MEDIA RELEASE - ISSUED 14th June 2001
Odds point to a warm season
The current climate patterns favour a warmer than average July to September period over much of the country. Most notably, the chances of above average seasonal maximum temperatures are in the 60 to 70% range in large areas of west and south W.A., as well as tropical northern Australia (see first map below), according to the National Climate Centre.
So in years similar to the present, about 6 or 7 out of every 10 are warmer than average in these areas, whilst about 3 or 4 out of 10 are cooler. In addition, the outlook method has moderate to high skill over much of this area.
The outlook for seasonal minimum temperatures is similar, especially in west and south W.A. where the odds heavily favour warmer than average nights (see second map below). The chances there range from about 60 to 80%. Warmer than average nights are also favoured over a large part of southern Queensland and northeast NSW with chances of 60 to 65%, that is, about 6 out of every 10 in this kind of situation.
For more information regarding this outlook please contact the following climate meteorologists in the National Climate Centre during normal office hours from 9:00am to 5:30pm (EST) Monday to Friday:
Grant Beard on (03) 9669 4527
THE NEXT ISSUE OF THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK IS EXPECTED BY 17th JULY 2001.