Figure 75. Using a wide range of climate models, the IPCC TAR demonstrated the projected response of the climate system to various scenarios of greenhouse gas and other human-induced emissions. From top to bottom (a) the range of IPCC carbon dioxide emissions scenarios from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), noting in particular the A1FI (Fossil Intensive) and B1 (clean technology) ‘marker’ scenarios and, for reference, one of the 1992 IPCC scenarios,
IS92a; (b) the carbon dioxide concentrations that would result from the IPCC carbon dioxide emissions scenarios as shown in (a); (c) projected global mean surface temperature changes from 1990 to 2100 for the full set of SRES emissions scenarios, illustrating, for example, the range of model projections derived using the A1F1 emissions; and (d) projected global mean sea-level changes from 1990 to 2100 for the full set of SRES emissions scenarios as well as for the A1F1 and B1 scenarios in particular.
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