrometeorology (NBNA).  R.K. Stringer

0855 AUSTRALIAN RAINMAN Version 3 – a new window of opportunities to manage climate variability.  N.M. Clarkson, D.G. Abrecht and J.F. Clewett

0920 Use of SILO data for analysing and monitoring regional climate impacts.  C. Mullen and A. Beswick

0945 Climatic considerations for olive orchard site selection using SILO data and climate change scenarios.  A. Beswick, K. Moodie, S.J. Crimp, S. Jeffrey, C. Mullen and S. Sweeney

 

 

1010-1030 Coffee
1030-1210 Data, Decision Support and Mesoscale Climate      Chair: Barry White
1030 Using the Internet to find out what climate data the Bureau of Meteorology holds, and plans for providing access to data.  Leanne Hollis

1055 DroughtPlan CD – Decision support to help manage drought in grazing systems.  David H. Cobon, Greg K. Pinington, Melissa Crowther, Ian J. Partridge and Jeff F. Clewett

 

 

1120 A Wind Climatology of Sydney Harbour for the Olympic Games.   Elly Spark

1145 Influences of synoptic activity, wind and cloud on Melbourne's urban heat island.  Jon Morris

1210-1240 Summary, and Location of next ANZ Climate Forum.   Mary Voice
1240-1245 Farewell and Close.  Len Broadbridge

 

POSTER PAPERS

Seasonal streamflow forecasts to improve management of water resources.  N.M. Clarkson

CLIMARC – a project to extend the computerised Australian climate archives.  N.M. Clarkson and R.L. Hutchinson

The impact of the SOI on the production and profit of wool growing enterprises in western Queensland.  David H. Cobon
Modelling soil waterlogging frequency in the agricultural areas of Western Australia.  Ian Foster and Greg Hamilton
Assessing Seasonal Conditions in Pastoral Regions – The Aussie GRASS Project.  Colin J. Paull, Alan Peacock and Wayne Hall

Synoptic climatology of fog at Melbourne Airport.  Harvey Stern and Kevin Parkyn

Predictions of Australian wheat yields in 1997 and 1998 using climate forecast systems derived from Pacific Ocean indicators.  R. C. Stone and H. Meinke (Presented by A. A. J. Williams)

An updated look at aspects of rainfall trends and variability in the south-west of Western Australia.  Roger Tapp

The Influence of Eastern Indian Ocean Variability on Perth Rainfall.  Nicola Telcik and Charitha Pattiaratchi

Managing climate variability.  Melissa Truscott, Jim Egan, Doug Abrecht, David Tennant, Gary McKenzie and Jacqui Balston

WMO Climate of the 20th Century Project.  Mary Voice

The effect of severe frosts in the Western Australian wheatbelt, September 1998.  Craig White

The Indonesian Throughflow as it enters the Southeast Indian Ocean.  Susan Wijffels, Janet Sprintall, Jackson Chong, Nan Bray

Chances of Frost: Getting SOI phase and minimum temperature probability information to primary producers.  J.R. Willcocks

 

 


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