BMRC - WGNE
WORKSHOP ON SYSTEMATIC ERRORS
Bureau of Meteorology (5th floor conference suite)
150 Lonsdale St Melbourne Vic., AUSTRALIA
Monday 16 to Friday 20 October 2000
PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME
Monday 16 October 2000
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 0900 | Opening formalities, including welcome by Dr Mike Manton (Chief, BMRC) | ||
| 0915 | "Systematic errors: the good, the bad and the ugly": Martin Miller | Martin Miller, (Chair, Workshop Scientific Committee) | P. 110 (abstract only) |
| 1000 |
"Systematic errors in mean fields of GCMs" (invited paper): Karl E. Taylor, Charles Doutriaux, Peter Gleckler and Krishna AchutaRao |
Karl Taylor | p. 238 (abstract only) |
| 1045 |
COFFEE |
SESSION 1: CIRCULATION AND STRUCTURE
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 1115 | "The impact of increased vertical resolution on the representation of temperature and water vapour in the Hadley Centre Climate Model": V.D. Pope, D.R. Jackson, J.A. Pamment and A. Slingo | Vicky Pope | p. 139 |
| 1140 | "Do climate models converge and systematic errors decrease on increasing horizontal resolution?" : R.A. Stratton and V.D. Pope | Rachel Stratton | p. 233 |
| 1205 | "Sensitivity of systematic errors to the numerical approximation of the dynamical core": David L. Williamson | Dave Williamson | p. 273 |
| 1230 | "Systematic errors in ECHAM4 and their dependence on horizontal resolution" : Erich Roeckner and Adrian M. Tompkins | Erich Roeckner | -------- |
| 1255 |
LUNCH |
||
| 1415 | "Systematic errors found in GRIPS": G. Roff, S. Pawson, U. Langematz, K. Hamilton, A.A. Scaife, T. Horinouchi and R.J. Wilson | Greg Roff | p. 167 |
| 1450 | "The Northern Hemisphere storm tracks in HadAM3: systematic errors and their sensitivity to the representation of the Rockies": Leonard Shaffrey | Len Shaffrey | p. 185 |
| 1515 | "Systematic errors in reanalysis products and their effect on diagnosed variability over the Southern Ocean": Ian Simmonds | Ian Simmonds | p. 201 |
| 1540 |
COFFEE |
||
| 1610 | "Systematic Errors in a regional climate model": Jack J. Katzfey | Jack Katzfey | p. 87 |
| 1635 | "ECMWF and MRF error structures over the Southern Hemisphere": James A. Renwick and Craig S. Thompson | Jim Renwick | p. 153 |
| 1700 | Discussion | ||
| 1730 |
ICE-BREAKER ... sponsored by NEC (Australia) |
Tuesday 17 October 2000
SESSION 2: TROPICS AND VARIABILITY
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 0900 | "Weather and climate: evaluating systematic errors in temporal and spatial variability" (invited paper): Julia Slingo | Julia Slingo | p. 213 |
| 0945 | "Systematic error associated with active episodes of the Madden-Julian Oscillation": Harry Hendon | Harry Hendon | p. 67 |
| 1010 | "STOIC: an assessment of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions": M.K. Davey, K.R. Sperber and M. Huddleston | Mike Davey | p. 41 |
| 1035 |
COFFEE |
||
| 1100 | "Systematic errors in the climate variability of GCMs with different ocean specifications": Ian G. Watterson | Ian Watterson | p. 245 |
| 1125 | "ENSO simulation in CGCMs and the associated errors in atmospheric response": Krishna AchutaRao, Kenneth R. Sperber and the CMIP modelling groups | Krishna AchutaRao | p. 1 |
| 1150 | "Systematic errors in tropical cyclone predictions at JMA": Hiroshi Mino, Masashi Nagata, Ken-ichi Kuma and Hiroshi Sasaki | Ken-ichi Kuma | p. 117 |
| 1215 | "Reduction in systematic errors in the UCLA atmospheric GCM and its impact on coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM simulations of seasonal cycle and interannual variability": Jin-Yi Yu, Carlos R. Mechoso and Akio Arakawa | Jin-Yi Yu | p. 277 |
| 1240 |
LUNCH |
||
| 1400 | "Systematic errors in AGCM and OGCM used at COLA": J. Shukla | J. Shukla | p. 195 (abstract only) |
| 1445 | "Systematic model error and seasonal predictability of the Asian summer monsoon": K.R. Sperber, C. Brankovic, M. Deque et al. | Ken Sperber | p. 229 |
| 1510 |
COFFEE |
||
| 1540 | General workshop discussion | Discussion leaders to be advised | |
| 1630 | Poster Session |
Wednesday 18 October 2000
SESSION 3: FLUXES
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 0900 | "Evaluation of climate model simulations of the radiation budget and clouds using satellite and other data" (invited paper): A. Slingo, R.P. Allan and M.A. Ringer | Tony Slingo | p. 205 |
| 0945 | "Systematic errors in GCM radiative fluxes inferred from ground observations": Martin Wild | Martin Wild | p. 269 |
| 1010 | "Validating climate model cloud forcing: progress and prospects": Gerald L. Potter | Jerry Potter | p. 145 |
| 1035 |
COFFEE |
||
| 1100 | "A review of air-sea fluxes derived from GCMs" (invited paper): Peter Gleckler | Peter Gleckler | p. 65 (abstract only) |
| 1145 | "Using moored buoy measurements to quantify errors of surface flux products from ECMWF and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses": Lisan Yu, Robert A. Weller and Steven P. Anderson | Lisan Yu | p. 281 (abstract only) |
| 1210 | "GCM simulations of atmospheric fields affecting air-sea-ice coupling in the Arctic": Vladimir M. Kattsov, Veronika Govorkova et al. | Vladimir Kattsov | P. 79 |
| 1235 |
LUNCH |
||
| 1400 | "Turbulent flux errors in GCMs": R. Sheppard and M. Wild | Andreas Roesch | p. 191 |
| 1425 | "Characterising systematic errors in quantitative precipitation forecasts": Elizabeth Ebert and John McBride | Beth Ebert | p. 53 |
| 1450 | Discussion | ||
| 1505 |
COFFEE |
SESSION 4: ALTERNATIVE
METHODS AND DIAGNOSIS
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 1530 | "A proposal for non-local stochastic-dynamic parametrisation in weather and climate prediction models" (invited paper): T.N. Palmer | Tim Palmer | p. 137 (abstract only) |
| 1615 | "Model drifts induced by noise": Prashant Sardeshmukh, Cecile Penland and Matthew Newman | Prashant Sardeshmukh | p. 179 (abstract only) |
| 1640 | "Diagnosis of systematic errors dependent on flow pattern": L. Ferranti, E. Klinker, A. Hollingsworth and B.J. Hoskins | Laura Ferranti | p. 57 |
| 1705 | "Discrimination between the systematic errors due to the atmospheric circulation and those due to the local physical parameterizations": M. Deque, A. Guldberg, S. Yang and E. Kaas | Michel Deque | p. 49 |
| 1730 | "Systematic errors in AMIP II GCM integrations determined by feature-based analysis methods": K.I. Hodges and J. Boyle | Kevin Hodges | P. 71 |
| 1930 |
CONFERENCE DINNER The dinner will be held at the Pumphouse Hotel, 128 Nicholson St., Fitzroy from 7.30pm. Prices are very reasonable with most main courses costing less than $20. Because of the potentially large numbers involved we would like you to inform the Workshop organisers of your intention to attend the dinner before lunch time on Tuesday. Further details including a location map will be available in your Workshop "information satchel". |
Thursday 19 October 2000
SESSION 4: ALTERNATIVE METHODS AND DIAGNOSIS (continued)
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 0900 | "Diagnosis of systematic initial tendency errors in the ECHAM AGCM using slow normal mode data assimilation of ECMWF reanalysis data": Bennert Machenhauer and Ingo Kirchner | Bennert Machenhauer | P. 95 |
| 0925 | "Estimation and correction of model errors by means of data assimilation": Dick Dee | Dick Dee | p. 45 |
| 0950 | "ENM diagnostic study of the GEM model's dynamical core": Ayrton Zedra, Gilbert Brunet, Jacques Derome and Bernard Dugas | Bernard Dugas | p. 283 |
| 1015 | "The effects of eddy diffusion on the climate of an AGCM": Jorgen Frederiksen, Martin Dix and Antony Davies | Jorgen Frederiksen | p. 61 |
| 1040 | Discussion | ||
| 1055 |
COFFEE |
SESSION 5: PHYSICAL PROCESSES
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 1115 | "Systematic errors in the NCEP operational analysis/forecast system" (invited paper): Glenn H. White, K. Campana, R. Kistler et al. | Glenn White | p. 255 |
| 1200 | "Diagnosing the source of systematic errors in the U.K. Met. Office Global NWP model": Sean Milton, David Cameron and Ian Culverwell | Sean Milton | p. 111 |
| 1225 | "Role of moist convection parameterization technique on systematic biases in climate simulations": James J. Hack | Jim Hack | p. 66 |
| 1250 |
LUNCH |
||
| 1400 | "Understanding the climate of the maritime continent and its influence on the global circulation": R.B. Neale and J.M. Slingo | Richard Neale | P. 133 |
| 1425 | "Aqua-planet experiments as an AGCM intercomparison": R.B. Neale and B.J. Hoskins | Richard Neale | p. 125 |
| 1450 | "Validation of the temporal variation of cloud imagery derived from a global NWP model": Lawrie Rikus and Murry L. Salby | Lawrie Rikus | p. 157 |
| 1515 |
COFFEE |
||
| 1530 | "Seasonal climate prediction at CPC and model systematic error": Jae-Kyung E. Schemm and Masao Kanamitsu | Jae-Kyung Schemm | p. 181 |
| 1555 | "The systematic errors of the LSM of the MRI/JMA98": Masahiro Hosaka and Tosiyuki Nakaegawa | Masahiro Hosaka | p. 76 |
| 1620 | Discussion | ||
| 1645 | Poster Session |
Friday 20 October 2000
| Time | Presentation title or other program detail | Presenter | Workshop publication reference |
| 0900 | "CMIP1 errors and ensembles": G.J. Boer and S.J. Lambert | George Boer | p. 9 |
| 0945 | "Evaluation of climate models: an IPCC perspective" (invited paper): Bryant J. McAvaney | Bryant McAvaney | p. 103 (abstract only) |
| 1030 |
COFFEE |
||
| 1100 | General workshop discussion and conclusion | Discussion leaders to be advised | |
| 1230 |
POSTERS (see programme details above: poster sessions will be held from 1630 on Tuesday and 1645 on Thursday):
| Poster title | Author(s) | Pre-print publication reference |
| Systematic errors in the 4d-Var analysis scheme | Francois Bouyssel | p. 17 |
| Predictability of KMA global spectral model in long-range weather forecasts | Young-Hwa Byun | p. 19 |
| Analysis of systematic errors af medium-range numerical forecasts and experiments on error correction | Chen Yi, Wang Jianjie and Shen Yuanfang | p. 25 |
| Analysis of the mid-latitude low-frequency variability ("weather regimes") in the 200-year control integration of the SINTEX model | Susanna Corti | p.31 |
| Errors in the representation of mid-latitude clouds in models | Jack J. Katzfey | p. 83 |
| The improvement of physical processes in the JMA global model and its impacts upon the systematic errors and NWP performances | Ken-ichi Kuma | p. 91 |
| Different measures of systematic errors on the ECHAM model | Ingo Kirchner and Bennert Machenhauer | - - - - |
| Systematic errors in simulation of tropical atmosphere and its interannual variability using different convection parameterizations | Valentin P. Meleshko, Stanislav V. Vavulin et al. | p. 105 |
| Aqua-planet experiments as an AGCM intercomparison | R.B. Neale and B.J. Hoskins | p. 125 |
| Tropical Atlantic basic state errors and the remote response to ENSO in a coupled GCM | R.B. Neale and J.M. Slingo | p. 129 |
| Systematic albedo errors in the ECHAM4 GCM | Andreas Roesch and Martin Wild | p. 162 |
| Evaluation of tropospheric humidity in AMIP II simulations | Rebecca Ross and Dian Gaffen | p. 175 |
| The North American monsoon and North Pacific subtropical anticyclone: the influence of the Mexican land surface | Leonard Shaffrey, Ri-Yu Lu and Brian Hoskins | p. 188 |
| Evaluation of ECMWF daily ocean surface forcing fields deduced from different forecasts to drive the PAM simulations | L. Siefridt, R. Bourdalle-Badie et al. | p. 197 |
| Climate skill and feedback assessments for three CSIRO GCMs | Ian G. Watterson | p. 239 |
| Adjoint sensitivity analyses of seasonal transitions with a Global Spectral Model | Min Wei | p. 249 |
| A comparison of surface fluxes from the NCEP global operational analysis/forecast system and the NCEP reanalyses | Glenn H. White, K. Campana and J. Janowiak | p. 255 |
The following are "possible posters":
| Poster title | Author(s) | Pre-print publication reference |
| CPTEC and NCEP model forecast drift over South America during the Southern Hemisphere summer | Jose Antonio Aravequia and Pedro L. Silva Dias | p. 5 |
| Systematic errors in a climatological simulation using the CPTEC/COLA AGCM | Iracema F.A. Cavalcanti, Jose A. Marengo et al. | p. 21 |
| Sensitivity of systematic errors to parameterization of physical processes | Someshwar Das, Swati Basu et al. | p. 35 |
| A way of error analysis of the ARPEGE model | C. Mares and Ileana Mares | p. 99 |
| Systematic errors in a GCM simulation of tropical rainfall due to moisture transport formulation | Ravi S. Nanjundiah | p. 121 |
| The impact of surface hydrology specification on systematic errors in the NCAR CCM2 simulation of tropical seasonal and intraseasonal variations | K. Rajendran, Ravi S. Nanjundiah and J. Srinivasan | p. 149 |
| ECMWF and MRF error structures over the Southern Ocean | James A. Renwick and Craig S. Thompson | p. 153 |
| Systematic errors in GCM simulations of inter-annual variability of the Asian monsoon | M.K. Soman, Sujata Mandke and V. Satyan | p. 223 |
| ENM diagnostic study of the GEM model's dynamical core | Ayrton Zadra, Gilbert Brunet, Jacques Derome and Bernard Dugas | p. 283 |