MEDIA RELEASE - ISSUED 14th JUNE 2000
Three-month Seasonal Climate Outlook Summary: Temperature probabilities for July to September 2000
Odds favour warm season in the west
The seasonal temperature outlook for July to September shows increased chances for above average seasonal maximum temperatures in southern and western areas of the country. The highest probabilities occur in W.A. where they reach 60 to 70% (see first map below), but chances are also above 55% over Victoria, Tasmania, most of South Australia and the southwest of the Northern Territory. Through Queensland though, the chances are reduced - being of the order of 40 to 45%.
The outlook system has moderate skill or reliability in most parts of the country for the current season, except in the southeast where it's low.
The outlook for warmer seasonal minimum temperatures is shown in the second map below. As with maximum temperatures, the odds are up somewhat over southern Western Australia (55-60%), but down across many northern regions where chances range from 40 to 45%.
For this season, seasonal minimum temperature forecasts show high skill in southern W.A., moderate skill in Queensland and northern N.S.W., and low reliability elsewhere.
For more information regarding this outlook please contact the following climate meteorologists in the National Climate Centre during normal office hours from 8:45am to 5:30pm (EST) Monday to Friday:
Grant Beard on (03) 9669 4527