NSW Seasonal Temperature Outlook: probabilities for August to October 2003, issued 16th July 2003

Increased warmth favoured in NSW during late winter/mid-spring

The Bureau's latest seasonal temperature outlook shows generally large swings towards warmer than average daytime and night-time temperatures over much of country for the late winter to mid-spring period.

For the August to October period, the chances of above average seasonal daytime temperatures are generally between 65 and 75% over NSW, approaching 80% in the far north of the State near the Queensland border. The overall pattern of probabilities has mainly resulted from a warmer than average Indian Ocean.

So with climate patterns like the current, about 7 seasons out of every 10 are expected to be warmer than average over NSW with about 3 out of 10 being cooler. The Bureau's August to October maximum temperature outlooks have moderate reliability over NSW apart from the far south of the State. (see background information).

Warmer than average nights are also favoured over New South Wales with the chances of above average seasonal minimum temperatures being mainly between 65 and 75%. Minimum temperature outlooks for the season have low to moderate reliability over NSW.

probability of exceeding median maximum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
probability of exceeding median minimum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
 

Click on the maps above for larger versions of the maps. Use the reload/refresh button to ensure the latest forecast maps are displayed.

 
More information on this outlook is available from 9.00am to 5.00pm (EST) Monday to Friday by contacting the Climate and Consultancy section in the Bureau's Sydney Office: (02) 9296 1522.
 

THE NEXT ISSUE OF THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK IS EXPECTED BY 19th AUGUST 2003.

Maximum temperature departures from average for April to June 2003 - base period 1961-1990

Minimum temperature departures from average for April to June 2003 - base period 1961-1990

 

Background Information