BMRC Publications 2001-2002

Journal articles, books and chapters in books

Albritton, D.; Allen, M.R.; Baede, A.P.M.; Church, J.A.; Cubasch, U.; Xiaosu, D.; Ding, Y.; Ehhalt, D.; Folland., C.K.; Giorgi, F.; Gregory, J.M.; Griggs, D.; Haywood, J.M.; Hewitson, B.; Houghton, J.T.; House, J.I.; Hulme, M.; Isaksen, I.; Jaramillo, V.J.; Jayaraman, A.; Johnston, C.; Joos, F.; Joussaume, S.; Karl, T.; Karoly, D.; Kheshgi, H.; Le Quere, C.; Maskell, K.; Mata, L.J.; McAvaney, B.; McFarland, M.; Mearns, L.O.; Meehl, G.A.; Meira-Fihlo, L.G.; Meleshko, V.P.; Mitchell, J.F.B.; Moore, B.; Mugara, R.K.; Noguer, M.; Nyenzi, B.S.; Oppenheimer, M.; Penner, J.E.; Pollonais, S.; Prather, M.; Prentice, C.; Ramaswamy, V.; Ramirez-Rjas, A.; Raper, S.; Salinger, M.J.; Scoles, R.J.; Solomon, S.; Stocker, T.; Stone, J.; Stouffer, R.J.; Trenberth, K.E.; Wang, M.-X.; Watson, R.T.; Yap, K.S.; Zillman, J. 2001. Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Summary for policymakers and technical summary of the Working Group 1 Report. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 98 p.

Bringi, V.N., Huang, G-J., Chandrasekar V. and Keenan, T.D. 2001. An Areal Rainfall Estimator Using Differential Propagation Phase: Evaluation Using a C-Band radar and a Dense Gauge network in the Tropics. J. Oceanic and Atmos. Technol., 18(11), 1810-1818.

Bringi, V.N., Keenan, T.D. and Chandrasekar, V. 2001. Correcting C-band radar reflectivity and differential reflectivity data for rain attenuation: A self-consistent method with constraints. IEEE Trans. Geosci. and Rem. Sensing, 39 (9), 1906-1915.

Chambers, L.E. 2001. Classifying rainfall districts: a West Australian study. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 50(2), 91-103.

Chane-Ming, F., Roff, G., Robert, L. and Leveau, J. 2002. Gravity wave characteristics over Tromelin Island during the passage of cyclone Hudah. Geophys. Rev. Lett., 29, 18,1-18,4.

Colman, R.A., Fraser, J.R. and Rotstayn, L.D. 2001. Climate feedbacks in a General Circulation Model incorporating prognostic clouds Climate Dyn., 18(1/2), 103-122.

Colman, R.A. 2001. On the vertical extent of atmospheric feedbacks. Climate Dyn., 17(5/6), 391-405.

Colman, R.A. 2001. Contributor to "Validation of Climate Models", In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Houghton, J.T., Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C.A. Johnson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Dance, S. and Potts, R. 2002. Microburst detection using agent networks. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 19, 646-653.

Davidson, N.E., Mills, G.A., Stern, H. and Leggett, T. 2001. Forward-backward assimilation, prediction and dynamics for the southeast Australian floods of October 1993. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 205-224.

Desborough, C.E., Pitman, A.J. and McAvaney, B.J. 2001. Surface energy balance complexity in GCM land surface models. Part II: coupled simulations. Climate Dyn., 17(8), 615-626.

Diaz, H. F., Kovats, R. S., McMichael, A.J., and Nicholls, N. 2001. Climate and human health linkages on multiple timescales. In: History and Climate: Memories of the Future?, Jones, P. D., Davies, T. D., Ogilvie, A. E. J., and Briffa, K. R. (Eds), Kluwer, 310 pp.

Drosdowsky, W. 2002. SST phases and Australian rainfall. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 51, 1-12.

Drosdowsky, W. and Chambers, L.E. 2001. Near-global sea surface temperature anomalies as predictors of Australian seasonal rainfall. J. Climate, 14(7), 1677-1687.

Ebert, E.E., 2001. Ability of a poor man's ensemble to predict the probability and distribution of precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2461-2480.

Folland, C.K., Rayner, N.A., Brown, S.J., Smith, T.M., Shen, S.S.P., Parker, D.E., Macadam, I., Jones, P.D., Jones, R.N., Nicholls, N. and Sexton, D.M.H. 2001. Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28(13), 2621-2624.

Frederiksen, C.S., Zhang, H., Balgovind, R.C., Nicholls, N., Drosdowsky, W. and Chambers, L.E. 2001. Dynamical seasonal forecasts during the 1997/98 ENSO using persisted SST anomalies. J. Climate, 14(12), 2675-2695.

Greenslade, D.J.M. 2001. The assimilation of ERS-2 significant wave height data in the Australian region. J. Mar. Syst., 28, 141-160.

Greenslade, D.J.M. 2001. A wave modelling study of the 1998 Sydney to Hobart yacht race. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 50(1), 53-63.

Harris, B.A. and Kelly, G. 2001. A satellite radiance bias correction scheme for data assimilation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 1453-1468.

Haylock, M.R. and McBride, J.L. 2001. Spatial coherence and predictability of Indonesian wet season rainfall. J. Climate, 14(18), 3882-3887.

Keenan, T.D., Carey, L.D., Zrnic, D.S. and May, P.T. 2001. Sensitivity of 5 cm wavelength polarmetric radar variables to raindrop axial ratio and dropsize distribution. J. Appl. Meteor., 40 (3), 526-545.

Kepert, J.D. 2001. The dynamics of boundary layer jets within the tropical cyclone core. Part I: Linear Theory. J. Atmos. Sci., 58 (17), 2469-2484.

Kepert, J.D. and Wang, Y. 2001. The dynamics of boundary layer jets within the tropical cyclone core. Part II: Nonlinear enhancement. J. Atmos. Sci., 58 (17), 2485-2501.

Kleeman, R., Wang, G. and Jewson, S. 2001. Surface flux response to interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature variability in AMIP models. Climate Dyn., 17, 627-641.

Le Bouar, E., Testud, J. and Keenan, T.D. 2001. Validation of the rain profiling algorithm "ZPHI" from the C-band polarimetric weather radar in Darwin. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 18(11), 1819-1837.

Le Marshall, J.F., Seecamp, R., Harris, B.R., Tingwell, C. and Kelly, G.A. 2001. First results from the use of local ATOVS data in the Australian region. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 50(2), 159-163.

Liu, Z., Bruton, L.T., Bezdek, J.C., Keller, J.M., Dance, S., Bartley, N.R. and Zhang, C. 2001. Dynamic image sequence analysis using fuzzy measures. IEEE SMC Trans. Pt B: Cybernetics, 31(4), 557-572.

Lucas, C., May, P.T. and Vincent, R.A. 2001. An algorithm for the detection of fronts in wind profiler data. Wea. Forecasting, 16(2), 234-247.

Lyons, T. J., Li Fuqin, Hacker, J. M., Wan-Li Cheng, and Huang Xinmei, 2001. Regional turbulent statistics over contrasting natural surfaces. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 78, 183-194.

McAvaney, B.J., C. Covey, S. Joussaume, V. Kattsov, A. Kitoh, W. Ogana, A.J. Pitman, A.J. Weaver, R.A. Wood, and Z.-C. Zhao, 2001: Model evaluation. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Houghton, J.T., Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C.A. Johnson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 471-523.

Maki, M., Keenan, T.D., Sasaki, Y. and Nakamura, K. 2001. Characteristics of the raindrop size distribution in tropical continental squall lines observed in Darwin, Australia. J. Appl. Meteor., 40 (8), 1393-1412.

Manton, M.J., Della-Marta, P.M., Haylock, M.R., Hennessy, K.J., Nicholls, N., Chambers, L.E., Collins, D.A., Daw, G., Finet, A., Gunawan, D., Inape, K., Isobe, H., Kestin, T.S., Lefale, P., Leyu, C.H., Lwin, T., Maitrepierre, L., Ouprasitwong, N., Page, C.M., Pahalad, J., Plummer, N., Salinger, M.J., Suppiah, R., Tran, V.L., Trewin, B.C., Tibig, I. and Yee, D. 2001. Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature in southeast Asia and the South Pacific: 1961-1998. Int. J. Climatol., 21, 269-284.

May, P.T., Jameson, A.R., Keenan, T.D. and Johnston, P.E. 2001. A comparison between polarimetric radar and wind profiler observations of precipitation in tropical showers. J. Appl. Meteor., 40(10), 1702-1717.

May, P.T. 2001. Mesocyclone and microburst signature distortion with dual PRT radars. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 18 (7), 1229-1233.

May, P.T. 2001. Meeting summary: 5th International Symposium on tropospheric profiling. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82(12), 2811-2814.

Mills, G.A. 2001. Mesoscale cyclogenesis in reversed shear: the 1998 Sydney-Hobart yacht race storm. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 50 (1), 29-52.

Moore, A.M. and Kleeman, R. 2001. The differences between the optimal perturbations of coupled models of ENSO. J. Climate, 14(2), 138-163.

Nicholls, N. 2001. The insignificance of significance testing. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82 (5), 981-986.

Nicholls, N. 2001. Atmospheric and climatic hazards: improved monitoring and prediction for disaster mitigation. Natural Hazards, 23, 137-155.

Nowlin, W.D., Briscoe, M., Smith, N., McPhaden, M.J., Roemmich, D. Chapman, P. and Grassle, F.J. 2001. Evolution of a sustained ocean observing system. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82 (7), 1369-1386.

Saito, K., Keenan, T., Holland, G. and Puri, K. 2001. Numerical simulation of the diurnal evolution of tropical island convection over the Maritime Continent. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129(3), 378-400.

Schafer, R., May, P.T., Keenan, T.D., McGuffie, K., Ecklund, W.L., Johnston, P.E. and Gage, K.S. 2001. Boundary layer development over a tropical island during the Maritime Continent Thunderstorm Experiment. J. Atmos. Sci., 58 (15), 2163-2179.

Seaman, R.S. 2002. The relevance of Benford's Law to background field errors in data assimilation. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 51, 25-33.

Smith, N.R. 2001. Ocean and climate prediction-the WOCE legacy. Chap. 7.4 of WOCE book Ocean circulation and climate. J.A. Church, G. Seidler and J. Gould (Eds), Academic Press, 585-602.

Sperber, K.R., Brankovic, C., Deque, M., Frederiksen, C.S., Graham, R., Kitoh, A., Kobayashi, C., Palmer, T., Puri, K., Tennant, W. and Volodin, E. 2001. Dynamical seasonal predictability of the Asian summer monsoon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129 (9), 2226-2248.

Sun, Z. 2001. Reply to comments by Greg M. Farquhar on 'Parametrization of effective sizes of cirrus-cloud particles and its verification against observations' (October B, 1999, 125, 3037-3055). Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127(A), 267-271.

Timbal, B. and McAvaney, B.J. 2001. An analogue-based method to downscale surface air temperature: application for Australia. Climate Dyn., 17(12), 947-963.

Timbal, B., Power, S., Colman, R., Viviand, J. and Lirola, S. 2002. Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia? J. Climate, 15, 1230-1238.

Tory, K.J., Reason, C.J.C. and Jackson, P.L. 2001. A numerical study of a southeast Australian coastal ridging event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 437-452.

Wang,Y., Kepert, J.D. and Holland, G.J. 2001. The Effect of Sea Spray Evaporation on Tropical Cyclone Boundary-Layer Structure and Intensity. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129(10), 2481-2500.

Wang, G., Kleeman, R., Smith, N., and Tseitkin, F. 2002. The BMRC coupled general circulation model ENSO forecast system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 975-991.

Weymouth, G. and Le Marshall, J.F. 2001. Estimation of daily surface solar exposure using GMS-5 stretched-VISSR observations: the system and the basics. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 50, 253-278.

Wheeler, M.C. and Weickmann, K.M. 2001. Real-time monitoring and prediction of modes of coherent synoptic to intraseasonal tropical variability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129(11), 2677-2694.

Wilson, J.W., Carbone, R.E., Tuttle, J.D. and Keenan, T.D. 2001. Tropical island convection in the absence of significant topography. Part II: Nowcasting storm evolution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 1637-1655.

Wyputta, U. and McAvaney, B.J. 2001. Influence of vegetation changes during the Last Glacial Maximum using the BMRC atmospheric general circulation model. Climate Dyn., 17(12), 923-932.

Zhang, H., Henderson-Sellers, A., Pitman, A.J., McGregor, J.L., Desborough, C.E. and Katzfey, J.J. 2001. Limited-area model sensitivity to the complexity of representation of the land-surface energy balance. J. Climate, 14, 3965-3986.

Jasper, J.D. and Meighen, P.J. (Eds). 2001. 'Understanding the climate of Australia and the Indo-Pacific region': Extended abstracts of presentations at the thirteenth annual BMRC modelling workshop, 14-16 November 2001. BMRC Research Report, No. 84, Bur. Met. Australia.

Mills, G.A. 2001. Impact of screen-level moisture observations in a regional data assimilation system. BMRC Research Report, No. 82, Bur. Met. Australia.

Nicholls, N., 2001. An early dispute about District Average Rainfall. Bull. Aust. Meteor. and Oceanog. Soc., 14, 67.

Nicholls, N., 2001. Miracles can happen (introduction to poem by Alf Gillett). Weather, 56, 383.

Zhong, A., Colman, R., Smith, N., Naughton, M., Rikus, L., Puri, K. and Tseitkin, F. 2001. Ten-year AMIP-I climatologies from a version of the BMRC atmospheric model. BMRC Research Report, No. 83, Bur. Met. Australia.