INTERNATIONAL HYDROLOGICAL PROGRAMME
IHP-V Project 1.1
Contents
REFERENCES Preface With the International Hydrological Programme (IHP), UNESCO tries to address hydrological issues through its international network and by facilitating scientific research in hydrology. The IHP Regional Steering Committee (RSC) for Southeast Asia and the Pacific has been playing a key role in IHP activities in the region since its establishment in 1993 and accomplished a series of successful regional projects in comparative hydrology and water resources such as the Catalogue of Rivers. Among these projects, the Asian Pacific FRIEND (Flow Regimes from International Experimental and Network Data) is the most important in our regional collaboration organized by the RSC for Southeast Asia and the Pacific, with participation of thirteen member states. The Asian Pacific FRIEND will provide a framework within which research is carried out to improve the understanding of hydrological sciences and water resources management in the region through comparative studies of the similarity and variability of the regional hydrological phenomena and water resources systems. The research can take advantage of the multi-continental scale coverage of the member states and their water resources management experiences. In May 1998, the science plan of Asian Pacific FRIEND was distributed to all of our member states in the region with a request to submit research plan proposals. More than 50 research proposals originating from 12 countries, were submitted to the 5 working groups established so far. The number and range of proposals that have been received indicate a promising future for the project with outcomes of benefit to the region. It is our great pleasure that a technical document describing these proposals is published as the first step of the project. The active participation of thirteen National Committees for IHP in Southeast Asia and the Pacific in this project is very encouraging and we are looking forward towards successful collaboration in our region. In addition, we do hope that all researchers in this project will achieve great results and contribute to the future of Asian Pacific FRIEND. The Technical Sub-committee (TSC) members as well as the Coordinators
of the Working Groups would appreciate any reactions to this booklet from
readers, current participants as well as others not yet participating.
New ideas, proposals, requests for information and questions are especially
welcome.
Professor Soontak Lee
Chairman, IHP Regional Steering Committee for Southeast Asia and the Pacific Kuniyoshi Takeuchi
Marc Overmars
We wish to express our sincere appreciation for the following organizations and institutes for their assistance in the establishment of the Asian Pacific FRIEND: Bureau of Meteorology, Australia
The National Committees for the IHP from: Australia; Cambodia; China; Indonesia; Japan; Lao PDR; Malaysia; New Zealand; Papua New Guinea; Philippines; Republic of Korea; Thailand; Vietnam. The assistance of the Japanese Ministry of Education, Sports, Science and Culture (MONBUSHO) to the Asian Pacific FRIEND is gratefully acknowledged. Last but not least, excellent editorship was provided by Ross James, Bureau of Meteorology, Australia and excellent secretarial assistance was rendered by Martha Sarwoko, UNESCO Jakarta Office. TECHNICAL SUB-COMMITTEE Prof. Kuniyoshi Takeuchi (Japan) TSC Chairman
The current chairman of the Technical Sub-Committee for the Asian Pacific FRIEND is Prof. Kuniyoshi Takeuchi. Prof. Takeuchi was also elected Chairman of the Intergovernmental Council for the IHP in June 1998 for a period of two years. WORKING GROUP COORDINATORS The coordinators of the respective working groups for the Asian Pacific FRIEND are: Working Group 1 Mohd Nor (Malaysia)
jps33@pop.moa.my
1. INTRODUCTION TO ASIAN PACIFIC FRIEND
During 1998 world news was frequently dominated by the effects and aftermath of several natural disasters that struck Southeast Asia and the Pacific. With the extensive forest fires and El-Niño related droughts in Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia still fresh in our minds we witnessed the destructive impact of severe floods in large parts of China, Vietnam, Japan and Korea in the latter part of 1998. Currently, early in 1999, droughts reported in the Mekong region are expected to last until the first half of this year. Low flows induced by the lack of rainfall and flooding caused by excessive rainfall and runoff are clearly extremely important subjects of study for the scientific hydrological community in Southeast Asia and Pacific. With the International Hydrological Programme (IHP), UNESCO tries to address these issues through its international network and by facilitating scientific research in hydrology. One of the major exercises of the IHP in Southeast Asia and Pacific is the establishment of the Asian Pacific FRIEND (Flow Regimes from International and Experimental Network Data). It is a project in which 13 countries are participating to collaborate in research and to share knowledge and information on rivers in the region which are prone to floods as well as low flows. This report provides information on the research either in progress or proposed under this Asian Pacific FRIEND umbrella. FRIEND represents a particular concept in hydrological research targeting the understanding of hydrological variability and similarity across time and space to develop hydrological science, practical design procedures and the building of capacity (Gustard, A Ed, 1995). Within the IHP-V (1996-2001) framework, it belongs to Project 1.1: "Application of methods of hydrological analysis using regional data sets (Flow Regimes from International Experimental and Network Data sets/FRIEND)", Theme 1: "Global hydrological and geochemical processes". The Global FRIEND consists of several programmes; Northern Europe, Alpine and Mediterranean regions (AMHY), Southern Africa, West and Central Africa (AOC) and Asian Pacific. Other FRIEND initiatives are in the process of being launched in the Hindu Kush/Himalayan region and in the Nile basin with the South and Central American FRIEND in the planning stage. Descriptions of these projects are included in a number of regional FRIEND reports and several proceedings of international conferences (UNESCO, 1997a and UNESCO, 1997b). A total of three global FRIEND Conferences have been held; Bolkesjo, Norway in 1989; Braunschweig, Germany in 1993 and Postojna, Slovenia in 1997. The details of Asian Pacific FRIEND and the outcomes of the scientific program will be presented at the fourth conference scheduled for 2001. Regional co-operation is an important aspect of IHP’s global programme and UNESCO Headquarters and its regional offices -covering Africa, the Arab States, South and Central Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, Southeast Asia and the Pacific- work closely with some 158 national committees and focal points in implementing its activities. The beginning of the Asian Pacific FRIEND goes back to the early 1990s. At the time of establishment of the Regional Steering Committee for Southeast Asia and the Pacific (RSC) in Manila, January 1993, the Asian Pacific FRIEND (AP FRIEND) was identified as one of the major interests of the RSC.
Figure 1. The thirteen countries of AP FRIEND Following the publication of Volume 1 of the Catalogue of Rivers for Southeast Asia and the Pacific (UNESCO 1995a) at the 3rd RSC meeting in Kofu, May 1995, a Working Group was established to plan the establishment of Asian Pacific FRIEND. It was October 1996 in Yogyakarta when the 4th RSC made an official commitment to Asian Pacific FRIEND by creating the Technical Sub-Committee (TSC) based on the recommendations of the Working Group. The 1st TSC meeting was held in Kuala Lumpur in May 1997 and the objectives and the main framework were formulated. The report was presented at the 5th RSC in Nong Khai, December 1997 and further refined through detailed discussion on themes and the mode of operation by a large number of participants. The First Asian Pacific FRIEND Workshop on Data Archive and Scientific Methods for Comparative Hydrology and Water Resources was organised by the Regional Humid Tropics Hydrology and Water Resources Centre for Southeast Asia and the Pacific from 19-29 March 1998 in Kuala Lumpur and Medan (Humid Tropics Hydrology and Water Resources Centre, in press). A draft of the Science Plan for the Asian Pacific FRIEND and a range of research proposals were presented at this workshop. Following the workshop a general call for research proposals to be carried out under Asian Pacific FRIEND was distributed to IHP National Committees throughout the region. The next TSC meeting was held on 9 November 1998 in Taegu, Republic of Korea preceding the 6th RSC meeting. At this meeting the large number of research proposals and the working groups to which they had been assigned were discussed and a program of activities with expected outcomes leading up to the fourth Global FRIEND conference in 2001 was agreed. All the TSC meetings were open for interested scientists to participate and were therefore titled "extended TSC meetings". Chapter 2 of this report contains the Asian Pacific FRIEND Science Plan. The plan has been modified in the light of recent experience from that presented during the first Asian Pacific FRIEND workshop held in Kuala Lumpur. It comprises a description of; the objectives of the project, the establishment of the Asian Pacific Water Archive and the scientific methods of comparative hydrology and water resources for flood and low flow research to be used. The objectives, procedure and expected outcomes of the working groups which have been established to assist the individual research projects and promote collaboration are provided in Chapter 3. Chapter 4 contains the detailed research plan proposals submitted and the addresses of all Asian Pacific FRIEND participants are presented in Chapter 5. The final chapter contains the references. 2. ASIAN PACIFIC FRIEND SCIENCE PLAN
The Asian Pacific FRIEND is an IHP project organized by the IHP Regional Steering Committee for Southeast Asia and the Pacific. As of January 1999 the following thirteen countries are participating , from the north, China, Rep. of Korea, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Lao, Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia and New Zealand. The project provides a framework within which research is carried out to improve the understanding of hydrological science and water resources management in the region through comparative studies of the similarity and variability of the regional hydrological phenomena and water resource systems. The research can take advantage of the multi-continental scale coverage of the member countries and their diverse water resources management experiences. The research will focus on providing solutions to individual as well as common issues relevant to countries in the region and will cover areas such as the following.
The publication of the series Catalogue of Rivers for Southeast Asia and the Pacific preceded the formal establishment of Asian Pacific FRIEND. Additional volumes of the series will continue to be published as a base activity of Asian Pacific FRIEND with the collaboration of all the member countries. The Catalogue provides for each of the selected rivers information on Geology, Climate, Hydrology, Water Resources and Socio-Cultural condition. Within the IHP-V (1996-2001) framework, it belongs to Project 6.4: "Information exchange on regional hydrological processes research and experiences in water resources management" of Theme 6: "Humid tropics hydrology and water management". The Catalogue of Rivers was compiled to:
2.2 Establishment of Asian Pacific Water Archive The Asian Pacific Water Archive will be established to archive and make available hydrometeorological data and associated hydrological and water resources information for Asian Pacific FRIEND and other IHP related activities in the region. The archive will be internet based and consist of a series of national nodes loosely linked to a central node established at The Regional Humid Tropics Hydrology and Water Resources Centre in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Data provided by each country will be made available from the national node of the archive and will therefore be under the complete control of the respective country. Data from countries which do not wish to establish a national node will be made available on request and after the endorsement of the country via the central node at the Regional Centre. The Water Archive will initially include data for those river basins contained in the Catalogue of Rivers. Additional data required by projects included in the Asian Pacific FRIEND research program and for other IHP related activities in the region will be sourced as required from the individual countries and made available to the projects via the country nodes. The data types and other categories of information to be available from the archive will, as far as possible, include:
references and links to sources of published data, and The Regional Center will act as a data management and advisory center and, under the guidance of the RSC Technical Sub-Committee, will be responsible for:
Data collection for and data distribution from the Water Archive will be carried out under the following principles:
Comparative hydrology and water resources is an area of study in which the characteristics of hydrological processes across a region are analysed and modelled. In Asian Pacific FRIEND, a range of analysis techniques will be applied to regional data sets and the results will be compared. By doing so, both the differences and the similarities of the characteristics of the processes that govern the hydrology and water resources of the region will be identified. An important aspect of the strategy is to include a wide range of basin sizes in the data set so that the scaling of hydrologic processes may also be researched. The following types of model will be used to help develop common measures for floods and low flow:
Implementation of Asian Pacific Friend commenced with the First Asian Pacific FRIEND Workshop in Kuala Lumpur, March 1998 where the Asian Pacific FRIEND Science Plan was presented and the framework for the establishment of the Water Archive agreed. It was also agreed that the research effort identified in the Science Plan will be carried out by researchers throughout the region in a wide range of projects. A request for research proposals to be included in Asian Pacific FRIEND was distributed by the UNESCO Jakarta Office to the IHP National Committees. The large response to the request (over 50 proposals from 13 countries) was very encouraging. The proposals received were accepted for inclusion in AP FRIEND at the Sixth RSC meeting in Korea. At this meeting it was recognised that communication and cooperation between these individual projects would be essential to achieve regional objectives. A plan operating on three levels was adopted to promote this communication and facilitate cooperation. The first level consists of publication of relevant material, such as this booklet, to keep researchers informed about the detail and progress of Asian Pacific FRIEND. This booklet, containing the details of all research proposals and the contact details of all researchers has been published both to promote Asian Pacific FRIEND and to encourage researchers to collaborate with others within the region. The creation of an email list administered by the Regional Centre in Kuala Lumpur will also be an important mechanism for keeping participating researchers informed of activities within Asian Pacific FRIEND. Other publications in progress are the third volume of the Catalogue of Rivers and the reissue of the first two volumes on CD-ROM. A series of workshops at which participating researchers will be invited to present progress reports, encouraged to share experiences and to seek assistance with the resolution of problems comprises the second level of communication. The schedule of workshops is described in Table 1. More detailed information about each workshop will be distributed by the email list. The third level of communication is a series of conferences at which more formal presentations of research results will be made. These conferences will be held in conjunction with the annual meeting of the UNESCO Regional Steering Committee. The schedule of conferences is also described in Table 1. The completed first phase of Asian Pacific FRIEND with the regional synthesis of the individual research projects results prepared by the Working Groups and results of selected individual projects will be presented at the next World FRIEND Conference scheduled for Cape Town, South Africa in 2001. The Science Plan includes the concept of Working Groups, aligned with the broad categories of models to be studied, as a mechanism for progressing its objectives. These Working Groups will be responsible for:
Financial support through Asian Pacific FRIEND is limited. The funds that may be made available from UNESCO sources and the Japanese Ministry of Education, Sports, Science and Culture (MONBUSHO) will be used to support the attendance of some researchers at workshops and conferences. Past assistance from MONBUSHO towards the establishment of Asian Pacific FRIEND is gratefully acknowledged. Efforts are being made by the RSC to secure funding from additional sources to enable direct support of suitable research projects. Many of the research plans received stated that the researcher already
had access to the necessary data. Many of these researchers have since
confirmed that this data will be made available to the Water Archive for
use in other projects. The data needs for the other projects are being
compiled and the data will be sourced from countries in the region through
the RSC membership. The data will be included in the Water Archive and
made available for use by the Asian Pacific FRIEND projects. The contribution
of data to the Water Archive is an important feature of Asian Pacific FRIEND
as this will enable more extensive research into regional issues to be
carried out in the future.
Table 1 A tentative time table for the Asian Pacific FRIEND.
3. ASIAN PACIFIC FRIEND WORKING GROUPS As described previously, the objectives of the Science Plan will be progressed through the use of five Working Groups. The Working Groups provide a means for grouping the individual research proposals and ensuring results are drawn together to achieve outcomes and recommendations for action that are of relevance to the wider region. This chapter provides a brief description of each Working Group followed by a list of the research proposals to be coordinated by the group. A more detailed description of each research proposal may be found in Chapter 4. 3.1 Working Group 1: Establishment of Asian Pacific Water Archive Objectives The Working Group will coordinate the establishment of the Internet based Water Archive by:
To subscribe to the Asian Pacific FRIEND mailing list and to access the Asian Pacific Water Archive visit the website: http://agrolink.moa.my/htropics/welfriend.html Research plans The following research plans for Working Group 1 have been submitted: 1) Information on New Zealand’s freshwaters:
2) Development of Internet GIS based Water Archive System Keho Kim (Rep. of Korea) uniko01@hitel.net
3) Establishment and dissemination of water archive Mohd. Fadhlillah Hj. Mahmood (Malaysia)
jps27@pop.moa.my
4) Directory of Asian Pacific River Basin Details Ross James (Australia) r.james@bom.gov.au 5) Development of hydrologic data base to describe regionality Akihiko Kondoh (Japan) kondoh@rsirc.cr.chiba-u.ac.jp Daichi Nakayama (Japan) daichi@rsirc.cr.chiba-u.ac.jp 6) Development of GIS Water Archive System in Merapi-Yogyakarta basin Dwikorita Karnawati (Indonesia) pabum@yogya.wasantara.net.id
3.2 Working Group 2: Rainfall-Runoff Models Objectives This Working Group aims to develop rainfall runoff models that can be used in data scarce basins to improve the predictability of floods and low flows and to make it possible to assess the impacts of land use changes and climate variation on floods and low flows. Procedure
Prof. Kuniyoshi Takeuchi
Fax: +81-552-534915
Research plans The following research plans for Working Group 2 have been submitted: 1) Comparative analysis of evapotranspiration and runoff in AP region Michio Hashino (Japan) michio@ce.tokushima-u.ac.jp
2) Development of modified river sediment transport model for hydrological simulation of large, engaged and human disturbed basins Winai Sae-Chew (Thailand) swinai@ratree.psu.ac.th 3) Integration of rainfall-runoff model and GIS software packages for drainage simulation and graphic presentation of flooding in urban areas Tuantan Kitpaisalsakul (Thailand) fwathp@eng.chula.ac.th
4) Comparisons of ANSWERS and TOP model runoff prediction on different catchment scales Hidayat Pawitan (Indonesia) h_pawitan@indo.net.id 5) Forecasting of flood and low flows using neural networks Mohd. Yuoff bin Mashor (Malaysia) yusof@eng.usm.my Rozi Abdullah (Malaysia) cerozi@kcp.usm.my 6) Development of Modified Xinanjiang Model for hydrological and water resources simulation of large and human disturbed basin Guangsheng Wang (China) gshwang@mwr.goc.cn 7) Water fluxes and pathways in river basins R.A. Woods (New Zealand) r.woods@niwa.cri.nz
8) Linked precipitation runoff modelling system for mountainous catchments R.P. Ibbitt (New Zealand) r.ibbitt@niwa.cri.nz 9) Assessment and modification (if needed) of available hydrological computer models to suite local condition and possible application for the regions. Ismail bin Hj. Abustan (Malaysia) ceismail@kcp.usm.my
10) Development of rainfall-runoff model using GIS and satellite images information Kanghoon Yoon (Rep. of Korea) stardust@ctic.kict.re.kr
11) Development of Modified TOP Model and Muskingum-Cunge Method for hydrological and water resources simulation of large, ungaged and human disturbed basins Kuniyoshi Takeuchi (Japan) takeuchi@mail.yamanashi.ac.jp
Kengo Sunada (Japan) sunada@mail.yamanashi.ac.jp Yasusuhi Sakamoto (Japan) sakamoto@ccn.yamanashi.ac.jp 12) Estimation of lumped model parameters from basin characteristics without runoff data So Kazama (Thailand) kazama@ait.ac.th 13) Assessing the performance of a topographic-based model, TOPMODEL in simulating runoff responses in tropic regions for basins in Malaysia Low Koon Sing (Malaysia) jpsa16@smtp.moa.my
14) Development of a www based flood forecasting system using a distributed catchment model and its application in some selected Asian river basins Srikantha Herath (Japan) herath@incede.iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp
15) Application of 2 dimensional Finite Element Model for runoff prediction Hiroyuki Nakamura (Japan)
16) Comparative hydrological study on stable isotopic compositions of rivers in the Asia-Pacific region Tadashi Tanaka (Japan) tadashi@atm.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp
17) Comparative study of the characteristics of spatial and temporal variability of rainfall in headwater mountainous areas in Asia-Pacific region Kuraji Koichiro (Japan) kuraji@depe.titech.ac.jp
18) Quantitative analysis of effects of reforestation in AP region Shigeki Kobatake (Japan) kobat@ce.gunma-u.ac.jp
19) Rainfall-runoff modeling and uncertainty analysis Xia Jun (China) jxia@wuhee.edu.cn
20) Detection of global climate variation from river discharge and application of river discharge information for the improvements of global climate prediction Taikan Oki (Japan) taikan@iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp
21) Development of modified HORTON or TANK model, Nash Instantaneous Unit hydrograph method and continuous Muskingum method for hydrological and water resources simulation and forecasting of large and human disturbed basins Tao Xin (China)
22) Rainfall – Runoff computations for small and medium river basins in Vietnam Luong Tuan Anh (Vietnam)
23) Reservoir Sedimentation Computations Nguyen Kien Dzung (Vietnam) thuc@netnam.org.vn
3.3 Working Group 3: Statistical and Stochastic
Models
Objectives The objectives of this Working Group are to compare regional characteristics of flow regimes through the assessment of long term changes and the discrimination of similar hydrologic zones and to develop statistical and stochastic models which can be used for flood and low flow prediction as well as hydrologic design in the region. From the comparative statistical and stochastic analyses, the characteristics of the hydrologic cycle in the region are also elucidated for the more effective development and management of hydrology, water resources and the environment. Procedure Typical river basins in the region will be reviewed and surveyed for comparative analyses and then various research steps will be carried out to accomplish the above objectives as follows:
The following outcomes will be expected from these studies:
The following data are required in this Working Group in general:
Prof. Soontak Lee
Fax: +82-53-8134032
Research plans The following research plans for Working Group 3 have been submitted: 1) Development of feature prediction model for hydrologic data synthesis for un-gauged basins and filling in missing data Yasuyuki Ujihashi (Japan) ujihashi@ccmails.fukui-ut.ac.jp 2) River basin planning and management integrating flood and low flow with multi-layer-typed runoff model Toshiharu Kojiri (Japan) tkojiri@wrcn2.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp 3) Time series method and recursive estimation on flood forecasting of Datong hydrological station of Yangtze river in China Xuan Yunqing (China) yunqing@mwr.gov.cn 4) Regionalisation methods for flood, flow and drought prediction using
frequency analysis and
Trevor Daniell (Australia) trevord@civeng.adelaide.edu.au 5) Development of urban regional models for runoff and water quality Trevor Daniell (Australia) trevord@civeng.adelaide.edu.au 6) Characteristics research on flood in Yellow River and human effects on flood Qian Yunping (China) qyplyp@public.zz.ha.cn Wang Ling (China) 7) Research on multi-variables stochastic model for flood or low flow simulation Liang Zhongmin (China) liangzm@public1.ptt.js.cn
8) Research on principal components analysis method in discrimination of hydrological zones Liang Zhongmin (China) liangzm@public1.ptt.js.cn 9) Research on design flood for small basin Liang Zhongmin (China) liangzm@public1.ptt.js.cn
10) A regional analysis of flood and low flows in peninsular Malaysia Alias bin Hashim (Malaysia) jps33@pop.moa.my
11) Development of flood forecasting model of Sepik river using the application of stepwise multi regression method Maino Virobo (Papua New Guinea)
12) Discrimination of hydrologic zones and their stochastic hydrologic model in Southeast Asia and the Pacific river basins Soontak Lee (Republic of Korea) leest@ynucc.yeungnam.ac.kr
13) Multi-variable stochastic model in Southeast Asia and the Pacific river basins Cao Shengle (China)
14) Comparative analysis on long-term annual runoff time series in Asia Pacific region Fumio Yoshino (Japan) yoshino@eng.kagawa-u.ac.jp 3.4 Working Group 4: Frequency Analysis Models General description In terms of frequency analysis, the Working Group 4 will contribute to both of the two major activities of the Asian Pacific FRIEND: Establishment of Asian Pacific Water Archive and Flood and Low flow Research. As the contribution to the Archive, the Working Group recommends the Regional Steering Committee (RSC) and the Working Group 1 include the extreme-value data, partly because the sets of discharge records supposed to be included in the Archive would be too short for frequency analysis and partly because inclusion of the extreme-value data helps researchers to carry out frequency analysis studies. As a result of research undertaken by Working Group members extreme value data will be made available to the Water Archive for use by others. Working Group 4 will consist of any researchers who are interested in frequency analysis. Research topics The following topics will be discussed and implemented in the Working Group: a) What kinds of data should be included in the Water Archive for frequency analysis and how to do it. First, the group discusses this item and makes a recommendation that the RSC and Working Group 1 should prepare the discharge time-series data sets for as long period as possible in the Water Archive. Longer records can produce more accurate (reliable) quantile estimates (T-year floods, T-year 7-day low flows, etc.). At least thirty years is preferable. The Working Group also will recommend that the Water Archive should include the extreme-value data sets, which could be prepared by the Working Group 4 members. Even if the long time series (for example, daily) records cannot be stored in the Water Archive, extreme values such as annual maximum peak discharge and annual maximum daily rainfall would be easily stored. The Catalogue of Rivers for Southeast Asia and the Pacific actually includes the information about annual maximum and minimum discharges, though the length of record is limited. b) Frequency analysis of storms, floods and low flows (or droughts) with standard methods. Some standard frequency analysis models (e.g., GEV distribution) will be applied to the regional extreme-value data sets and their applicability would be assessed. If we find out different characteristics of the distribution suitable to each basin or region, they could be attributed to the regional nature of floods and low flows. At the same time, the estimated quantiles and the selected methods will serve as the basic information necessary for development including planning, design, construction and management. c) Frequency analysis methods for short record and/or missing data situations. In hydrologic frequency analysis, we often face the problem that the existing record is too short for adequate analysis. Asian Pacific countries in general have this small sample problem. In order to overcome this situation, the Working Group will consider applying approaches such as partial duration series (PDS), peaks-over-threshold (POT) and paleohydrologic analyses, to compensate for missing data before initiation of modern systematic observations or during missing periods caused by political reasons including the wars. d) Frequency analysis methods of droughts (low flows) in distinct dry season situations. The Working Group will develop methods considering droughts (or low flows) in countries that have a distinct dry season for several months that is typical in Southeast Asia. The discharge in such areas could be zero for a long period in a year, to which one cannot apply ordinary frequency analysis methods. e) Investigation of the probable maximum precipitation (PMP) and the probable maximum flood (PMF). The PMP and PMF analysis could provide useful information for flood protection planning and design. They also can be used as a parameter of frequency analysis. Introducing the PMP or PMF as the upper bound to frequency analysis models has the following merits: (1) It stimulates or accelerates interdisciplinary cooperative research among hydrologists, meteorologists, mathematicians, practitioners and so forth; (2) Errors in estimates of quantiles (T-year events) can be reduced; and (3) Especially for small samples, it would be very effective because extrapolation problems become interpolation problems. Coordinator Prof. Kaoru Takara
Fax: +81-774-38-4130
Research plans The following research plans for Working Group 4 have been submitted: 1) Regionalization of floods and droughts of Java island Hidayat Pawitan (Indonesia) h_pawitan@indo.net.id
2) Development of frequency analysis models for hydrologic time series data Joesron Loebis (Indonesia) joesron@melsa.net.id
3) Development of nationwide low flow frequency maps of different duration and as assessment of major historical droughts Yong-Nam Yoon and Chulsang Yoo (Rep. of Korea)
ynyoon@kuccnx.korea.ac.kr
4) Regionalisation of rainfall parameters in Selangor, Malaysia Zalina bt. Daud (Malaysia) zalina@math.fs.utm.my
5) Finding appropriate methods of analysis for estimating peak flows and extreme low flows in a medium size of river basin in tropical monsoon climate Khamthong Soukhathammavong (Lao PDR)
6) Estimation of extreme flood by PMP/PMF Method Dang Lan Huong (Vietnam) thuc@netnam.org.vn Tran Thanh Xuan (Vietnam) 3.5 Working Group 5: Human Adjustment Models Objectives This Working Group focuses on the comparative analyses of human adjustment processes exercised in different countries and regions for the mitigation of flood and low flow damages. Floods and low flows are natural phenomena common to many countries, but their effects are, in many respects, very different. So are the available control measures. Human adjustment structures have to be analyzed and compared for improved flood and low flow management. Historical, socio-economic and political systems not only restrain the possible courses of actions but have also provided unique ways to manage damage mitigation of floods and low flows. Possible outcomes will be:
Various counter measures against floods and low flows will be reviewed and compared by country and region. From the analyses of their similarity and variability regional mitigation measures will be identified. The particular focus areas will include:
Prof. Kasem Chunkao
Fax: +66-2-561-4246 or 579-0172
Research plans The following research plans for Working Group 5 have been submitted: 1) Flood forecast and flood management system of real-time for large river basin Li Zhijia (China) lizhijia@public1.ptt.js.cn
2) Reuse of effluent from domestic wastewater treatment plant in agriculture Seni Karnchanawong (Thailand) seni@ns.eng.cmu.ac.th
3) Groundwater simulation and recharge and recovery possibility Sucharit Koontanalulvong (Thailand) ksuchari@netserv.chula.ac.th
4. RESEARCH PLAN PROPOSALS A total of 52 research proposals were received by the RSC for inclusion in Asian Pacific FRIEND. The proposals originated from 12 countries in the region and involve a total of 95 researchers. The contact details for the researchers are provided in Chapter 5. A majority of 75 of the researchers are able to access the electronic highway via Internet and e-mail. This last feature is eminently facilitating regional cooperation in such a vast and diverse region as Southeast Asia and the Pacific. The remainder of this chapter consists of the detailed research proposals grouped according to their Working Group. |