Fire Weather Forecast Summary for Northern Territory

IDD10721

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Fire Weather Forecast for the Northern Territory
for Tuesday 21 May 2019

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Tuesday 21 May 2019.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Area	Area GFDI	Area Rating	Percent Coverage	Fire Weather Warning
Darwin and Adelaide River	3	Low-Moderate	100
Northern Fire Protection Area	2	Low-Moderate	100
Daly South	1	Low-Moderate	100
Tiwi	1	Low-Moderate	100
Arnhem West	3	Low-Moderate	100
Arnhem East	1	Low-Moderate	100
Katherine Fire Protection Area	3	Low-Moderate	100
Carpentaria West	5	Low-Moderate	100
Carpentaria East	1	Low-Moderate	100
Gregory North West	2	Low-Moderate	100
Gregory South East	5	Low-Moderate	100
Barkly North	8	Low-Moderate	100
Barkly South	3	Low-Moderate	100
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area	7	Low-Moderate	100
Simpson West	7	Low-Moderate	100
Simpson East	3	Low-Moderate	100
Lasseter West	5	Low-Moderate	100
Lasseter East	4	Low-Moderate	100
Tanami North	8	Low-Moderate	100
Tanami South	8	Low-Moderate	100

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* Area FDI is the representative peak FDI in the area for that fuel type. 10% of the Fire area has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the Fire Area that falls in or above the Area Rating threshold.

Tuesday

Light to moderate southeast to northeast winds, fresh and gusty at times during the morning north of Barrow Creek. A slight chance of showers the northeast Arnhem District. Mostly sunny elsewhere.

District Weather Elements
for Tuesday 21 May 2019

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Tuesday 21 May 2019.

Fire Area	TAL	cHaines	Prob Rain >5mm	1500m Wind (km/h)	3000m Wind (km/h)	Mix Height (m)
Darwin and Adelaide River	0	5	< 5	ESE 55	E 35	2200
Northern Fire Protection Area	0	5	< 5	ESE 55	E 30	2400
Daly South	0	6	0	ESE 30	ESE 25	2600
Tiwi	0	5	< 5	E 50	E 45	1600
Arnhem West	0	5	< 5	ESE 50	ESE 30	2300
Arnhem East	0	4	< 5	ESE 35	SE 40	1800
Katherine Fire Protection Area	0	5	0	ESE 45	ESE 20	2500
Carpentaria West	0	6	0	ESE 35	SE 20	2800
Carpentaria East	0	5	0	ESE 30	SSE 25	2500
Gregory North West	0	7	0	E 40	ESE 15	2800
Gregory South East	0	7	0	E 35	ESE 15	3100
Barkly North	0	6	0	ESE 30	SSE 20	2700
Barkly South	0	9	0	ESE 25	SSW 25	2600
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area	0	9	0	ESE 20	SSE 25	3300
Simpson West	0	9	0	ESE 20	SSE 25	3200
Simpson East	0	8	0	E 20	SSE 25	2600
Lasseter West	0	12	0	NE 10	W 15	3500
Lasseter East	0	8	0	NW 10	WSW 15	3500
Tanami North	0	9	0	E 25	ESE 15	3200
Tanami South	0	9	0	ESE 20	S 10	3400

Detailed Area Forecast
for Tuesday 21 May 2019

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Tuesday 21 May 2019.

	Fuel Type	Area FDI	GFDI > 35			GFDI > 50			GFDI > 75			GFDI > 100
			%	Start	Hours	%	Start	Hours	%	Start	Hours	%	Start	Hours
Darwin and Adelaide River	G	3	0			0			0			0
Northern Fire Protection Area	G	2	0			0			0			0
Daly South	G	1	0			0			0			0
Tiwi	G	1	0			0			0			0
Arnhem West	G	3	0			0			0			0
Arnhem East	G	1	0			0			0			0
Katherine Fire Protection Area	G	3	0			0			0			0
Carpentaria West	G	5	0			0			0			0
Carpentaria East	G	1	0			0			0			0

	Fuel Type	Area FDI	GFDI > 35			GFDI > 50			GFDI > 75			GFDI > 100
			%	Start	Hours	%	Start	Hours	%	Start	Hours	%	Start	Hours
Gregory North West	G	2	0			0			0			0
Gregory South East	G	5	0			0			0			0
Barkly North	G	8	0			0			0			0
Barkly South	G	3	0			0			0			0
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area	G	7	0			0			0			0
Simpson West	G	7	0			0			0			0
Simpson East	G	3	0			0			0			0
Lasseter West	G	5	0			0			0			0
Lasseter East	G	4	0			0			0			0
Tanami North	G	8	0			0			0			0
Tanami South	G	8	0			0			0			0

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Fire Danger
for Tuesday 21 May 2019

Issued at 5:30 am CST on Tuesday 21 May 2019.

	Regions	Time	Temp	RH	Wind (km/h)			Max T	Cur %	Fuel (t/Ha)	Max FDI Fuel	Wind Change (km/h)				FDI
					Dir	Speed	Gust					Dir	Speed	Gust	Time
Darwin and Adelaide River	Batchelor	11	31	49	ESE	30	45	34	60	12.0	G					3
	Darwin Airport	09	29	62	ESE	30	50	33	60	9.0	G					2
	Middle Point	10	30	59	ESE	30	50	35	60	11.0	G					2
	Noonamah Airport	12	34	39	ESE	30	45	35	60	9.5	G					3
Northern Fire Protection Area	Douglas River	13	35	32	ESE	25	35	35	60	6.0	G					2
	Point Stuart	15	33	53	ENE	20	35	33	60	6.0	G					1
Daly South	Bradshaw	15	37	24	ESE	20	35	37	60	4.5	G					1
	Wadeye	15	35	32	NNE	20	30	35	55	6.0	G					1
Tiwi	Pirlangimpi	15	33	46	E	30	45	33	55	6.0	G					1
Arnhem West	Central Arnhem Plateau	09	26	61	ESE	35	60	32	65	6.0	G					2
	Jabiru Airport	12	33	39	ESE	30	45	34	65	6.0	G					3
Arnhem East	Bulman	10	30	55	ESE	25	40	33	65	6.0	G					2
	Nhulunbuy Airport	15	29	66	ESE	35	55	30	50	6.0	G					0
Katherine Fire Protection Area	Katherine Airport	12	33	36	ESE	30	45	35	65	6.0	G					3
Carpentaria West	Daly Waters	15	35	25	SE	25	35	35	70	6.0	G					5
Carpentaria East	Borroloola	15	33	36	E	20	35	34	50	6.0	G					0

	Regions	Time	Temp	RH	Wind (km/h)			Max T	Cur %	Fuel (t/Ha)	Max FDI Fuel	Wind Change (km/h)				FDI
					Dir	Speed	Gust					Dir	Speed	Gust	Time
Gregory South East	Delamere	11	32	38	E	30	45	35	70	4.0	G					3
	Victoria River Downs	16	36	21	SE	20	30	36	70	4.0	G					3
Barkly North	Brunette Downs	10	28	37	E	25	45	33	100	2.0	G					6
Barkly South	Tennant Creek	09	25	44	E	30	45	31	95	2.0	G					6
Alice Springs Fire Protection Area	Alice Springs Airport	15	28	23	SE	20	30	28	100	2.0	G					6
Simpson West	Jervois	15	29	25	ESE	20	30	29	45	2.5	G					0
Lasseter East	Yulara Airport	15	30	25	ENE	5	10	30	90	2.0	G					1
Tanami North	Rabbit Flat	10	29	35	ENE	25	40	33	95	2.0	G					6
Tanami South	Yuendumu	09	22	46	ENE	25	40	29	100	2.0	G					5

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.