MEDIA RELEASE - ISSUED 15th AUGUST 2001
Odds on for warm spring
The current climate patterns, particularly a warm Indian Ocean, favour above average spring temperatures in many areas. The chances of above average maximum temperatures are over 60% in the southeast, the far west and across most of Queensland and the N.T., (see first map below), according to the National Climate Centre.
Most notably, around the Gulf of Carpentaria the chances are between 70 and 80%. So in years similar to the present, about 7 or 8 spring seasons out of every 10 are warmer than average in these areas, whilst about 2 or 3 out of 10 are cooler. In addition, the outlook method has moderate to high skill over much of these areas.
The outlook for seasonal minimum temperatures is even more strongly in favour of above average readings, with 70 to 80% chances over the vast bulk of western, central and southeast Australia (see second map below). Also, forecast skill is moderate to high over most of these regions for spring.
For more information regarding this outlook please contact the following climate meteorologists in the National Climate Centre during normal office hours from 9:00am to 5:30pm (EST) Monday to Friday:
Grant Beard on (03) 9669 4527
THE NEXT ISSUE OF THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK IS EXPECTED BY 13th SEPTEMBER 2001.