Tropical Cyclone Outlook


Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:37 pm CST on Tuesday 7 December 2021
for the period until midnight CST Friday 10 December 2021.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:


Potential Cyclones:

There are no significant tropical lows in the region present.

There is the slight potential of a tropical low forming over the weekend in the northern Arafura Sea or adjacent parts. However, Very Low risk of a tropical cyclone in the region over the next few days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

Very Low
Very Low
Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
5% to 20%
20 to 50%
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at