Peer Reviewed Publications

 

 

On-going (not published yet)

 

            (pls. contact me if you want the latest status of these manuscripts or if you would like to see an early draft)

  1. B. Timbal, Z. Li and E. Fernandez. 2008: “Documentation of the Graphical User-friendly Interface to provide point specific climate change projections using the Bureau statistical downscaling technique”, CAWCR research report (in preparation)
  2. A. Hasson, G. Mills, K. Walsh and B. Timbal. 2008: “Assessing the impact of climate change on extreme fire weather in southeast Australia”, CAWCR research report (in preparation)
  3. B. Timbal, P. Hope and S. Charles. 2008: “Evaluating the consistency between statistically downscaled and global dynamical model climate change projections”, J. of Climate (note, submitted)
  4. B. Timbal, E. Fernandez and Z. Li. 2008: “Generalization of a statistical downscaling model to provide local climate change projections on a continental scale using a graphical interface”, Environmental Modelling and Software (submitted)
  5. B. Timbal, P. Hope and R. Fawcett. 2008: "On the relationship between rainfall in the southwest and southeast of Australia. Part I: Variability on daily and longer time-scale" J. of Climate (submitted)
  6. B. Timbal, M. Wheeler and P. Hope. 2008: "On the relationship between rainfall in the southwest and southeast of Australia. Part II: Possible causes of recent declines" J. of Climate (submitted)
  7. C. Rakich, N. Holbrook and B. Timbal. 2008: “A pressure gradient metric capturing planetary-scale influence on eastern Australian rainfall”. Geo. Res. Let. (accepted)
  8. R. Kounkou, G. Mills and B. Timbal. 2007: "Development of a climatology of the risk of occurrences of Cool Season Tornadoes over southern Australia". Int. J. of Clim. (accepted).

 

Chapter in books

  1. B. Timbal, N. Nicholls, W. Cai, K. Hennessy and P. Hope. 2007: “Chapter 3: Causes of past climate change”, in CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology, Climate Change in Australia, 148 pp, www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au
  2. I. Watterson, P. Whetton, A. Moise, B. Timbal, S. Power, J. Arblaster and K. McInnes. 2007: “Chapter 5: Regional climate change projections”, in CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology, Climate Change in Australia, 148 pp, www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au

 

Article

  1. B. Timbal and D. Jones. 2008: "Future projections of winter rainfall in Southeast Australia using a statistical downscaling technique". Climatic Change,  86, 165-187
  2. B. Murphy and B. Timbal. 2007: "Recent climate variability and climate change in south eastern Australia". Int. J. of Clim, published on-line, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1627
  3. B. Timbal and J. Arblaster. 2006: "Land cover change as an additional forcing to explain the rainfall decline in the South West of Australia". Geo. Res. Let., 33, L07717, doi:10.1029/2005GL025361
  4. B. Timbal, J. Arblaster and S. Power. 2006: "Attribution of the late 20th century rainfall decline in South-West Australia". J. of Climate, 19(10), 2046-2062 
  5. B. Timbal. 2004: "South West Australia past and future rainfall trends", Cli. Res., 26(3), 233-249
  6. B. Timbal, A. Dufour and B.J. McAvaney. 2003: "An estimate of climate change for Western France using a statistical downscaling technique", Climate Dyn., 17, 947-963
  7. B. Timbal, S. Power, R. Colman, J. Viviand and S. Lirola. 2002: " Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?", Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc.
  8. B. Timbal, S. Power, R. Colman, J. Viviand and S. Lirola. 2002: " Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia?", J. Climate, 15, 1230-1238
  9. B. Timbal and B.J. McAvaney. 2001: "An Analogue based method to downscale surface air temperature: Application for Australia", Climate Dyn. , 17, 947-963
  10. B. Timbal and A. Henderson-Sellers. 1998: "Intercomparison of land-surface parameterizations coupled to a limited area forecast model" Global Planet. Change, 19, 247-260
  11. J. Polcher, M.-A. Gaertner, A. Hahmann, B. McAvaney, J.-F. Mahfouf, J. Noilhan, T. Phillips, A. Pitman, A. Schlosser, J.-P. Schulz, B. Timbal, D. Verseghy and P. Viterbo and Y. Xue. 1998: "A proposal for a general interface between land-surface schemes and general circulation models" Global Planet. Change, 19, 261-276
  12. J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin, B. Timbal, P. Araspin and D. Grimal. 1998: "A GCM study of the impact of greenhouse gas increase on the frequency of occurrence of tropical cyclones" Clim. Change, 38, 307-343
  13. B. Timbal, U. Cubasch, J.M. Murphy, J.-F. Mahfouf and J.-F. Royer. 1997: "Comparison between doubled CO2 time slice and coupled experiments" J. Climate, 10, 1463-1469
  14. B. Timbal, A.N. Hahmann, A.J. Pitman, W. Qu, A. Henderson-Sellers and A. Slater. 1997: "Integrating Land Surface and Atmospheric Models" EOS, 78, 173-181
  15. R.D. Cess, M.-H. Zhang, G.L. Potter, V. Alekseev, H.W. Barker, S. Bony, R.A. Colman, D.A. Dazlich, A.D. Del Genio, M. Deque, M.R. Dix, V. Dymnikov, M. Esch, L.D. Fowler, J.R. Fraser, V. Galin, W.L. Gates, J.J. Hack, W.J. Ingram, J.T. Kiehl, Y. Kim, H. Le Treut, X.-Z. Liang, B.J. McAvaney, V.P. Meleshko, J.-J. Morcrette, D.A. Randall, E. Roeckner, M.E. Schlesinger, P.V. Sporyshev, K.E. Taylor, B. Timbal, E.M. Volodin, W. Wang, W.-C. Wang, R.T. Wetherald. 1997: "Comparison of the seasonal change in cloud-radiative forcing from atmospheric general circulation models and satellite observations" J. Geophys. Res., 102, 16,593-16,603
  16. E. Martin, B. Timbal and E. Brun. 1996: "Downscaling of general circulation models outputs: simulation of the snow climatology of the French Alps and sensitivity to climate change" Climate Dyn., 13, 45-56
  17. R.D. Cess, M.H. Zhang, W.J. Ingram, G.L. Potter, V. Alekseev, H.W. Barker, E. Cohen-Solal, R.A. Colman, D.A. Dazlich, A.D. Del Genio, M.R. Dix, V. Dymnikov, M. Esch, L.D. Fowler, J.R. Fraser, V. Galin, W.L. Gates, J.J. Hack, J.T. Kiehl, H. Le Treut, K.K.-W. Lo, B.J. McAvaney, V.P. Meleshko, J.-J. Morcrette, D.A. Randall, E. Roeckner, J.-F. Royer, M.E. Schlesinger, P.V. Sporyshev, B. Timbal, E.M. Volodin, K.E. Taylor, W.Wang, and R.T. Wetherald. 1996: "Cloud feedback in atmospheric general circulation models: An update" J. Geophys. Res., 101, 12,791-12,794
  18. B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer and D. Cariolle. 1995: "Sensitivity to prescribed changes in sea surface temperature and sea-ice in doubled carbon dioxide experiments" Climate Dyn., 12, 1-20
  19. J.-F. Mahfouf, D. Cariolle, J.-F. Royer, J.-F. Geleyn and B. Timbal. 1994: "Response of the METEO-FRANCE Climate Model to Changes in CO2 and Sea-Surface-Temperature" Climate Dyn., 9, 345-362

 

On-line publication

  1. B. Timbal and B. Murphy. 2007: "Observed climate change in South-East of Australia and its relation to large-scale modes of variability". BMRC Res. Let. 6, 6-11
  2. R.L. Wilby, S.P. Charles, E. Zorita, B. Timbal, P. Whetton and L.O. Mearns, 2004: "Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Statistical Downscaling Methods". Published on-line, supporting material to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, detailed guidelines, 2, 27pp

 

Extended abstract

  1. B. Timbal and Z. Li. 2007: “A user friendly interface to provide point specific climate change projections”, proceedings of MODSIM07,  Christchurch, New-Zealand
  2. B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer and D. Cariolle. 1995: "Sensitivity of climate change in Europe to the Northern Atlantic warming" proceedings of the International conference on past, present and future climate, SILMU, 481-485
  3. B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer and M. Deque. 1994: "Sensitivity parameters of the METEO-FRANCE climate models: EMERAUDE and ARPEGE" in Climate Sensitivity to Radiative Perturbations: Physical Mechanisms and Their Validation, NATO/ASI Series, H. Le Treut (ed.), 34, 203-213
  4. J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin and B. Timbal. 1994: "Analysis of the monsoon response to radiative perturbations in GCM simulations" in Climate Sensitivity to Radiative Perturbations: Physical Mechanisms and Their Validation, NATO/ASI Series, H. Le Treut (ed.), 34, 281-291

 

Report

  1. R. Kounkou, B. Timbal and G. Mills. 2007: "The impact of anthropogenic climate change on the risk of cool-season tornado occurrences". BMRC Research Report, 129 , pp 79
  2. A. Voldoire, B. Timbal and S. Power. 2002: "Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Forecasting". BMRC Research Report, 87, 62pp
  3. J. Viviand, S. Lirola, B. Timbal, S. Power and R. Colman. 2000: "Impact of soil moisture on climate variability and predictability". BMRC Research Report, 81, 49pp
  4. B. Timbal and B.J. McAvaney, 2000: "A downscaling procedure for Australia". BMRC Research Report, 78, 40pp
  5. J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin, B. Timbal, P. Araspin and D. Grimal, 1997: "A GCM study of the impact of greenhouse gas increase on the frequency of occurrence of tropical cyclones". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 56, 53pp
  6. B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf and J.F. Royer, 1996: "Comparions between doubled CO2 time-slice and coupled experiments". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 52, 35pp
  7. B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer and D. Cariolle, 1995: "Sensitivity to prescribe changes in seas surface temperature and sea-ice in double carbon dioxyde experiments".  CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 42, 40pp
  8. B. Timbal and J.-F. Mahfouf, 1994: "Analyses d'experiences de sensibilite au doublement du CO2 avec le modele Arpege, comparaison avec les resultats d'Emeraude". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 29, 70pp (in French)
  9. B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, M. Deque and J.F. Royer, 1993: "Experiences de sensibilite a des anomalies uniformes de temperature de la mer avec les modeles Emeraude et Arpege". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 25, 44pp (in French)

 

 

Other publications (not peer reviewed)

 

Extended abstract

  1. B. Timbal, H. Hendon and O. Alves. 2006: "BMRC involvement in the South Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI)". In Climate change research in the Bureau of Meteorology , S.B. Power and K. Pearce (eds.), BMRC Research Report, 125, 74-76
  2. B. Timbal. 2006: "Statistical Downscaling in BMRC". In Climate change research in the Bureau of Meteorology , S.B. Power and K. Pearce (eds.), BMRC Research Report, 125, 68-72
  3. B. Timbal. 2006: "Statistical Downscaling - an important part of ACCESS". In "The Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) - challenge and opportunities". BMRC Research Report, 123, 18th BMRC Modelling Workshop, pp 123-126
  4. B. Timbal. 2005: "What has happened with the winter rainfall in southern Australia?". In "Hydrometeorological Applications of Weather and Climate Modelling". BMRC Research Report, 111, 17th BMRC Modelling Workshop, pp 21-24
  5. B. Timbal, M. Wheeler, S. Chêne, L. Maitrepierre and A. Leroy. 2004: "Impact de la variabilité inter-annuelle et intra-saisonnière sur l‘activité cyclonique et la pluviométrie". Acte des Assises Française de la Recherche dans le Pacifique, Nouméa, New Caledonia, 6pp (in French)
  6. B. Timbal and B.J. McAvaney. 2002: "Using downscaling to assess extreme weathers in changed climatic conditions". In BMRC Research Report, 90, "Modelling and predicting extreme events" 14th BMRC Modelling Workshop, pp 133-136

 

On-line publication

  1. B. Timbal, 1997: " Technical note: PILPS - Phase 4 (b):  Land Surface Model Coupling to  LAPS". PILPS technical note, available online

 

Technical publication

  1. B. Timbal, B. Murphy, E. Fernandez and Z. Li. 2008: “Development of the analogue downscaling technique for rainfall, temperature, surface humidity and pan evaporation”. South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), final report for project 1.3.1, (in preparation)
  2. B. Timbal, B. Murphy, K. Braganza, H. Hendon, M. Wheeler and C. Rakich. 2007: “Compare documented climate changes with those attributable to specific causes”. South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), final report for project 1.1.2, 19 pp
  3. B. Timbal and B. Murphy. 2007: “Document changes in south-eastern Australian rainfall, temperature, surface humidity and pan evaporation”. South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), final report for project 1.1.1, 19 pp
  4. H. Zhang, O. Alves, D. Hess, H. Richter, B. Timbal,  B. McAvaney, G. Mills, K. Puri, G. Roff and G. Weymouth. 2003: "BMRC Land-Surface Modelling and Studies: Current Status and Future Plans". BMRC strategy paper, 35 pp
  5. B. Timbal, G. Mills and F. Woodcock. 2003: "Downscaling in BMRC". BMRC strategy paper, 29pp
  6. B. Timbal, 1994: "Analyses d'experience de modifications climatiques liees a l'augmentation des gaz a effet de serre. Sensibilite de la reponse a la formulation du modele et aux forcages utilises". Institut national Polytechnique de Toulouse, France. PhD Thesis (in French)
  7. B. Timbal and J.-F. Mahfouf, 1992: "Analyses d'une experience de sensibilite au doublement du CO2 avec le modele Emeraude". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 15, 47pp (in French)
  8. B. Timbal, 1992: "Analyses d'une experience de sensibilite au doublement du gaz carbonique simulee par un modele climatique". DEA thesis, INPT, 41pp (in French)
  9. B. Timbal, 1992: "Analyses d'une experience de sensibilite au doublement du gaz carbonique simulee par un modele climatique". Final year thesis, ENSEEIHT, INPT, 56pp (in French)
  10. B. Timbal, 1991: "Rapport de stage industriel au centre d'essai de Mack Truck, inc". Second year training period report, ENSEEIHT, INPT, 50pp (in French)

 

Media release and relevant press article

  1. June 2007, SEACI program: “The Drying of Australia’s South East”. CSIRO press release
  2. April 2006, Australian Farm Journal: " Shorter growing season predicted for WA wheat belt"
  3. November 2005, Canberra Times, Canberra: "Canberra may be singin' in the rain, but elsewhere it'll be a different tune", by T. Glumac
  4. 2005, Greenhouse conference, Melbourne, Australia: Less winter rain in southern Australia. Bureau of Meteorology press release
  5. 2004, 16th Australian New-Zealand Climate Forum, Lorne, Australia: Will dry times in south-east Australia continue?. Bureau of Meteorology press release