Bureau of Meteorology: Tropical Cyclone Outlook

Introduction

Tropical Cyclone Outlooks provide a probability forecast for potential tropical cyclone development during the coming 3 days.

When is a Tropical Cyclone Outlook Issued?

Tropical Cyclone Outlooks are issued routinely on a daily basis:

  • Indian Ocean (90E to 110E): Every day
  • Northwest Australia (110E to 125E): Only November to April Inclusive
  • Northern Australia (110E to Cape York Peninsula): Only November to April Inclusive
  • Eastern Australia (Coral Sea west of 160E): Only November to April Inclusive
How often is a Tropical Cyclone Outlook issued?

Tropical Cyclone Outlooks are issued every 24 hours during the above-mentioned period. If a cyclone forms, causing warnings or watches to be issued, the outlook will usually just refer to the current warning.

What Information is included in the Tropical Cyclone Outlook?

Each Tropical Cyclone Outlook will consist of the following information:

  • A statement that no cyclones are expected to develop in the next three days
OR
  • A brief explanation of the weather situation
  • Probabilities of development on each of the following three days.
Who is the target audience of Tropical Cyclone Outlooks?

Everybody.

Where are Tropical Cyclone Outlooks Issued?

Tropical Cyclone Outlooks are issued by Regional Offices of the Bureau of Meteorology in Perth for Indian Ocean and NW Australia, Darwin for Northern Australia and Brisbane for the Coral Sea.

Sample Product

Tropical Cyclone Outlook

Other Tropical Cyclone Products

Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Outlook (Provided in October)
Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletins (Issued for existing cyclones not expected to affect the coast within 48 hours)
Tropical Cyclone Watch (Threat 24 to 48 hours)
Tropical Cyclone Warning (Threat less than 24 hours)
Tropical Cyclone Technical Summary
Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map
Education Material

Return to Main Warnings Information Page

Last updated November 2006