Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC)
WORKSHOP ON UNDERSTANDING THE CLIMATE OF AUSTRALIA AND THE INDO-PACIFIC REGION
14-16 November 2001
at the Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
The 2001 BMRC Modelling Workshop: Understanding the climate of Australia and the Indo-Pacific region, the thirteenth in the annual BMRC series, will be held from Wednesday 14 to Friday 16 November 2001, in the fifth floor conference suite, 150 Lonsdale St., Melbourne.
Keynote and other invited speakers will outline current research issues and understandings, using the various models as a basis. The primary aim of the meeting will be to address areas of research crucial to furthering our knowledge of the climate of the Australian continent as well as the broader Indo-Pacific region.
Papers will be presented on the following two themes:
The emphasis will be on studies using numerical simulation models; however, some papers will outline observational and theoretical techniques.
| WEDNESDAY 14 NOVEMBER 2001 | |
|---|---|
| 0830 | COFFEE |
| 0845 | Welcome (Mike Manton & John McBride) |
| CLIMATE VARIABILITY | |
| 0900 | Bryant J. McAvaney (BMRC) - "Climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere: An IPCC perspective." (Keynote presentation) |
| 0950 | David Karoly (Monash Univ.) - "Interannual and longer-term variations of Australian mean climate parameters from observations and model simulations." |
| 1015 | Mark Harvey (BMRC) - "An eddy diagnostic study of the Australasian region sub-tropical jet." |
| 1040 | COFFEE |
| CLIMATE VARIABILITY (continued) | |
| 1110 | Jorgen Frederiksen & Carsten Frederiksen (CSIRO Atmos. Research/BMRC) - "Instability theory of atmospheric disturbances." (Keynote presentation) |
| 1200 | Graham Mills (BMRC) - "Interannual variability of cool-season tornado environments." |
| 1225 | Noel Davidson (BMRC) & M. Prabowo (Monash Univ. and Met. & Geophys. Agency, Indonesia) - "Simulations of the onset of the Australian summer monsoon." |
| 1250 | LUNCH |
| CLIMATE VARIABILITY (continued) | |
| 1400 | Gerald Meehl (NCAR) - "The Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation." (Keynote presentation) |
| 1450 | Carsten Frederiksen and Xiaogu Zheng (BMRC/NIWA, NZ) - "Potentially predictable patterns of the Southern Hemisphere circulation and the role of SSTs." |
| 1515 | COFFEE |
| CLIMATE VARIABILITY (continued) | |
| 1545 | Neville Nicholls (BMRC) - "Deconstructing correlations: Using path analysis and structural equation modelling to infer causality." (Keynote presentation) |
| 1635 | Ian Simmonds, Kevin Keay and Harun A. Rashid (Univ. of Melbourne/Univ. of Chittagong) - "Links between Australian rainfall and regional synoptic activity." |
| 1700-1710 | Presentation to Ian Simmonds of inaugural Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society Award. |
| 1730 | 'ICE-BREAKER', SPONSORED BY NEC (AUSTRALIA) |
| THURSDAY 15 NOVEMBER 2001 | |
|---|---|
| 0815 | COFFEE |
| OCEANS AND CLIMATE | |
| 0830 | Neville Smith (BMRC) - "The role of the oceans in Australian and Southern Hemisphere climate." (Keynote presentation) |
| 0920 | Susan Wijffels & Gary Meyers (CSIRO Marine Research) - "Ocean temperature and transport variability in the Indonesian seas and southeastern Indian Ocean." |
| 0945 | Ruijin Hu & Stuart Godfrey (CSIRO Marine Research) - "Why does the inflow to the northern Indian Ocean come from so deep? Implications for Australian climate." |
| 1010 |
Ming Feng & Gary Meyers (CSIRO Marine Research) - "Interannual upper ocean
variability in the tropical Indian Ocean from extended EOF
analysis"
|
| 1035 | COFFEE |
|
OCEANS AND CLIMATE
(continued)
|
|
| 1110 | |
| 1110 |
MINI-WORKSHOP ON THE INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE (IOD): 1110: Prof. Toshio Yamagata (Univ. of Tokyo) and collaborators: "The role of the Indian Ocean Dipole and its impact on the surrounding climate." (Keynote presentation) 1200: N Nicholls: Is there an equatorial IOD, independent of the ENSO? 1220: H Hendon: Air-sea interaction in response to ENSO 1240: Discussion |
| 1250 | LUNCH |
| ENSO AND INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY | |
| 1400 |
Bin Wang and Soon Il An (International Pacific Research Center, Univ. of Hawaii) - "Pacesetter and regulator of ENSO: Effects of external forcing." (Keynote presentation) |
| 1450 | Scott Power, W. Wang (National Climate Centre), Rob Colman and Zhen-Jia Wu (BMRC) - "Interdecadal modulation of ENSO's impact on Australia." |
| 1515 | COFFEE |
| EL NINO - SOUTHERN OSCILLATION | |
| 1545 | Tony Hirst, Steve Wilson (CSIRO Atmos. Research), Ian Smith & Andreas Schiller (CSIRO Marine Research) - "Dynamical ENSO models - simple to GCM." (Keynote presentation) |
| 1635 | Zhen-Jia Wu, Rob Colman, Bryant McAvaney (BMRC), Scott Power and William Wang (NCC) - "The ENSO response in the BMRC coupled GCM." |
| 1700 | John McBride, Malcolm Haylock & Neville Nicholls (BMRC) - "Interactions between ENSO and the maritime continent heat source." |
| 1900 | WORKSHOP DINNER AT The Pumphouse Hotel, 128 Nicholson St., Fitzroy (MAIN COURSES ABOUT $20; EACH PERSON PAYS FOR THEIR OWN MEAL AND DRINKS) |
| FRIDAY 16 NOVEMBER 2001 | |
|---|---|
| 0815 | COFFEE |
| ENSO AND INTRA-SEASONAL VARIABILITY | |
| 0830 | David Anderson (ECMWF) - "MJO impact on ENSO prediction." (Keynote presentation) |
| 0920 | Matthew Wheeler and Harry Hendon (BMRC) - "Monitoring and predicting tropical intraseasonal variability at BMRC." |
| 0945 | Harry Hendon (BMRC) - "Modeling the warm pool response to the Madden-Julian Oscillation." |
| 1010 | Andreas Schiller & Stuart Godfrey (CSIRO Marine Research) - "Intraseasonal oscillations in an Ocean General Circulation Model." |
| 1035 | COFFEE |
| ENSO AND INTRA-SEASONAL VARIABILITY (Continued) | |
| 1110 | Mark Williams and John McBride (BoM Victoria/BMRC) - "Observations of equatorially trapped long waves around the three tropical heat sources." |
|
SEASONAL FORECASTING
| |
| 1135 | Guomin Wang, Oscar Alves, Neville Smith & Faina Tseitkin (BMRC) - "The new version of the BMRC coupled general circulation seasonal forecasting model." |
| 1200 | Oscar Alves (BMRC) - "Ocean initial conditions and ENSO forecasts." |
| 1225 |
Stuart Godfrey & Andreas Schiller (CSIRO Marine
Research) - "The comparison of mean and interannual
circulations in the tropical Pacific in two ocean models run with
identical wind forcing."
|
| 1250 | LUNCH |
| SEASONAL FORECASTING (Continued) | |
| 1400 | Bertrand Timbal (BMRC) - "Understanding large-scale forcing on Australian local climate." |
| 1425 | Jozef Syktus, Ian Smith, Jack Katzfey, John McGregor & Lisa Goddard (QDNR/ CAR/IRI) - "Dynamical downscaling of the seasonal climate forecast." |
| 1450 |
Xue Jishan (CMA) - "Seasonal forecasting with
dynamic models in China, and future plans."
|
| 1515 | COFFEE |
| SEASONAL FORECASTING (continued) | |
| 1545 | Huqiang Zhang & Carsten Frederiksen (BMRC) - "AGCM seasonal predictions: Lessons from the BMRC trial experiments during the 1997/98 ENSO event." |
| 1610 | DISCUSSION, FINAL REMARKS and CLOSE OF WORKSHOP (John McBride/ Mike Manton) |
For further information contact:
Dr John McBride (03-9669-4421, j.mcbride@bom.gov.au)
David Jasper (03-9669-4046, d.jasper@bom.gov.au)
or Phil Meighen (03-9669-4374, p.meighen@bom.gov.au).
Last updated 30 October 2001 by P. Meighen.