Program   Day One | Day Two | Day Three | Day Four | Day Five

Poster   Day One | Day Two | Day Four

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Day Two: Tuesday 10th February 2009

08:30 - 10:30 Morning Session I
  Weather and Climate Extremes Paleo - Ocean Circulation Records
  Chair: Jose Veiga
Auditorium		 Chair: Chris Folland
Rooms 2 & 3		 Chair: Josephine Brown
Room 1
08:30 Gary Brassington: "Bluelink ocean forecast intercomparison" Keynote - Harry Van Loon: "Modulation of the annual range on the southern hemisphere"  
08:45 Scott Heron: "Keeping an eye on coral reefs - now, soon and in the future"  
09:00 Tom Durrant: "Consensus forecasts of integrated wave parameters" James Renwick: "Hemispheric scale seasonality of the southern annular mode and impacts on the climate of New Zealand" Karl Braganza: "A multi-proxy index of the El Niño Southern Oscillation, A.D. 1525-1982"
09:15 Kathleen McInnes: "Coupling a wave and hydrodynamic model to simulate coastal wave setup tor climate change assessments" Julie Jones: "Century length seasonal reconstructions of the Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode" Steven Phipps: "Quantifying changes in ENSO dynamics over the Holocene"
09:30 Richard Gorman: "Validation of a new wave forecasting system for the New Zealand region" Ryan Fogt: "20th Century Southern Annular Mode variability and trends from reconstructions, observations, and the IPCC AR4 models" Anthony Fowler: "Decadal to centennial-scale evolution of ENSO robustness reconstructed from kauri tree rings"
09:45 Diana Greenslade: "Tsunami forecasting for the Australian tsunami warning system" Peter Best: "Insuring for resilience in extreme conditions using climate modes and reanalysis products" Gareth Marshall: "The temporal stability of SAM-temperature relationships in the Antarctic"
10:00 Stewart Allen: "Refinement of simulations of deep-water tsunami propagation through the use of observations" Caroline Ummenhofer: "Effect of tropical and subtropical Indian Ocean dipoles in driving precipitation around Indian Ocean rim countries" Kale Sniderman: "High summer rainfall during the warm early Pleistocene in the Southern Hemisphere: Analogue for future greenhouse climates?"
10:15 Carsten Frederiksen: "Weather modes associated with predictable patterns of the Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation" Sarah Perkins: "Changes in the prediction of climatic extremes over Australia for the 21st century based on different measures of model skill" Jonathan Nott: "The long-term natural variability of tropical cyclones in Australia"
10:30 - 11:00 Morning Tea Break

11:00 - 12:30 Morning Session II
  Weather and Climate Extremes Paleo - Monsoon
  Chair: Kathy McInnes
Auditorium		 Chair: James Renwick
Rooms 2 & 3		 Chair: Jon Nott
Room 1
11:00 Kefei Zhang: "Verification of atmospheric temperature and moisture profiles derived by GPS radio occultation technique in Australia" Lisa Alexander: "Changes in severe storms along Australia's 'shipwreck coast' since the mid-19th century" Sophie Bretherton: "Speleothem reconsructions of paleo-monsoon dynamics from Flores, Indonesia over the last ~ 50 kyr"
11:15 Charmaine Franklin: "Turbulence effects on clouds, precipitation formation and the organisation of stratocumulus and shallow cumulus convection" Kevin Hennessy: "The impact of climate change on extremely hot years and extremely dry years in Australia" Josephine Brown: "Variability of the Australian monsoon and interactions with vegetation change over the late quaternary: simulations"
11:30 Violeta Toma: "Cross-equatorial pressure gradients, instability of the ITCZ and the generation of equatorial transients" Marshall Mdoka: "Soil moisture feedbacks over southern Africa" Joelle Gergis: "Reconstructing pre-20th century temperature, rainfall and MSLP for southeastern Australia using palaeo, documentary and early station data"
11:45 Luke Garde: "A climatology of transitioning cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere" Carlos Hoyos: "Evolution of the tropical dynamical warm pool and modulation of the intensity and numbers of tropical cyclones" Lynda Petherick: "Quantifying palaeoclimate variables during periods of aridity & drought in eastern Australia"
12:00 José Veiga: "A new interpretation for hurricane transition based on environmental energetics" Julie Arblaster: "Characterization of unforced variability in a 30-member coupled model ensemble" Krystyna Saunders: "Holocene climate variability and the impact of feral animals on World Heritage sub-Antarctic Macquarie Island"
12:15 Jeff Kepert: "Comparing slab and height-resolving models of the tropical cyclone boundary layer" Shayne McGregor: "Interannual variability driven by off-equatorial winds in a hybrid coupled model of the coupled equatorial atmosphere" Olivier Arzel: "On the origin of the instability of glacial climates"
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch Break; AMOS Annual General Meeting (Room 1)

14:00 - 16:00 Afternoon Session
  Weather and Climate Extremes International Polar Year
  Chair: Jeff Kepert
Auditorium		 Chair: Kevin Hennessy
Rooms 2 & 3		 Chair: Kevin Walsh
Room 1
14:00 Michael Stirling: "Non-linear turbulent drag in simple tropical cyclone models" Bob Cechet: "Determining severe wind gust risk for Australian cities" Peter Baines: "A model for the structure of the Antarctic slope front"
14:15 Meelis Zidikheri: "Stochastic modelling of subgrid-scale eddies in ocean models" Milton Speer: "Decreased New South Wales annual rainfall extremes from inter-decadal circulation changes" Alison Kohout: "Ocean wave interaction with sea-ice"
14:30 Chris Tingwell: "Regional and Australian data assimilation and numerical weather prediction in ACCESS" Chris Folland: "Physical links between the African/Atlantic Hadley circulation and Australian winter climate" Simon Josey: "What do we know about air-sea exchanges in the southern ocean?"
14:45 John Le Marshall: "The generation and error characterization of high spatial and temporal resolution atmospheric motion vectors and their use in operational meteorology and 4D-VAR" Marilyn Raphael: "The influence of Antarctic sea ice concentration on the large scale extra-tropical atmospheric circulation" Joseph Kidston: "The cause of the poleward shift of mid-latitude jet-streams under global warming"
15:00 Harvey Stern: "Combining automated and human weather forecasts: verifying predictions from a 1000-day 'real-time' trial" Jaci Brown: "Linking global climate change to local rainfall: A case study" Steve Rintoul: "Southern ocean variability and change: an overview of results from the CASO program of the International Polar Year"
15:15 Timothy Hume: "Gridded operational consensus forecasting" Gerald Meehl: "Additive effect of two solar forcing mechanisms and their influences on Australian climate" Kay Ohshima: "Sea ice production in the polynya and the associated bottom water formation off the Cape Darnley, east Antarctica"
15:30 Lilia Deschamps: "Ozone and UV forecast: Current and future development" Linden Ashcroft: "Cold outbreaks in southern Australia: synoptic mechanisms and planetary links" Johanna Speirs: "The polar foehn: a re-examination of downslope winds in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica"
15:45 Merlinde Kay: "Improving wind energy forecasts with a bias correction" Andrea Taschetto: "El Niño Modoki impacts on Australian rainfall" Laura Herraiz-Borreguero: "Subantarctic mode water in the Southern Ocean: properties and circulation"
16:00 - 16:30 Afternoon Tea Break
16:30 - 18:00 Posters
Demonstration: Analytical Solutions (Exhibitor), Room 1; Wine and nibles provided.
17:00 - 18:30 Murray Darling Basin Authority Panel Session, Auditorium