Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Outlook for the Northern Territory

The tropical cyclone season runs from 1 November to 30 April.

With a strong El Niño event underway in the Pacific Ocean, the Northern region is most likely to experience fewer tropical cyclones than average this season. There is a 64% chance of fewer tropical cyclones than average, and only a 36% chance of more tropical cyclones than average.

In an average cyclone season the Northern region typically experiences three cyclones, and one or two tropical lows that later become cyclones after moving into the Western or Eastern regions. About three-quarters of the tropical cyclones in the Northern region impact the coast.

Outlook accuracy in this region is very low.

Further information: