IDY10250 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Southern METAREA 10 SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO 65S160E TO 65S80E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 16 September 2019 Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. Warnings only issued north of ice edge, approximately 65S176E 62S155E 63S152E 63S139E 64S130E 61S107E 61S075E. Melbourne Gale Warning 1. Melbourne Gale Warning 2. Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 4. Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Cold front[1] 59S112E 60S124E 56S125E to low[1] 931hPa near 50S118E. Forecast 50S150E 55S160E 61S160E to low[1] 954hPa near 63S144E at 171200UTC. Cold front[2] 50S075E 56S083E to low[2] 963hPa near 60S083E. Forecast 50S106E 55S110E to low[2] 952hPa near 61S106E at 171200UTC. Ridge near 50S090E 61S091E, forecast east of area from 170000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings. Forecast valid north of ice edge and outside of warning areas. East of ridge[1]: Southwesterly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots increasing to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder west of ridge[1]: Westerly quarter winds tending northwest east of cold front[1] and within 270nm east of cold front[2]. Wind turning and clockwise within 540nm of low[1] and 420nm of low[2]. Wind speeds 20/30 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of cold fronts and 300nm of lows. Isolated showers remainder. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation and 0.5nm in fog. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 09:00 UTC Tuesday.