MEDIA RELEASE - ISSUED 17th July 2001
Odds on for warm winter-spring
The current climate patterns favour a warmer than average August to October. The chances of above average seasonal maximum temperatures are over 60% across most of the country (see first map below), according to the National Climate Centre.
Most notably, in southwest W.A. and southern Queensland, the chances are between 70 and 80%. So in years similar to the present, about 7 or 8 out of every 10 are warmer than average in these areas, whilst about 2 or 3 out of 10 are cooler. In addition, the outlook method has moderate to high skill over much of these areas.
The outlook for seasonal minimum temperatures is quite similar, especially in the same parts of W.A and Queensland where the odds heavily favour warmer than average nights (see second map below). Forecast skill in southern Queensland is less than for maximum temperatures, however.
For more information regarding this outlook please contact the following climate meteorologists in the National Climate Centre during normal office hours from 9:00am to 5:30pm (EST) Monday to Friday:
Grant Beard on (03) 9669 4527
THE NEXT ISSUE OF THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK IS EXPECTED BY 15th AUGUST 2001.