SA Seasonal Temperature Outlook: probabilities for August to October 2003, issued 16th July 2003

Increased warmth favoured in South Australia during late winter/mid-spring

The Bureau's latest seasonal temperature outlook shows generally large swings towards warmer than average daytime and night-time temperatures over much of country for the late winter to mid-spring period.

For the August to October period, the chances of above average seasonal daytime temperatures are between 65 and 75% over South Australia. The overall pattern of probabilities has mainly resulted from a warmer than average Indian Ocean.

So with climate patterns like the current, about 7 seasons out of every 10 are expected to be warmer than average over SA, with about 3 out of 10 being cooler. The Bureau's August to October maximum temperature outlooks have moderate to high reliability over northern SA, but low skill levels in the south of the State (see background information).

Warmer than average nights are also favoured over South Australia with the chances of above average seasonal minimum temperatures once again generally ranging between 65 and 75%. Minimum temperature outlooks for the season have moderate reliability over much of the State.

probability of exceeding median maximum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
probability of exceeding median minimum temperature - click on the image for a larger version of the map
 

Click on the maps above for larger versions of the maps. Use the reload/refresh button to ensure the latest forecast maps are displayed.

 
More information on this outlook is available from 9.00am to 5.00pm (CST) Monday to Friday by contacting the Climate and Consultancy section in the Bureau's Adelaide Office: (08) 8366 2664.
 

THE NEXT ISSUE OF THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK IS EXPECTED BY 19th AUGUST 2003.

Maximum temperature departures from average for April to June 2003 - base period 1961-1990

Minimum temperature departures from average for April to June 2003 - base period 1961-1990

 

Background Information