Monday, 7 April 2008 - Monthly Climate Summary for South Australia - Product code IDCKGC13R0
Jump to: Extremes Records Summaries Notes the top
Rainfall over the Pastoral Districts was generally very much below average. Some locations had equal lowest March rainfall totals on record recording no rainfall, though this is not unusual for this time of year.
Rainfall totals were generally less than 2 mm, with several stations including Woomera Aerodrome, Andamooka, Marree, Mount Eba and Nonning receiving no rainfall for the month.
The highest rainfall total was 14.0 mm at Mintabie in the North West District.
Rainfall totals over the Agricultural Districts were near to below average generally.
Totals were typically 5 to 10 mm, tending 10 to 15 mm on the Adelaide plains, with the Mount Lofty ranges and the Lower South East districts seeing totals more typically in the 15 to 25 mm range.
The highest rainfall reported in the Agricultural Districts was 37.6 mm at Hoyleton in the Lower North district, recording 30 mm of this in thunderstorm activity on the 12th and 13th of the month.
See a map of total rainfall.
See a map of rainfall deciles.
The first half of the month saw widespread very much above average temperatures, particularly in the southern half of South Australia, resulting in a very prolonged heatwave. This was the result of a persistent northerly air-stream from a 'blocking' high remaining near stationary in the Tasman Sea through this period. For more detail, a Special Climate Statement was issued on the 20th March 2008 (see http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/special-statements.shtml). Many stations had highest March daily maximum and minimum temperature records for March, and record longest runs of days above 35°C and 40°C across the whole year.
The remainder of the month saw a change to a prolonged southerly air-stream, with the high pressure centres becoming established to the south of Western Australia, bringing conditions significantly cooler than average.
While this was not as extreme as the first half of the month, some locations recorded lowest daily minimum temperatures for March. The average temperatures across the whole month remained well above average, with some stations breaking records for mean March temperatures.
Looking at the state as a whole 2008 was the second warmest March on record since are averages began in 1950, after 1986.
Mean maximum temperatures averaged across the whole month were generally 1 to 3°C above average across the pastoral districts, ranging from 31.4°C at Yunta in the Northeast Pastoral district to 35.46°C at Marree Comparison in the Far North Pastoral district.
Tarcoola Airport recorded the highest daily maximum for the month in the pastoral areas, with 41.7°C on the 8th. Yunta recorded the coolest with 18.7°C on the 27th.
Mean maximum temperatures in the agricultural areas averaged over the complete month were generally 4 to 6°C above average.
Mean maximum temperatures across the Agricultural Districts ranged from 23.1°C at Robe in the Lower Southeast district to 33.7°C at Port Augusta Aerodrome in the Upper North district.
42.7°C was the highest daily maximum temperature recorded for the month at Ceduna AMO and Nullarbor on the 9th and Kyancutta on the 8th.The coolest daily maximum was 13.5°C at Mount Crawford on the 27th.
Highest daily March maximum temperatures were recorded at Cape Borda on Kangaroo Island, Meningie in the Lower Murray Valley, and Mount Gambier and Naracoorte Aerodrome in the Lower South East.
Locations breaking longest runs of daily maximum temperatures above 35°C or 40°C include Adelaide, Ceduna, Elliston, Snowtown, Kyancutta and Nuriootpa (see the Special Climate Statement).
Despite the cool finish many stations had highest March mean maximum temperatures on record, including Ceduna, Elliston, Kimba and Yongala, Loxton, Lameroo, Streaky Bay, Mount Gambier Aerodrome, Renmark, Keith, Adelaide Airport, Warooka and Mount Barker.
Mean minimum temperatures across the month were generally 1 to 3°C above average over the state.
Mean minimum temperatures in the Pastoral districts ranged from 13.1°C at Gluepot in the Northeast district, to 19.8°C at Marree in the Far North district.
The lowest recorded daily minimum temperature in the Pastoral districts was 3.1°C at both Gluepot and Yunta, on the 27thand 28th respectively. The warmest was 28.7°C at Oodnadatta Airport on the 16th.
Across the Agricultural areas mean minimum temperatures ranged from 9.9°C at Coonawarra in the Lower South East district to 17.9°C at Adelaide.
The lowest recorded daily minimum temperature in the Agricultural districts was −0.9°C at Keith in the Upper Southeast district on the 28th. The warmest daily minimum temperature was at Adelaide on the 14th when a new March daily minimum record was equaled with 30.2°C.
Maitland and Streaky Bay had highest March mean minimum temperatures on record.
Many stations had record highest daily March minimum temperatures including Kimba, Kyancutta, Price, Adelaide, Eudunda, Meningie, Keith and Murray Bridge.
Stations recording lowest daily March minimum temperatures included Leigh Creek, Elliston and Hawker.
Renmark managed to achieve both records in the one month, looking across both the town and aerodrome records, as well as highest daily March maximum temperature on record!!
Some sites had their highest March temperature on record.
Some sites had their coldest March day (lowest maximum temperature) on record.
Some sites had their highest March mean daily maximum temperature on record.
See a map of mean maximum temperatures.
See a map of maximum temperature anomalies.
Some sites had their lowest March temperature on record.
Some sites had their warmest March night (highest daily minimum temperature) on record.
Some sites had their highest March mean daily minimum temperature on record.
See a map of mean minimum temperatures.
See a map of minimum temperature anomalies.
| Hottest day Highest temperature |
42.7°C at Kyancutta on the 8th 42.7°C at Ceduna AMO on the 9th 42.7°C at Nullarbor on the 9th |
|---|---|
| Warmest days on average Highest mean daily maximum temperature | 35.4°C at Marree Comparison |
| Coolest days on average Lowest mean daily maximum temperature | 23.1°C at Robe Comparison |
| Coldest day Lowest daily maximum temperature | 13.5°C at Mount Crawford Fire Tower on the 27th |
| Coldest night Lowest temperature | −0.9°C at Keith (Munkora) on the 28th |
| Coolest nights on average Lowest mean daily minimum temperature | 9.9°C at Coonawarra |
| Warmest nights on average Highest mean daily minimum temperature | 19.7°C at Marree Comparison |
| Warmest night Highest daily minimum temperature | 30.2°C at Adelaide (Kent Town) on the 14th |
| Wettest overall Highest total rainfall | 37.6 mm at Hoyleton |
| Highest wind gust | 85 km/h at Nullarbor on the 17th |
Jump to: Extremes Records Summaries Notes the top
| Record highest March temperature | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Highest temperature in March 2008 (°C) |
Previous highest for March |
Years of record |
Normal for March |
|||
| Mount Gambier Aero | 41.3 | on the 17th | 41.1 | on the 6th in 1986 | 67 | 23.0 |
| Neptune Island | 34.6 | on the 13th | 32.8 | on the 2nd in 1965 | 47 | 21.0 |
| Meningie | 40.5 | on the 17th | 40.0 | on the 6th in 1986 | 42 | 24.1 |
| Maitland | 40.1 | on the 9th | 39.7 | on the 2nd in 2007 | 27 | 25.7 |
| Record lowest March daily maximum temperature | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lowest daily maximum temperature in March 2008 (°C) |
Previous lowest for March |
Years of record |
Normal for March |
|||
| Maitland | 17.0 | on the 27th | 17.2 | on the 29th in 2007 | 27 | 25.7 |
| Record highest March mean daily maximum temperature | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mean daily maximum temperature for March 2008 (°C) |
Previous highest for March |
Years of record |
Normal for March |
||
| Mount Barker | 30.1 | 28.8 | in 1940 | 108 | 24.6 |
| Ceduna AMO | 32.0 | 30.2 | in 1953 | 67 | 26.6 |
| Mount Gambier Aero | 27.0 | 26.4 | in 1974 | 67 | 23.0 |
| Adelaide Airport | 29.7 | 28.2 | in 1971 | 54 | 25.4 |
| Keith | 30.7 | 29.8 | in 1974 | 54 | 26.8 |
| Warooka | 28.8 | 27.4 | in 1986 | 49 | 25.0 |
| Elliston | 29.4 | 26.6 | in 1996 | 47 | 24.0 |
| Neptune Island | 23.4 | 22.4 | in 2007 | 47 | 21.0 |
| Rosedale (Turretfield Research Centre) | 31.5 | 30.5 | in 1986 | 47 | 27.2 |
| Eudunda | 29.5 | 28.6 | in 1986 | 44 | 25.5 |
| Meningie | 28.8 | 26.0 | in 2006 | 42 | 24.1 |
| Murray Bridge Comparison | 32.0 | 29.4 | in 1986 | 42 | 26.5 |
| Cape Willoughby | 23.8 | 22.5 | in 1986 | 41 | 20.6 |
| Kimba | 31.5 | 30.8 | in 1986 | 41 | 27.8 |
| Edinburgh RAAF | 31.1 | 29.4 | in 1986 | 36 | 26.8 |
| Adelaide (Kent Town) | 30.9 | 28.9 | in 1986 | 32 | 26.2 |
| Maitland | 30.0 | 27.8 | in 1974 | 27 | 25.7 |
| Record highest March daily minimum temperature | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Highest daily minimum temperature in March 2008 (°C) |
Previous highest for March |
Years of record |
Normal for March |
|||
| Kyancutta | 27.4 | on the 14th | 26.5 | on the 11th in 1978 | 79 | 12.3 |
| Neptune Island | 21.7 | on the 9th | 21.2 | on the 1st in 1989 | 47 | 15.9 |
| Keith | 26.1 | on the 14th | 26.0 | on the 22nd in 1982 | 46 | 11.4 |
| Eudunda | 27.6 | on the 14th | 24.1 | on the 8th in 1966 | 44 | 12.1 |
| Price | 25.4 | on the 14th | 23.2 | on the 8th in 1983 | 44 | 14.1 |
| Meningie | 26.1 | on the 14th | 25.0 | on the 13th in 1985 | 42 | 12.5 |
| Murray Bridge Comparison | 25.2 | on the 14th | 23.1 | on the 13th in 1985 | 42 | 12.8 |
| Kimba | 25.8 | on the 14th | 25.0 | on the 13th in 1985 | 41 | 13.9 |
| Adelaide (Kent Town) | 30.2 | on the 14th | 29.7 | on the 13th in 1985 | 32 | 15.1 |
| Maitland | 27.0 | on the 17th | 26.9 | on the 2nd in 2000 | 28 | 14.2 |
| Record lowest March temperature | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lowest temperature in March 2008 (°C) |
Previous lowest for March |
Years of record |
Normal for March |
|||
| Elliston | 4.0 | on the 28th | 5.3 | on the 31st in 1969 | 47 | 14.2 |
| Hawker | 5.1 | on the 28th | 5.5 | on the 24th in 1977 | 35 | 14.8 |
| Leigh Creek Airport | 6.7 | on the 29th | 8.3 | on the 28th in 1984 | 25 | 17.3 |
| Record highest March mean daily minimum temperature | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mean daily minimum temperature for March 2008 (°C) |
Previous highest for March |
Years of record |
Normal for March |
||
| Streaky Bay | 17.5 | 17.3 | in 1940 | 82 | 14.7 |
| Maitland | 17.4 | 16.9 | in 1974 | 28 | 14.2 |
Jump to: Extremes Records Summaries Notes the top
| Summary statistics for March 2008 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximum temperatures for March (°C) |
Minimum temperatures for March (°C) |
Rainfall for March (millimetres) |
||||||||||
| Mean for March 2008 |
Diff from normal |
Highest for March 2008 |
Mean for March 2008 |
Diff from normal |
Lowest for March 2008 |
Total for March 2008 |
Normal for March |
Rank of March 2008 |
Fraction of March normal |
|||
| Northwest (district 16) | ||||||||||||
| Andamooka | 33.5 | +1.3 | 40.2 | 8th | 18.1 | −0.1 | 11.3 | 28th | 0 | 14.2 | lowest | 0% |
| Coober Pedy Airport | 33.3 | 40.1 | 8th | 19.3 | 11.2 | 29th | 0 | |||||
| Ernabella | 31.9 | 37.7 | 16th | 17.4 | 10.2 | 28th | 10.6 | |||||
| Nonning | 32.2 | +2.8 | 40.2 | 8th | 15.0 | +0.7 | 4.4 | 29th | 0 | 14.6 | lowest | 0% |
| Roxby Downs | 34.0 | 40.1 | 8th | 16.9 | 7.2 | 28th | 0 | |||||
| Tarcoola Aero | 34.0 | 41.7 | 8th | 16.2 | 6.1 | 28th | 0.4 | |||||
| Woomera Aerodrome | 32.7 | +2.3 | 39.7 | 13th | 18.4 | +1.6 | 10.1 | 27th | 0 | 13.4 | lowest | 0% |
| Far North (district 17) | ||||||||||||
| Leigh Creek Airport | 33.2 | +2.0 | 40.0 | 7th | 17.8 | +0.5 | 6.7 | 29th | 0 | 16.6 | very low | 0% |
| Marree Aero | 35.3 | 41.4 | 8th | 18.8 | 8.7 | 29th | 0 | |||||
| Marree Comparison | 35.4 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 8th | 19.7 | +1.8 | 10.5 | 28th | 0 | 14.1 | lowest | 0% |
| Moomba Airport | 34.4 | 39.3 | 8th | 19.2 | 9.1 | 29th | 0.2 | |||||
| Oodnadatta Airport | 34.6 | +0.9 | 40.6 | 8th | 19.0 | −0.2 | 10.0 | 28th | 1.4 | 12.1 | normal | 12% |
| Western Agricultural (district 18) | ||||||||||||
| Ceduna AMO | 32.0 | +5.4 | 42.7 | 9th | 14.3 | +1.2 | 3.8 | 27th | 3.4 | 16.1 | normal | 21% |
| Cleve | 30.8 | +5.0 | 41.1 | 9th | 16.9 | +2.2 | 8.4 | 27th | 6.8 | 20.4 | low | 33% |
| Cleve Aerodrome | 31.0 | 41.3 | 10th | 16.3 | 8.2 | 27th | 6.2 | 19.8 | normal | 31% | ||
| Coulta | 28.9 | 38.7 | 8th | 15.6 | 6.2 | 27th | 8.8 | |||||
| Cummins Aero | 31.6 | 42.0 | 9th | 14.8 | 3.0 | 28th | 4.4 | |||||
| Elliston | 29.4 | +5.4 | 39.2 | 9th | 16.0 | +1.8 | 4.0 | 28th | 4.4 | 14.5 | low | 30% |
| Kimba | 31.5 | +3.7 | 40.5 | 8th | 16.4 | +2.5 | 6.6 | 27th | 1.0 | 16.0 | low | 6% |
| Kyancutta | 33.6 | +3.7 | 42.7 | 8th | 13.6 | +1.3 | 2.9 | 27th | 0.5 | 13.4 | low | 4% |
| Minnipa DPI | 31.6 | 41.5 | 8th | 16.8 | 6.6 | 27th | 3.0 | |||||
| Neptune Island | 23.4 | +2.4 | 34.6 | 13th | 16.9 | +1.0 | 12.6 | 27th | 17.8 | 18.9 | normal | 94% |
| North Shields | 27.9 | 42.4 | 9th | 15.0 | 7.1 | 28th | 10.0 | |||||
| Nullarbor | 30.9 | +4.4 | 42.7 | 9th | 14.3 | +0.3 | 5.3 | 28th | 5.2 | 21.4 | normal | 24% |
| Port Augusta Aero | 33.7 | 41.8 | 10th | 17.5 | 6.6 | 28th | 0 | |||||
| Streaky Bay | 31.1 | +3.9 | 40.6 | 9th | 17.5 | +2.8 | 9.1 | 27th | 3.6 | 14.5 | normal | 25% |
| Whyalla Aero | 31.2 | +4.1 | 41.3 | 13th | 15.8 | +0.5 | 7.7 | 29th | 8.6 | 19.8 | normal | 43% |
| Wudinna Aero | 33.0 | 41.8 | 8th | 14.9 | 3.2 | 27th | 0.6 | |||||
| Upper North (district 19) | ||||||||||||
| Hawker | 32.1 | +2.0 | 39.2 | 13th | 15.4 | +0.6 | 5.1 | 28th | 0 | 16.2 | lowest | 0% |
| Yongala | 29.0 | +1.8 | 38.5 | 10th | 12.1 | +1.4 | 2.2 | 27th | 0 | 16.0 | lowest | 0% |
| Northeast (district 20) | ||||||||||||
| Gluepot Reserve | 32.5 | 41.3 | 13th | 13.1 | 3.1 | 27th | 0 | |||||
| Yunta Airstrip | 31.4 | 39.3 | 12th | 13.2 | 3.1 | 28th | 0 | |||||
| Lower North (district 21) | ||||||||||||
| Clare High School | 29.5 | 38.7 | 10th | 13.8 | 1.4 | 28th | 10.4 | |||||
| Port Pirie Aerodrome | 32.2 | 41.3 | 8th | 16.7 | 7.1 | 28th | 20.4 | |||||
| Port Pirie Nyrstar Comparison | 32.5 | +3.2 | 42.0 | 8th | 18.9 | +3.0 | 10.0 | 28th | 25.0 | 17.9 | high | 140% |
| Snowtown | 31.9 | 40.8 | 10th | 13.6 | 2.9 | 28th | 8.0 | |||||
| Yorke Peninsula (district 22A) | ||||||||||||
| Edithburgh | 26.9 | 41.1 | 13th | 15.2 | 6.8 | 28th | 9.6 | |||||
| Kadina AWS | 31.6 | 40.8 | 8th | 13.4 | 3.6 | 28th | 6.2 | |||||
| Maitland | 30.0 | +4.2 | 40.1 | 9th | 17.4 | +3.1 | 8.0 | 28th | 10.6 | 20.2 | normal | 52% |
| Minlaton Aero | 30.2 | 41.0 | 13th | 15.9 | 6.5 | 28th | 8.0 | |||||
| Stenhouse Bay | 26.6 | 41.2 | 9th | 16.8 | 10.5 | 28th | 9.2 | |||||
| Warooka | 28.8 | +3.8 | 38.2 | 7th | 16.2 | +1.7 | 9.0 | 28th | 3.6 | 16.1 | low | 22% |
| Kangaroo Island (district 22B) | ||||||||||||
| Cape Willoughby | 23.8 | +3.3 | 35.3 | 13th | 16.0 | +0.5 | 10.2 | 27th | 10.0 | 21.1 | normal | 47% |
| Kingscote Aero | 28.3 | 39.9 | 17th | 11.2 | 3.3 | 28th | 6.4 | |||||
| Adelaide Plains (district 23A) | ||||||||||||
| Adelaide | 30.9 | +4.7 | 40.5 | 17th | 17.9 | +2.8 | 9.1 | 27th | 16.2 | 25.2 | normal | 64% |
| Adelaide Airport | 29.7 | +4.3 | 40.0 | 17th | 16.7 | +2.4 | 8.7 | 27th | 12.0 | 20.8 | normal | 58% |
| Edinburgh RAAF | 31.1 | +4.4 | 40.9 | 13th | 16.5 | +2.1 | 6.8 | 27th | 17.6 | 23.9 | normal | 74% |
| Parafield Airport | 31.2 | +4.5 | 40.0 | 17th | 16.4 | +1.9 | 6.4 | 27th | 8.0 | 21.1 | normal | 38% |
| County Light (district 23B) | ||||||||||||
| Nuriootpa Viticultural | 29.8 | 39.2 | 16th | 12.7 | 0.9 | 28th | 6.8 | |||||
| Rosedale | 31.5 | +4.3 | 41.0 | 13th | 14.8 | +1.6 | 3.0 | 28th | 10.1 | 19.8 | normal | 51% |
| Mount Lofty Ranges (district 23°C) | ||||||||||||
| Hindmarsh Island AWS | 28.1 | 40.6 | 17th | 14.9 | 8.6 | 22nd | 22.2 | |||||
| Kuitpo Forest Reserve | 27.7 | 37.4 | 8th | 15.3 | 6.9 | 27th | 20.6 | |||||
| Mount Barker | 30.1 | +5.5 | 40.5 | 8th | 11.4 | +1.0 | 3.5 | 28th | 17.4 | 31.1 | normal | 56% |
| Mount Crawford Fire Tower | 26.2 | 36.9 | 17th | 14.4 | 5.5 | 21st | 19.4 | |||||
| Noarlunga | 29.5 | 39.5 | 9th | 17.8 | 9.1 | 27th | 7.4 | |||||
| Parawa | 25.9 | 36.9 | 9th | 15.1 | 8.6 | 27th | 29.8 | |||||
| Victor Harbor | 27.4 | 40.5 | 17th | 13.0 | 5.7 | 2nd | 17.6 | |||||
| Upper Murray Valley (district 24A) | ||||||||||||
| Loxton Research Centre | 31.8 | +3.8 | 41.0 | 13th | 12.3 | +0.5 | 3.2 | 30th | 0 | 10.9 | very low | 0% |
| Renmark Aero | 32.2 | 41.7 | 13th | 13.8 | 4.2 | 27th | 0.8 | |||||
| Lower Murray Valley (district 24B) | ||||||||||||
| Eudunda | 29.5 | +4.0 | 39.5 | 10th | 14.7 | +2.6 | 4.9 | 28th | 7.2 | 20.3 | normal | 35% |
| Meningie | 28.8 | +4.7 | 40.5 | 17th | 13.7 | +1.1 | 6.5 | 28th | 11.8 | 22.0 | normal | 54% |
| Murray Bridge | 31.7 | 42.1 | 13th | 12.1 | 3.3 | 28th | 4.6 | |||||
| Murray Bridge Comparison | 32.0 | +5.5 | 42.3 | 9th | 13.3 | +0.5 | 5.1 | 28th | 4.5 | 20.0 | low | 23% |
| Strathalbyn Racecourse | 29.7 | 40.3 | 9th | 13.8 | 6.2 | 22nd | 10.4 | |||||
| Murray Mallee (district 25A) | ||||||||||||
| Karoonda | 31.4 | 42.0 | 13th | 12.9 | 4.0 | 28th | 2.0 | 16.0 | low | 13% | ||
| Upper Southeast (district 25B) | ||||||||||||
| Keith | 30.7 | +3.8 | 41.9 | 13th | 13.3 | +1.9 | 2.5 | 28th | 5.2 | 21.0 | low | 25% |
| Keith | 31.0 | 42.4 | 13th | 11.0 | −0.9 | 28th | 5.4 | |||||
| Lameroo | 31.4 | 41.7 | 13th | 13.0 | 3.1 | 28th | 2.6 | |||||
| Lameroo Comparison | 31.5 | +3.9 | 41.6 | 13th | 13.9 | +2.4 | 4.1 | 27th | 2.4 | 18.1 | low | 13% |
| Lower Southeast (district 26) | ||||||||||||
| Cape Jaffa | 25.6 | 36.3 | 9th | 13.0 | 5.5 | 27th | 17.2 | |||||
| Coonawarra | 29.0 | +4.2 | 39.8 | 13th | 9.9 | −0.1 | 1.7 | 27th | 16.8 | 24.7 | normal | 68% |
| Mount Gambier Aero | 27.0 | +4.0 | 41.3 | 17th | 11.8 | +1.4 | 4.7 | 28th | 29.6 | 34.9 | normal | 85% |
| Naracoorte Aerodrome | 30.2 | 42.0 | 13th | 11.4 | 1.0 | 28th | 7.8 | |||||
| Padthaway South | 29.5 | 40.1 | 17th | 11.2 | 1.7 | 28th | 11.4 | |||||
| Robe Airfield | 25.5 | 37.3 | 13th | 11.2 | 3.8 | 19th | 16.8 | |||||
| Robe Comparison | 23.1 | +2.1 | 33.5 | 16th | 13.4 | +0.7 | 7.4 | 1st | 18.6 | 26.5 | normal | 70% |
Jump to: Extremes Records Summaries Notes the top
This statement has been prepared based on information available at 10 am on Monday 7 April 2008. Some checks have been made on the data, but it is possible that results will change as new information becomes available.
Normals are long-term means based on observations from
all available years of record, which vary widely from site to site.
They are not shown for sites with less than 20 years of record, as they cannot then be calculated reliably.
The median
is sometimes more representative than the
mean
of "normal" rain.
The Rank indicates how rainfall this time compares with the climate record for the site,
based on the
decile ranking
(very low rainfall is in decile 1, low in decile 2 or 3,
normal in decile 4 to 7, high in decile 8 or 9
and very high is in decile 10).
The Fraction of normal shows how much rain has fallen this time as a
percentage of the long-term mean.