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BMRC is now part of CAWCR: The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research.
For more information on The Centre please go to http://www.cawcr.gov.au

Climate Forecasting Group

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I am currently working on the development of a statistical method to downscale global climate model outputs given by the coupled Atmospheric-Oceanic General Circulation Model of the BMRC, to local surface temperature and rainfall in Australian regions. The method is based on an analogue technique. This technique has been applied to climate change scenarios as well as seasonal forecasting. In this latter case, an hybrid seasonal forecast is being developed using dynamical prediction of the futur of ENSO development and statistically relate this evolution to Australian rainfall and temperature.
 

A poster has been set up to describe the technique. For easier reading, the poster has been divided into several  A4 PDF  sections. Click either a section of the Graphic or click on a link from the following index list, to read the PDF: 


Please note that you must download Adobe Acrobat Reader version 3.1 or later (available freely  from ADOBE) to access the PDF version of the poster. 

Get Acrobat Reader

Image Map of Poster



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Experimental results described in these pages are from research systems developed in BMRC and are not part of the Bureau of Meteorology's operational products & services.


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