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Bushfires rank among the most fearsome of all natural disasters. They have taken a heavy toll on Australia over the past century and, even with increasingly reliable fire weather warning services and sophisticated fire prevention and firefighting infrastructure, they have claimed more than 250 lives over the past fifty years, with an annual average damage bill in excess of $100 million dollars. Although bushfires occur throughout Australia, the greatest danger, in terms of the risk to life and property, occurs in the south-eastern states.

The outbreak and spread of bushfires as well as fire management and fire-fighting activities are strongly influenced by meteorological conditions, and the Bureau of Meteorology provides a wide range of fire weather services in support of fire prevention and fire-fighter and community safety. These include fire danger alerts and warnings, monitoring, advice and forecasting services to fire management authorities, civil defence organisations, police and other emergency services. Bureau services are provided in support of risk assessment, fire management and fire-fighting activities.

The 2001-02 Australian bushfire season was particularly intense. During the winter- spring period of 2001, the worst bushfires in twenty-five years affected central areas of the continent, and intense fire activity in Queensland during the latter part of 2001 made it one of the worst fire seasons in memory for that State. The most disastrous aspect of the 2001-02 fire season, however, was the prolonged and widespread bushfire outbreak in New South Wales during the summer. As well as extensive destruction of forest, national parks and grassland, hundreds of buildings and vehicles were destroyed and thousands of livestock perished in the fires. It was one of the most severe bushfire periods ever recorded in New South Wales and, despite the widely acclaimed success of the fire-fighting operations, the damage has been estimated in excess of seventy-five million dollars. Throughout this extreme fire event, the Bureau provided a high level of support to fire-fighting services, including additional staff for the provision of round the clock fire weather services and out-posted liaison support to the Rural Fire Service State Operations Centre. The quality and timeliness of the services provided by the Bureau contributed to the safety of the fire fighters and the community with not a single life lost to fire during the thirty-day period.

The effectiveness of the Bureau’s response to the fire-related events of the past year has highlighted the progress of meteorological services in Australia over the century. These improvements have been made possible through a sustained investment in meteorological science and technology. A significant part of this investment in recent years has come about through the transfer of forecast techniques used during the 2000 Sydney Olympic Games into operational use for forecasting services, including fire weather forecasting. During the Sydney 2000 Forecast Demonstration Project (FDP), the Bureau worked collaboratively with other national meteorological agencies including those of the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom, to test and demonstrate the capabilities of modern forecasting systems. The FDP, which is part of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) sponsored World Weather Research Programme (WWRP), provided a platform for the trial, evaluation and transfer of emerging technology into operational forecasting guidance systems.

During 2001-02, the Bureau continued to build upon the FDP initiatives through the ongoing adoption of science and technology and the consequent development of a range of systems in support of timely and accurate prediction services to the community. These system upgrades impacted on a range of Bureau services including marine weather forecasting, aviation forecasting, flood forecasting and severe weather forecasting. These technological developments will lead to improvements in the accuracy and timeliness of weather prediction services, Australia-wide.

In the years ahead, the Bureau will continue to develop and implement improved forecast guidance and delivery systems, and continue to invest in the underpinning science and technology in order to maintain and enhance the quality and responsiveness of its meteorological, hydrological and oceanographic monitoring and prediction services for the benefit of all Australians.

      
Satellite image from the United States NOAA-12 satellite showing smoke plumes from fires burning near and to the south of Sydney on 7 January.

Satellite image from the United States NOAA- 12 satellite showing smoke plumes from fires burning near and to the south of Sydney on 7 January.

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