BMRC Publications 2002-2003

Journal articles, books and chapters in books

Alves, J.H.G.M., Greenslade, D.J.M. and Banner, M.L. 2002. Impact of a saturation-dependent dissipation source function on operational hindcasts of wind-waves in the Australian region. Glob. Atmos. - Ocean Sys., 8 , 239 - 267.

Betts, A.K. and Jakob, C. 2002. Study of diurnal cycle of convective precipitation over Amazonia using a single column model. J. Geophys. Res. (D Atmos.), 107(D23), 4732, doi:10.1029/2002JD002264, 2002

Chane-Ming, F., Roff, G., Robert, L. and Leveau, J. 2002. Gravity wave characteristics over Tromelin Island during the passage of cyclone Hudah. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(6), 1094, doi:10.1029/2001GL013286, 2002.

Colman, R.A. 2002. Geographical contributions to global climate sensitivity in a General Circulation Model. Global Planet. Change, 32, 211-243.

Colman, R. 2003. Seasonal contributions to climate feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 20, 825-841.

Colman, R. 2003. A comparison of climate feedbacks in general circulation models. Climate Dynamics, 20, 865-873.

Dance, S. and Potts, R. 2002. Microburst detection using agent networks. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 19, 646-653.

Davey, M.K., Huddleston, M., Sperber, K.R. Braconnot, P., Bryan, F., Chen, D. Colman, R.A., Cooper, C., Cubasch, U., Delecluse, P., DeWitt, D., Fairhead, L., Flato, G., Gordon, C., Hogan, T., Ji, M., Kimoto, M., Kitoh, A., Knutson, T.R., Latif, M., Le Treut, H., Li, T., Manabe, S., Mechoso, C.R., Meehl, G.A., Power, S.B., Roeckner, E., Terray, L., Vintzileos, A., Voss, R., Wang, B., Washington, W.M., Yoshikawa, I., Yu, J. -Y., Yukimoto, S. and Zebiak, S.E. 2002. STOIC: a study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions. Climate Dynamics, 18, 403-420.

Davidson, N.E. and Kar, S.K. 2002. Upper-tropospheric flow transitions during rapid tropical cyclone intensification. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 861- 891.

Doran, J.C., Zhong, S., Liljegren, J.C. and Jakob, C. 2002. A comparison of cloud properties at a coastal and inland site at the North Slope of Alaska. J. Geophys. Res., 107(D11), ACL 5-1 - 5-10.

Drosdowsky, W. 2002. SST phases and Australian rainfall. Aust. Met. Mag., 51, 1-12.

Drosdowsky, W. and Zhang, H. 2003. Verification of spatial fields. Chapter 6 in Forecast Verification -  A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science. I.T. Jolliffe and D.B. Stephenson (Eds). Wiley. 254pp.

Ebert, E.E. 2002. CORRIGENDUM (to Ebert, E.E. 2001. Ability of a poor man's ensemble to predict the probability and distribution of precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2461-2480.). Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1661-1663.

Ebert, E.E., Damrath, U., Wergen, W. and Baldwin, M.E. 2003. The WGNE assessment of short-term quantitative precipitation forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 481-492.

Ebert, E.E., Damrath, U., Wergen, W. and Baldwin, M.E. 2003. Supplement to the WGNE assessment of short-term quantitative precipitation forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 492.

Frich, P., Alexander, L.V., Della-Marta, P.M., Gleason, B., Haylock, M.R., Klein Tank, A.M.G., Peterson, T.C., 2002. Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Climate Res., 19, 193-212.

Gage, K., Hardesty, M., May, P. and Browell, E. 2002. PREFACE to Tropospheric Profiling (This special issue of the Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology contains a collection of articles derived from papers presented at the Fifth International Symposium on Tropospheric Profiling held at the University of Adelaide, Australia, December 2000.) J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 19, 833.

Gettelman, A.J., Seidel, D.J., Wheeler, M.C. and Ross, R.J. 2002. Multi-decadal Trends in Tropical Convective Available Potential Energy. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4606-4613.

Grainger, S. and  Karoly, D.J. 2003. A transport model study of the breakup of the Antarctic ozone hole in November 2000. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1368, doi:10.1029/2002GL016494.

Hanstrum, B.N., Mills, G.A., Watson, A., Monteverdi, J.P. and Doswell, C.A. 2002. The cool-season tornadoes of California and southern Australia. Wea. and Forecasting, 17, 705-722.

Henderson-Sellers, A., McGuffie, K. and Zhang, H.. 2002. Stable isotopes as validation tools for global climate model predictions of the impact of Amazonian deforestation. J. Climate, 15, 2664-2677.

Hess, G.D. and Garratt, J.R., 2002. 'Evaluating models of the neutral, barotropic planetary layer using integral measures: Part I. Overview.' Boundary-Layer Met., 104, 333-358.

Joe, P. and May, P.T. 2003. Correction of dual PRF velocity errors for operational doppler weather radars. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 20, 429-442.

Keenan, T.D. 2003. Hydrometeor classification with a C-band polarimetric radar. Aust. Met. Mag., 52, 23-31.

Langematz, U., Kunze, M., Kruger, K., Labitzke, K. and Roff, G.L. 2003. Thermal and dynamical changes of the stratosphere since 1979 and their link to ozone and CO2 changes. J. Geophys. Res. (D Atmos.), 108, no. D1, doi: 10.1029/2002JD002069.

Le Marshall, J.F., Leslie, L.M., Abbey, R.F. Jr and Qi, L. 2002. Tropical cyclone track and intensity prediction: The generation and assimilation of high-density, satellite-derived data. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 80, 43-57.

Le Marshall, J.F., Mills, G.A., Pescod, N., Seecamp, R., Puri, K.K., Stewart, P.K., Leslie, L.M., Rea, A., 2002. The estimation of high density atmospheric motion vectors and their application to operational numerical weather prediction. Aust. Met. Mag., 51, 173-180.

Lemus-Deschamps, L., Galindo, I., Solano, R., Elizalde, A.T. and Fonseca, J. 2002. Diagnosis of clear sky ultraviolet radiation for Mexico. Atmosfera, 15, 165-171.

Manins, P.C., Cope, M.E., Hess, G.D., Nelson, P.F., Puri, K., Wong, N. and Young, M., 2002. The Australian Air Quality Forecasting System: prognostic air quality forecasting in Australia. Clean Air and Environ. Quality, 36, 43-48.

May, P.T., Cummings, F., Koutsovasilis, J., Jones, R. and Shaw, D. 2002. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology 1280-MHz wind profiler. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 19, 911-923.

May, P.T., Jameson A.R., Keenan, T.D., Johnston, P.E. and Lucas, C. 2002. Combined wind profiler/polarimetric radar studies of the vertical motion and microphysical characteristics of tropical sea-breeze thunderstorms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2228-2239.

May, P.T., Lucas, C., Lataitis, R. and  Reid, I.M. 2003. On the use of 50-MHz RASS in thunderstorms. J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 20, 936-943.
 
Meehl, G.A., Arblaster, J.M. and Loschnigg, J. 2003. Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Dynamical Processes in the Tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans and the TBO. J. Climate, 16, 2138-2158.

Mills, G.A., 2002. A case of coastal interaction with a cool change. Aust. Met. Mag., 51, 203-221.

Nicholls, N. 2002. El Niņo and the Southern Oscillation: Observation. Pages 713-719 in Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences (Holton, J. R., Curry, J. A. and Pyle, J. A., eds.), Academic Press, Amsterdam, 6 vols.

Nicholls, N. 2003. El Niņo in Australia. Chapter 43 in Handbook of Weather, Climate, and Water, T. D. Potter and B. R. Colman (eds.), Wiley, 966 pp.

Nicholls, N. 2003. Continued anomalous warming in Australia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1370.

Pitman, A.J. and McAvaney, B.J. 2002. The role of surface energy balance complexity in land surface models' sensitivity to increasing carbon dioxide. Climate Dyn., 19, 609-618.

Richter, H. and Bosart, L.F. 2002. The suppression of deep moist convection near the Southern Great Plains dryline. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1665-1691.

Roff, G.L. and Yano, J. -I. 2002. Tropical convective variability in the CAPE phase space. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 2317-2333.

Schafer, R., Avery, S., May, P., Rajopadhyaya, D. and Williams, C. 2002. Estimation of rainfall drop size distributions from dual-frequency wind profiler spectra using deconvolution and a nonlinear least squares fitting technique. J. Atmos. and Oceanic Technol., 19, 864-874.

Seaman, R.S. 2002. The relevance of Benford's Law to background field errors in data assimilation. Aust. Met. Mag., 51, 25-33.

Seed, A.W. 2003. A dynamic and spatial scaling approach to advection forecasting. J. Appl. Meteorol., 42, 381-388.

Shinoda, T. and Hendon, H.H. 2002. Rectified wind forcing and latent heat flux produced by the Madden-Julian oscillation. J. Climate, 15, 3500-3508 .

Sun, Z. and Pethick, D. 2002. Comparison between observed and modelled radiative properties of stratocumulus clouds. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 2691-2712.

Timbal, B., Dufour, A. and McAvaney, B. 2003. An estimate of future climate change for western France using a statistical downscaling technique. Climate Dyn., 20, 807-823.

Timbal, B., Power, S., Colman, R., Viviand, J. and Lirola, S. 2002. Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over Australia? J. Climate, 15, 1230-1238.

Tselioudis, G. and Jakob, C. 2002. Evaluation of midlatitude cloud properties in a weather and a climate model: Dependence on dynamic regime and spatial resolution. J. Geophys. Res. (D Atmos.), 107, no. D24, doi: 10.1029/2002JD002259.

Wang, G., Kleeman, R., Smith, N. and Tseitkin, F. 2002. The BMRC coupled general circulation model ENSO forecast system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 975-991.

Wheeler, M.C. 2002. "Tropical Meteorology: Equatorial Waves". Contribution to the Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences (Eds., Holton, Curry and Pyle), Academic Press, 2313-2325.

Zhang, H. and Frederiksen, C.S. 2003. Local and Non-local Impacts of Soil Moisture Initialization on AGCM Seasonal Forecasts: A Model Sensitivity Study. J Climate, 16, 2117-2137.

Alves, O., Balmaseda, M.A., Anderson, D., Stockdale, T., 2002. Sensitivity of dynamical seasonal forecasts to ocean initial conditions. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 369, September 2002, pp 24.

Chambers, L., Li, F. and Nicholls, N. 2002. Seasonal climate forecasts for south-west Western Australia. BMRC Research Report No. 86, Bur. Met. Australia.

Chambers, L., Li, F., and Nicholls, N. 2002. Seasonal climate forecasts for south-west Western Australia. BMRC Research Report No. 86, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, July 2002, 34 pp.

Chambers, L.E. 2003. South Australian rainfall variability and trends. BMRC Research Report No. 92, Bur. Met. Australia.

Hollis, A.J. and Meighen, P.J. (eds) 2002. 'Modelling and predicting extreme events'; Extended abstracts of presentations at the fourteenth annual BMRC modelling workshop, 11-13 November 2002. BMRC Research Report No. 90, Bur. Met. Australia.

Hope, P. 2002. Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) workshop Cambridge, England, June 22-26 2002. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological Oceanographic Society. 15, 96-97.

Keenan, T., Joe, P., Wilson, J., Collier, C., Golding, B., Burgess, D., May, P., Pierce, C., Bally, J., Crook, A., Seed, A., Sills, D., Berry, L., Potts, R., Bell, I., Fox, N., Ebert, E., Eilts,  M., O'Loughlin, K., Webb, R., Carbone, R., Browning, K., Roberts, R. and Mueller, C. 2002. World Weather Research Programme forecast demonstration project: overview and current status. BMRC Research Report No. 85, Bur. Met. Australia.

Lemus-Deschamps, L., Colman, R., Fraser, J. and Zhong, A. 2002. The model and climatological data comparison system (MACCS). BMRC Research Report No. 88, Bur. Met. Australia.

McBride, J.L., 2002. The Sydney and Blue Mountains fires: Christmas Day 2001. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological Oceanographic Society. 15, 13.

McMichael, A., Woodruff, R., Whetton, P., Hennessy, K., Nicholls, N., Hales, S., Woodward, A. and Kjellstrom, T. 2002. Risk assessment regarding human health and climate change in Australasia, NCEPH, ANU.

Nicholls, N. 2002. Indian Ocean Climate Initiative, 2002. Climate variability and change in south west Western Australia. Dept. Of Environment, Perth, September 2002, 34 pp.

Prabowo, M. and Nicholls, N. 2002. Osilasi Seletan. Chapter 2 in: Kapan hujan turun? (Partridge, I. J. & Ma'shum, M., eds.), Dept. of Primary Industries, Brisbane, Qld., 52 pp.

Seed, A.W., Siriwardena, L., Sun, X., Jordan, P. and Elliott, J. 2002. On the calibration of Australian weather radars. Cooperative Research Centre for Catchment Hydrology, Report 02/7.

Voldoire, A., Timbal, B. and Power, S. 2002. Statistical-dynamical seasonal forecasting. BMRC Research Report No. 87, Bur. Met. Australia.

Wu, Z-J., Colman, R., Power, S., Wang, X. and B. McAvaney. 2002. The El Niņo Southern Oscillation response in the BMRC Coupled GCM. BMRC Research Report No. 91, Bur. Met. Australia.

Zhang, H., Henderson-Sellers, A., Irannejad, P., Sharmeen, S., Phillips, T. and McGuffie, K. 2002. Land-surface modelling and climate simulations: results over the Australian region from sixteen AMIP II models. BMRC Research Report No. 89, Bur. Met. Australia.