NT Seasonal Temperature Outlook: probabilities for August to October 2003, issued 16th July 2003

Increased warmth favoured in the NT during late winter/mid-spring

The Bureau's latest seasonal temperature outlook shows generally large swings towards warmer than average daytime and night-time temperatures over much of country for the late winter to mid-spring period.

For the August to October period, the chances of above average seasonal daytime temperatures are mostly between 60 and 75% over the Northern Territory. The overall pattern of probabilities has mainly resulted from a warmer than average Indian Ocean.

So with climate patterns like the current, about 7 seasons out of every 10 are expected to be warmer than average over most of the continent, with about 3 out of 10 being cooler. The Bureau's August to October maximum temperature outlooks have moderate reliability over the southern half of the NT (see background information).

Warmer than average nights are also favoured over the Territory and the chances of this occurring once again range from about 60 to 75%. However, minimum temperature outlooks for the season have largely low reliability over the the NT.

probability of exceeding median maximum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
probability of exceeding median minimum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
 

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More information on this outlook is available from 9.00am to 5.00pm (CST) Monday to Friday by contacting the Climate and Consultancy section in the Bureau's Darwin Office: (08) 8920 3813.
 

THE NEXT ISSUE OF THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK IS EXPECTED BY 19th AUGUST 2003.

Maximum temperature departures from average for April to June 2003 - base period 1961-1990

Minimum temperature departures from average for April to June 2003 - base period 1961-1990

 

Background Information