Fire Weather Forecast Summary for Northern Territory

IDD10721

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Fire Weather Forecast for the Northern Territory
for Thursday 19 October 2017

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Thursday 19 October 2017.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Area Area GFDI Area Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
Darwin and Adelaide River 26 Very High 32  
Northern Fire Protection Area 24 High 85  
Daly South 16 High 65  
Tiwi 19 High 56  
Arnhem West 28 Very High 20  
Arnhem East 24 High 96  
Katherine Fire Protection Area 22 High 100  
Carpentaria West 32 Very High 68  
Carpentaria East 33 Very High 40  
Gregory North West 21 High 75  
Gregory South East 32 Very High 37  
Barkly North 18 High 67  
Barkly South 19 High 92  
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area 25 Very High 17  
Simpson West 15 High 71  
Simpson East 12 High 12  
Lasseter West 24 High 91  
Lasseter East 19 High 96  
Tanami North 21 High 99  
Tanami South 24 High 99  

* Ratings information are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* Area FDI is the representative peak FDI in the area for that fuel type. 10% of the Fire area has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the Fire Area that falls in or above the Area Rating threshold.

Thursday

Light to moderate northeast to southeast winds, fresh at times in the Lasseter and Tanami Districts. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms about coastal areas of the Top End and in far southwest of the Territory. Mostly sunny elsewhere.

District Weather Elements
for Thursday 19 October 2017

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Thursday 19 October 2017.

Fire Area TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
Darwin and Adelaide River 1 5 5 NNE 15 SE 45 3000
Northern Fire Protection Area 1 8 < 5 NNE 15 SE 35 3100
Daly South 1 8 < 5 NE 15 SE 35 3200
Tiwi 1 5 5 E 15 SE 35 2800
Arnhem West 0 7 < 5 SE 15 SE 30 3400
Arnhem East 0 6 0 ESE 20 SSE 35 3300
Katherine Fire Protection Area 0 8 < 5 SE 15 SE 25 3200
Carpentaria West 0 8 0 SE 15 SE 20 3500
Carpentaria East 0 6 < 5 SE 20 SSE 30 3400
Gregory North West 1 10 < 5 ESE 15 SE 35 3400
Gregory South East 0 11 0 SE 20 SE 35 3600
Barkly North 0 9 0 ESE 20 SE 25 3600
Barkly South 0 9 0 ESE 30 SE 25 3800
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area 0 8 0 SE 35 SE 30 3900
Simpson West 0 9 0 SE 30 SE 30 3900
Simpson East 1 7 < 5 ESE 25 ESE 20 3600
Lasseter West 1 11 < 5 SE 40 ESE 20 4300
Lasseter East 0 9 0 SE 35 ESE 25 4100
Tanami North 0 11 0 ENE 30 SE 40 3800
Tanami South 0 11 0 ENE 30 SE 40 4000

Detailed Area Forecast
for Thursday 19 October 2017

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Thursday 19 October 2017.

  Fuel Type Area FDI GFDI > 35 GFDI > 50 GFDI > 75 GFDI > 100
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Darwin and Adelaide River G 26 0     0     0     0    
Northern Fire Protection Area G 24 0     0     0     0    
Daly South G 16 0     0     0     0    
Tiwi G 19 0     0     0     0    
Arnhem West G 28 1 15 0 0     0     0    
Arnhem East G 24 0     0     0     0    
Katherine Fire Protection Area G 22 0     0     0     0    
Carpentaria West G 32 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
Carpentaria East G 33 6 14 3 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Area FDI GFDI > 35 GFDI > 50 GFDI > 75 GFDI > 100
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Gregory North West G 21 0     0     0     0    
Gregory South East G 32 1 10 0 0     0     0    
Barkly North G 18 0     0     0     0    
Barkly South G 19 0     0     0     0    
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area G 25 0     0     0     0    
Simpson West G 15 0     0     0     0    
Simpson East G 12 0     0     0     0    
Lasseter West G 24 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
Lasseter East G 19 0     0     0     0    
Tanami North G 21 0     0     0     0    
Tanami South G 24 0     0     0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Fire Danger
for Thursday 19 October 2017

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Thursday 19 October 2017.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T Cur % Fuel
(t/Ha)
Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Darwin and Adelaide River Batchelor 11 35 42 ENE 15 25 37 100 13.0 G         23
Darwin Airport 15 32 52 NW 25 40 34 100 9.0 G         26
Middle Point 11 36 42 ENE 15 25 38 100 11.0 G         20
Noonamah Airport 10 35 44 ENE 15 30 36 100 9.0 G         15
Northern Fire Protection Area Douglas River 10 34 47 NE 15 25 38 100 6.0 G         9
Point Stuart 17 34 50 N 25 40 35 100 6.0 G         18
Daly South Bradshaw 09 33 53 NNE 20 30 39 100 4.5 G         9
Wadeye 10 33 59 NNE 20 35 35 100 6.0 G         11
Tiwi Pirlangimpi 11 34 50 NE 15 25 34 85 6.0 G         5
Arnhem West Central Arnhem Plateau 15 36 21 ESE 25 40 36 95 6.0 G         30
Jabiru Airport 15 38 23 ESE 15 25 38 100 6.0 G         16
Arnhem East Bulman 13 38 19 ESE 15 30 39 95 6.0 G         16
Nhulunbuy Airport 14 33 46 E 20 35 33 95 6.0 G         12
Katherine Fire Protection Area Katherine Airport 15 38 23 ESE 15 30 38 100 6.0 G         16
Carpentaria West Daly Waters 15 40 16 ESE 20 30 40 100 6.0 G         30
Carpentaria East Borroloola 15 36 29 ENE 20 30 38 100 6.0 G         20
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T Cur % Fuel
(t/Ha)
Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Gregory South East Delamere 15 39 18 ESE 15 25 39 100 4.0 G         13
Victoria River Downs 15 40 17 E 20 30 40 100 4.0 G         19
Barkly North Brunette Downs 14 38 16 ESE 20 30 38 95 3.0 G         13
Barkly South Tennant Creek 18 35 19 E 30 45 38 90 3.0 G         17
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area Alice Springs Airport 16 36 15 SE 30 45 37 100 3.0 G         26
Simpson West Jervois 16 37 17 SE 20 35 37 100 2.0 G         9
Lasseter East Yulara Airport 18 31 31 SE 35 60 36 100 2.0 G         14
Tanami North Rabbit Flat 11 38 11 ENE 25 40 41 95 2.5 G         17
Tanami South Yuendumu 16 37 13 SE 30 45 38 95 2.5 G         21

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.