Long-range forecasts and drivers

State of the Climate 2022

The latest monitoring, science and projection information on changes in Australia's climate.

Latest rainfall long-range forecast map Latest long-range forecasts

Rainfall and temperature

Northern rainfall totals since 1 SeptemberNorthern Rainfall Onset

Tropical forecasts and monitoring

Latest Climate and Water long-range forecast videoGo to latest long-range forecast video

Videos, presentations, links


Latest Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly mapLatest Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly map

Climate drivers

Latest model outlooksLatest Bureau Pacific SST forecast graph

Climate model forecasts

ENSO forecast status
Map showing Pacific Ocean warming and Trade Wind direction
About El Niño and La Niña
Rainfall ranges: Compare current rainfall with the historical rangeRainfall range graphs

Rainfall ranges

Map of average rainfall in El Niño yearsAbout El Niño and La Niño rainfall patterns

Rainfall patterns (ENSO)

Map of average rainfall in negative IOD yearsAbout Indian Ocean Dipole events and impacts

Rainfall patterns (IOD)

Understand climate influences and long-range forecasts

Screen capture from climate outlooks

About the outlooks

Opens popup with video About ENSO

Videos

Interpreting long-range forecast

  • Animations, videos, case studies and quizzes about the Bureau's long-range forecast service. Registration free, via COMET-MetEd

Map showing key Australian Climate InfluencesClimate Influences of Australia

Influences on Australian climate

Screen capture from Climate Dogs videoClimate Influences of Australia

Influences – Climate Dogs

Climate Influences of Australia, PDF graphical summaries

Climate influences – infographics

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Climate