BMRC Publications 1997-98

Journal articles, books and chapters in books

Cess, R.D., Zhang, M.H., Potter, G.L., Alekseev, V., Barker, H.W., Bony, S., Colman, R.A., Dazlich, D.A., Del Genio, A.D., Deque, M., Dix, M.R., Dymnikov, V., Esch, M., Fowler, L.D., Fraser, J.R., Galin, V., Gates, W.L., Hack, J.J., Ingram, W.J., Kiehl, J.T., Kim, Y., Le Treut, H., Liang, X.-Z., McAvaney, B.J., Meleshko, V.P., Morcrette, J.J., Randall, D.A., Roeckner, E., Schlesinger, M.E., Sporyshev, P.V., Taylor, K.E., Timbal, B., Volodin, E.M., Wang, W., Wang, W.C. and Wetherald, R.T. 1997. Comparison of the seasonal change in cloud-radiative forcing from atmospheric general circulation models and satellite observations. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 16593-16603.

Colman, R.A., Power, S.B. and McAvaney, B.J. 1997. Non-linear climate feedback analysis in an atmospheric general circulation model. Climate Dyn., 13, 717-731.

Davidson, N.E., Kurihara, K., Kato, T., Mills, G. and Puri, K. 1998. Dynamics and prediction of a mesoscale, extreme rain event in the Baiu front over Kyushu, Japan. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126.

Fraedrich, K., McBride, J.L., Frank, W.M. and Wang, R. 1997. Extended EOF analysis of tropical disturbances: TOGA COARE. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 2363-2372.

Frederiksen, J.S. and Frederiksen, C.S. 1997. Mechanisms of the formation of intraseasonal oscillations and Australian monsoon disturbances: the roles of convection, barotropic and baroclinic instability. Contrib. Atmos. Phys., 70, 39-56.

Henderson-Sellers, A. and McGuffie, K. 1997. In: Climate Models - Applied Climatology: Principles and Practice, R.D. Thompson and A. Perry (Eds.), London, Routledge, 36-50.

Hess, G.D. and McAvaney, B.J. 1997. Note on computing screen temperatures, humidities and anemometer-height winds in large-scale models. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 109-115.

Holland, G.J. 1997. East coast cyclones. In: Windows on Meteorology, Australian Perspective, Eric K. Webb (Ed.), Collingwood, CSIRO, 242-245.

Holland, G.J. and McBride, J.L. 1997. Tropical cyclones. In: Windows on Meteorology, Australian Perspective, Eric K. Webb (Ed.), Collingwood, CSIRO, 200-216.

Hopkins, L.C. and Holland, G.J. 1997. Australian heavy-rain days and associated east coast cyclones: 1958-92. J. Climate, 10, 621-635.

Hopkins, L.C. and Holland, G.J. 1997. Comments on "The origin and evolution of low-level potential vorticity anomalies during a case of Tasman Sea cyclogenesis". Tellus. Ser. A: Dyn. Meteor.Oceanogr., 49, 401-403.

Karl, T.R., Nicholls, N. and Gregory, J. 1997. The coming climate. Sci. Amer., 276, 78-83.

Keenan, T.D. and Anderson, S. 1997. Jindalee skywave radar sensing of the oceanic fields. In: Windows on Meteorology, Australian Perspective, Eric K. Webb (Ed.), Collingwood, CSIRO, 286-294.

Kleeman, R., and Moore, A.M. 1997. A theory for the limitation of ENSO predictability due to stochastic atmospheric transients. J. Atmos. Sci.,54, 753-767.

Latif, M., Kleeman, R. and Eckert, C. 1997. Greenhouse warming, decadal variability, or El Niņo? An attempt to understand the anomalous 1990s. J. Climate, 10, 2221-2239.

Lavery, B., Joung, G. and Nicholls, N. 1997. An extended high-quality historical rainfall dataset for Australia. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 27-38.

Le Marshall, J.F., Leslie, L.M. and Spinoso, C. 1997. The generation and assimilation of cloud-drift winds in numerical weather prediction. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 75(1B), 383-393.

Le Marshall, J.F., Leslie, L.M., Pescod, N.R. and Morison, R.P. 1997. The importance of direct readout satellite data in sub-synoptic scale data assimilation and numerical weather prediction. Adv. Space Res. 19, 413-422.

Lemus, L., Rikus, L.J. and Platt, C. Martin R. 1997. Global cloud liquid water path simulations. J. Climate, 10, 52-64.

Li, J., Davidson, N.E., Hess, G.D. and Mills, G.A. 1997. A high-resolution prediction study of two typhoons at landfall. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 2856-2878.

Lu, J., Mohnen, V.A., Yue, G.K., Atkinson, R.J. and Matthews, W.A. 1997. Intercomparison of stratospheric ozone profiles obtained by Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment II, Halogen Occultation Experiment, and ozonesondes in 1994-1995. J. Geophys. Res., 102(D13), 16136-16144.

Manton, M.J. 1997. Monitoring and prediction of UV radiation in Australia. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 171-177.

McAvaney, B.J. and Colman, R.A. 1997. Dependence of model 'Climate Sensitivity' on convective parameterisation. In: Assessing climate change: results from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment, W. Howe and A. Henderson-Sellers (Eds.), Gordon and Breach, 207-217.

McGuffie, K. 1997. Commentary: Climate and the Atmosphere. In: Assessing climate change: results from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment, W. Howe and A. Henderson-Sellers (Eds.), Gordon and Breach, 55-61.

McGuffie, K. and Zhang, H. 1997. The Tropical Cyclone Coastal Impacts Program: a vehicle for coordinated multi-disciplinary research. Aust. J. Emergency Management, 12, 27-30.

Martin, E., Timbal, B. and Brun, E. 1997. Downscaling of general circulation models outputs: simulation of the snow climatology of the French Alps and sensitivity to climate change. Climate Dyn., 13, 45-56.

May P.T. and Strauch, R.G. 1998. Reducing the effect of ground clutter on wind profiler velocity measurements. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 15, 579-586.

May P.T. and Rajopadhyaya, D.K. 1997. Corrigendum: Wind profiler observations of vertical motion and precipitation microphysics of a tropical squall line. Mon. Weath. Rev., 125, 410-413.

Mills, G.A. 1997. Studies of 'cva maxima' south of Australia. Part 1: a long-lived enhanced cumulus cluster and induced cyclogenesis. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 87-107.

Moore, A.M. and Kleeman, R. 1997. The singular vectors of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO. I: Thermodynamics, energetics and error growth. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123, (540 Part B), 953-981.

Moore, A.M. and Kleeman, R. 1997. The singular vectors of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of ENSO. II: Sensitivity studies and dynamical interpretation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123(540 Part B), 983-1006.

Nicholls, N. 1997. Reply: comment on 'historical thermometer exposures in Australia'. Int. J. Climatol. 17(2), 200.

Nicholls, N. 1997. What are the potential contributions of El Niņo - Southern Oscillation research to early warning of potential acute food-deficit situations? Internet J. African Studies, 2. [http://www.brad.ac.uk/research/ijas/ijasno2/ijasno2.html]

Nicholls, N., 1997. Developments in the prediction of climate variability and implications for insurance. In: Financial Risk Management for Natural Catastrophes, N.R. Britton and J. Oliver (Eds.), Griffith University, 85-104.

Nicholls, N. 1997. The centennial drought. In: Windows on Meteorology, Australian Perspective, Eric K. Webb (Ed.), Collingwood, CSIRO, 118-126.

Nicholls, N. 1997. Developments in climatology in Australia: 1946-1996. Aust. Met. Mag. 46, 127-135.

Nicholls, N. 1997. A healthy climate? In: Windows on Meteorology, Australian Perspective, Eric K. Webb (Ed.), Collingwood, CSIRO, 105-117.

Nicholls, N. 1997. Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends. Nature. 387(6632), 484.

Nicholls, N., Landsea, C. and Gill, J. 1998. Recent trends in Australian region tropical cyclone activity. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 65, 197-205.

Nicholls, N., Drosdowsky, W. and Lavery, B. 1997. Australian rainfall variability and change. Weather, 52, 66-72.

Nicholls, N. 1998. Reply: comment on 'Climate change and Australian wheat yield'. Nature. 391(6666), 449.

O'Brien, D.M., Rikus, L.J., Dilley, A.C. and Edwards, M. 1997. Spectral analysis of infrared heating in clouds computed with two-stream radiation codes. J. Quant. Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer. 57(6), 725-737.

Potts, R.J., Monypenny, P. and Middleton, J. 1997. An analysis of winds at Sydney Kingsford Smith Airport. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 297-310.

Power, S.B. and Hirst, A.C. 1997. Eddy parametrization and the oceanic response to idealized global warming. Climate Dyn., 13, 417-428

Puri, K. and Mills, G.A. 1997. Initial state specification for mesoscale applications. J. Met. Soc. Japan., 75(1B), 395-413.

Rikus, L.J. 1997. Application of a scheme for validating clouds in an operational global NWP model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 1615-1637.

Rikus, L.J. 1997. Prediction of UV-B dosage at the surface. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 211-222.

Ritchie, E.A. and Holland, G.J. 1997. Scale interaction during the formation of Typhoon Irving. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 1377-1396.

Sabutis, J.L., Turco, R.P. and Kar, S.K. 1997. Wintertime planetary wave propagation in the lower stratosphere and its observed effect on northern hemisphere temperature-ozone correlations. J. Geophys. Res., 102(D18), 21709-21717.

Schramm, J.L., Holland, M.M., Curry, J.A. and Ebert, E.E. 1997. Modeling the thermodynamics of a sea ice thickness distribution 1. Sensitivity to ice thickness resolution. J. Geophys. Res., 102(C10), 23079-23091.

Seaman, R.S. 1997. An Australian perspective on meteorological analysis and data assimilation since the early 1960s. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 117-126.

Seaman, R.S. 1997. A comparison of some methods for reduction of pressure to sea level over Australia. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 15-25.

Simpson, J., Ritchie, E.A., Holland, G.J., Halverson, J. and Stewart, S. 1997. Mesoscale interactions in tropical cyclone genesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 2643-2661.

Tang, Y.-M., Holloway, P. and Grimshaw, R. 1997. A numerical study of the storm surge generated by Tropical Cyclone Jane. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 963-976.

Timbal, B., Hahmann, A.N., Pitman, A.J., Qu, W., Henderson-Sellers, A. and Slater, A. 1997. Integrating Land Surface and Atmospheric Models. EOS, 78, 173-181.

Timbal, B., Mahfouf, J.-F., Royer, J.-F., Cubasch, U. and Murphy, J.M. 1997. Comparison between doubled CO2 time-slice and coupled experiments. J. Climate, 10, 1463-1469.

Tonkin, H., Holland, G.J., Landsea, C.W. and Li, S. 1997. Tropical cyclones and climate change: a preliminary assessment. In: Assessing climate change: results from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment, W. Howe and A. Henderson-Sellers (Eds.), Gordon and Breach, 323-355.

Trewin, B.C. 1997. Another look at Australia's record high temperature. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 251-256.

Zhang, H., Henderson-Sellers, A., McAvaney, B.J. and Pitman, A.J. 1997. Uncertainties in GCM evaluations of tropical deforestation: a comparison of two model simulations. In: Assessing climate change: results from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment, W. Howe and A. Henderson-Sellers (Eds.), Gordon and Breach, 219-251.

Reports

Chambers, L. 1997. Weather facts and definitions. VORG Notes. 31(2), 46-52.

Draxler, R.R. and Hess, G.D. 1997. Description of the HYSPLIT_4 Modeling System. NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL ARL-224. 24pp.

Drosdowsky, W. and Chambers, L. 1998. Near global sea surface temperature anomalies as predictors of Australian seasonal rainfall. BMRC Research Report No.65, Bur. Met. Australia.

Ebert, E.E. and McBride, J.L. 1997. Methods for verifying quantitative precipitation forecasts: application to the BMRC LAPS model 24-hour precipitation forecasts. BMRC Techniques Development Report No.2, Bur. Met. Australia.

Jasper, J.D. and Meighen, P.J. (eds) 1997. Symposium on Climate Prediction and Predictability: Papers presented at the Eighth Modelling Workshop, 12-14 November 1996. BMRC Research Report No.61, Bur. Met. Australia.

Jones, D.A. and Weymouth, G. 1997. An Australian monthly rainfall dataset. Tech. Rep. 70, Bur. Met. Australia.

Keenan, T.D. and Glasson, K.G. 1997. MCTEX C-Band polarimetric radar atlas and data summary. BMRC Research Report no.59, Bur. Met. Australia.

Keenan, T.D. and Le Marshall, J.F. 1997. Satellite data summary and GMS imagery during MCTEX. BMRC Research Report No.60, Bur. Met. Australia.

Lemus-Deschamps, Lilia and Rikus, Lawrie. 1996: Australian Ultraviolet forecasts. MetTalk, 1, Issue 2,3-5.

Meighen, P.J. and Jasper, J.D. (eds) 1997. Improving short-range forecasting: Abstracts of presentations at the Ninth Annual BMRC Modelling Workshop. 8-10 October 1997, BMRC Research Report No.64, Bur. Met. Australia.

Mills, G.A., Weymouth, G., Jones, D.A., Ebert, E.E. and Manton, M.J. 1997. A national objective daily rainfall analysis system. BMRC Techniques Development Report No.1, Bur. Met. Australia.

Potts, R.J., Monypenny, P. and Middleton, J. 1997. An analysis of winds at Sydney Kingsford Smith Airport and their impact on runway availability. BMRC Research Report No. 62, Bur. Met. Australia.

Power, S.B., Tseitkin, F. Colman, R.A. and Sulaiman, A. 1998. A coupled general circulation model for seasonal prediction and climate change research. BMRC Research Report No. 66, Bur. Met. Australia.

Sanderson, B. 1997. A barotropic ocean model for calculating storm surges. BMRC Research Report No. 63, Bur. Met. Australia.

Sheppard, R., de Dear, R.J., Rowe, D. and McAvaney, B.J. 1997. The impact of climate change on energy consumption in buildings. AIRAH Journal 51(12), 20-25.

Timbal, B., Hahmann, A., Pitman, A. and Henderson-Sellers, A. 1997: New developments for the Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterisation schemes: Phase 4. Report of the WMO/IAHS Workshop: Continental-scale Hydrological Models: Charting the Future, Wallingford, UK, November 1996 .