Training Manual (Zip File - 15 MB)
Climate Variability - Short and Long Term (in PowerPoint PPT - 915 KB)
Climate Change (PPT - 4.4 MB)
ENSO (PPT - 480 KB)
Monitoring ENSO (PPT - 765 KB)
Intro to Statistics (PPT - 150 KB)
Probability (PPT - 56 KB)
Seasonal Climate Outlook (PPT - 2.2 MB)
Climate Forecasting (PPT - 1.5 MB)
Seasonal Climate Outlook Verification (PPT - 590 KB)
Coupled Model (POAMA) (PPT - 1.6 MB)
Seasonal Climate Outlook Applications (PPT - 8.2 MB)
Chocolate Wheel
Basic Statistics (PPT - 322 KB)
Linear Discriminant Analysis (PPT - 1.1 MB)
Seasonal Forecast Products (PPT - 3.7 MB)
Verification - Seasonal Climate Forecast (PPT - 660 KB)
Statistics and Probabilities (PPT - 670 KB)
Verification Summary (PPT - 480 KB)

Reading Materials

Climate Forecasts for Agriculture
Cognitive Illusions, Heuristics, and Climate Prediction
Guidance on dealing with criticism of SCO service
Creating Empirical Models
What makes a forecast "good"?
Influences of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
MJO Index
POAMA: Operational Coupled Model Seasonal Forecast System
Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
Sea Surface Temperature Phases and Australian Rainfall
Walker's Mechanisms

Additional Materials

Climate Change and Variability (PPT - 2.2 MB)
ENSO (PPT - 240 KB)
Monitoring ENSO (PPT - 1.3 MB)
Forecast Verification (PPT - 1.4 MB)
Linear Error in Probability Space (LEPS) (PPT - 180 KB)
Linear Discriminant Analysis (PPT - 2 MB)
Seasonal Climate Outlook Applications - Case Studies (PPT - 6.2 MB)
SW Pacific Tropical Cyclones (PPT - 550 KB)
Indigenous Weather (PPT - 130 KB)

References

ENSO Wrap Up
About El Niño
ENSO Prediction Models
Forecast Verifications
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Research Paper on IPO and ENSO Influences on SPCZ (PDF - 340 KB)
Research paper on Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies as Predictors for Australia
Cognitive Illusions
More on POAMA
Linear error in probability space (LEPS)
International Research Institute for Climate Prediction
Climate Change
WMO Climate Information and Prediction Services
IPCC