Appendix 8

Search and Rescue Forecasts Issued by the Victorian Regional Forecasting Centre and the Canberra Meteorological Office



1

ZCZC ID41300 D CVRFC PROD YSARYCYX

MARITIME SURVEILLANCE FORECAST FOR AUSSAR 98/4372
VALID 271200 UTC to 272400 UTC
FOR VICINITY OF 38 00S 150 30E

SITUATION:
DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH MAIN CENTRE LOCATED 40S153E MOVING
SOUTHEAST. VIGOROUS SW WINDS WITH RAIN AREAS AND LOW CLOUD.

WINDS/TEMPS:
SFC 1000 2000 5000 7000 10000
270/35 250/40 230/50 220/50 220/45 220/45 MS08
REMARKS: 1..WIND DEC 10 KNOTS ABV 1000FT AFTER 18Z.
2..SFC WIND AT 280600 250/25

CLOUD:
SCT ST 1000/2500 BKN IN RA. BKN CU 2500/12000 WITH ISOL TOPS TO
18000. BKN ACAS 8000/20000.

VISIBILITY:
10-20KM DEC 6KM IN RA.

WEATHER:
PATCHY RAIN

FREEZING LEVEL & ICING:
11000. MOD CU TOPS AND AC.

TURBULENCE:
MOD ALL LEVELS BUT OCNL SEV, MAINLY LEE RANGES. MOD CU/AC.

SEA STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
HIGH/7 METRES/WSW

SWELL STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
HEAVY/4 METRES/WSW

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE:
19 DEGREES

LOWEST QNH:
996

SFC WINDS:
250600Z: 040/25 261200Z: 260/30
251200Z: 020/25 261800Z: 260/20
251800Z: 020/25 262400Z: 270/35
252400Z: 020/25 270600Z: 270/40
260600Z: 020/35 271200Z: 250/40

NNNN



2.

ZCZC ID41300 D CVRFC PROD

MARITIME SURVEILLANCE FORECAST FOR AUSSAR 98/4384
VALID 272200UTC to 280800UTC
FOR VICINITY OF 38 15S 150 25E

SITUATION:
STRONG W/SW'LY FLOW GRADUALLY MODERATING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH PATCHES OF LOW CLOUD.

WINDS/TEMPS:
SFC 1000 2000 5000 7000 10000
250/40 250/40 240/40 230/40 230/40 240/35 PS01
REMARKS: WINDS ALL LEVELS DECREASING BY 10KNOTS BY 04UTC.

CLOUD:
BKN ST 1000/2500 SEA/COAST E OF 146E IN SHRA.
BKN CUSC 2500/7000 WITH ISOL CU TOPS TO 12000.

VISIBILITY:
4000M HEAVY SHRA, 6KN SHRA.

WEATHER:
SCT SHRA, ISOL HEAVY SHRA

FREEZING LEVEL:
11000.

TURBULENCE:
MOD, ISOL SEV BLW 7000FT. MOD CU.

SEA STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
ROUGH/4 METRES/SW

SWELL STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
HEAVY/4 METRES/WSW

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE:
19 DEGREES

LOWEST QNH:
999HPA AT 2200UTC

SFC WINDS:
250600Z: 040/25 261200Z: 260/30 271800Z: 250/45
251200Z: 020/30 261800Z: 260/30
251800Z: 020/25 262400Z: 270/40
252400Z: 020/30 270600Z: 270/50
260600Z: 020/35 271200Z: 250/45

NNNN


3.

ZCZC ID41300 B CVRFC PROD

AMEND MARITIME SURVEILLANCE FORECAST FOR AUSSAR 98/4384
VALID 272200UTC to 280800UTC
FOR VICINITY OF 38 15S 150 25E

SITUATION:
STRONG W/SW'LY FLOW GRADUALLY MODERATING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH PATCHES OF LOW CLOUD.

WINDS/TEMPS:
SFC 1000 2000 5000 7000 10000
250/30 250/30 240/30 230/30 230/30 240/30 PS01
REMARKS: WINDS ALL LEVELS DECREASING BY 10KNOTS BY 04UTC.

CLOUD:
BKN ST 1000/2500 SEA/COAST E OF 146E IN SHRA.
BKN CUSC 2500/7000 TENDING 3000/6000 BY 06UTC.

VISIBILITY:
6KM SHRA.

WEATHER:
SCT SHRA

FREEZING LEVEL:
11000.

TURBULENCE:
MOD, ISOL SEV BLW 7000FT TILL 02UTC. MOD CU.

SEA STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
ROUGH/2-4 METRES/SW

SWELL STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
MODERATE-HEAVY/2-4 METRES/WSW

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE:
19 DEGREES

LOWEST QNH:
999HPA AT 2200UTC

SFC WINDS:
250600Z: 040/25 261200Z: 260/30 271800Z: 250/45
251200Z: 020/30 261800Z: 260/30
251800Z: 020/25 262400Z: 270/40
252400Z: 020/30 270600Z: 270/50
260600Z: 020/35 271200Z: 250/45

NNNN


4

Search and Rescue forecast issued by Canberra Met Office

ZCZC ID40218 D CNNWN CQRFC PROD

MARITIME SURVEILLANCE FORECAST VALID 280500 to 281700
FOR AREA AROUND 37 20'S 150 12'E.

SITUATION:
A DEEP LOW [980HPA] CENTRED AT 43S 156E IS MOVING SOUTHEAST.
A RIDGE IS MOVING RAPIDLY THROUGH VICTORIA INTO EASTERN N.S.W.
CAUSING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO EASE AND EASTERLY INSHORE WINDS.

WIND
SFC VRB/08 1000 220/15 2000 250/20 5000 250/15
7000 250/20 10000 250/20 PS05 14000 250/25 MS04 18500 250/35 MS13

CLOUD: FEW CU 2000/3000

VISIBILITY: 30KM

WEATHER: MOSTLY SUNNY

FREEZING LEVEL: 11800

ICING: NIL

TURBULENCE: MOD IN CU

SEA STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION: MODERATE / 1.5 METRES FROM THE S/SW

SWELL STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION: MOD TO HIGH ABATING / 1.5 TO 2.5METRES THE S

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE: 20-21 DEGREES C

LOWEST QNH: 1005 HPA AT 05Z RISING TO 1009 HPA AT 12Z

NNNN



 

5.

ZCZC ID41300 D CVRFC PROD YSARYCYX

MARITIME SURVEILLANCE FORECAST FOR AUSSAR 98/4384
VALID 280600UTC to 291700UTC
FOR VICINITY OF 37S 151E

SITUATION:
S/SW'LY FLOW SLOWLY MODERATING. CLEAR SKY N OF 37.5S WITH BKN SC CLOUD SOUTH OF 37.5S.

WINDS/TEMPS:
SFC 1000 2000 5000 7000 10000
210/25 210/25 230/25 260/25 270/25 280/25 PS03
REMARKS: WINDS ALL LEVELS DECREASING BY 5-10 KNOTS BY 14UTC.

CLOUD:
SCT ST 1200/2500 IN SHRA S OF 37.5S.
BKN CUSC 2500/6000 S OF 37.5 SOUTH.

VISIBILITY:
6KM SHRA. 10-15KM IN SEA SPRAY

WEATHER:
ISOL SHRA S OF 37.5S.

FREEZING LEVEL:
12000.

TURBULENCE:
OCNL MOD BLW 7000FT, PARTICULARLY NEAR COAST TILL 14UTC.

SEA STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
MODERATE/ROUGH/2-3 METRES/SW BUT SLOWLY ABATING.

SWELL STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
MODERATE/2-3 METRES/SW

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE:
19-21 DEGREES

LOWEST QNH:
1004HPA AT 0600UTC

SFC WINDS:
250600Z: 040/25 261200Z: 260/30 271800Z: 250/45 282400Z: 180/15
251200Z: 020/30 261800Z: 260/30 272400Z: 230/30
251800Z: 020/25 262400Z: 270/40 280600Z: 220/30
252400Z: 020/30 270600Z: 270/50 281200Z: 210/20
260600Z: 020/35 271200Z: 250/45 281800Z: 200/15

NNNN


6.

ZCZC ID41300 B CVRFC PROD

MARITIME SURVEILLANCE FORECAST FOR AUSSAR 98/4384
VALID 281830UTC to 291830UTC
FOR VICINITY OF 37S 151E

SITUATION:
LIGHT SW/SE'LY SFC WIND. ISOL SHRA/DZ WITH LOW CLOUD PATCHES

WINDS/TEMPS:
SFC 1000 2000 5000 7000 10000
180/10 270/10 290/10 290/15 290/20 290/25 PS04

CLOUD:
BKN ST 1000/2000 IN SHRA/DZ. AREAS OF BKN CU/SC 2000/7000

VISIBILITY:
4000M DZ, 5000M SHRA

WEATHER:
ISOL SHRA/DZ

FREEZING LEVEL:
12000.

TURBULENCE:
MOD CU

SEA STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
SLIGHT/1.0-1.5 METRES/SW-SE.

SWELL STATE/HEIGHT/DIRECTION:
MODERATE/2.0 METRES/SW

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE:
20-22 DEGREES

LOWEST QNH:
1008HPA AT 0600UTC