Qld Seasonal Temperature Outlook: probabilities for July to September 2003, issued 17th June 2003

Warmer season in north Queensland

The Bureau's latest seasonal temperature outlook shows the odds are shifted in favour of warmer than average daytime temperatures across the northern half of Queensland.

For the July to September period, the chances of above average seasonal daytime temperatures are between 60 and 70% across the northern half of the State, approaching 75% close to the Gulf of Carpentaria. These probabilities are mostly as a result of recent above average temperatures in the Pacific Ocean.

So with climate patterns like the current, about 7 seasons out of every 10 are expected to be warmer than average across northern Queensland with about 3 out of 10 being cooler. In the southern half of the State the chances of above average seasonal temperatures are between 50 and 60%. The Bureau's July to September maximum temperature outlooks have moderate to high reliability over most of Queensland (see background information).

Warmer than average nights are also favoured over all of Queensland. The chances of above average seasonal minimum temperatures are between 60 and 70% across most of the State, increasing to near 75% over southern inland areas. Minimum temperature outlooks for the season have moderate to high reliability over eastern Queensland.

probability of exceeding median maximum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
probability of exceeding median minimum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
 

Click on the maps above for larger versions of the maps. Use the reload/refresh button to ensure the latest forecast maps are displayed.

 
More information on this outlook is available from 9.00am to 5.00pm (EST) Monday to Friday by contacting the Climate and Consultancy section in the Bureau's Brisbane Office: (07) 3239 8669 or (07) 3239 8666.
 

THE NEXT ISSUE OF THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK IS EXPECTED BY 16th JULY 2003.

Archive of previous National Seasonal Rainfall Outlooks

Archive of previous National Seasonal Temperature Outlooks

Maximum temperature departures from average for March to May 2003 - base period 1961-1990

Minimum temperature departures from average for March to May 2003 - base period 1961-1990

 

Background Information