Tropical Cyclone Outlook

IDD10610

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Sunday 1 March 2015
for the period until midnight CST Wednesday 4 March 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


There are no significant tropical lows in the region, however the monsoon trough is expected to reform over the Arafura Sea. A weak low may form in the monsoon trough during the next few days.


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the

Northern Region on:

Monday:
Very Low.
Tuesday:
Very Low.
Wednesday:
Very Low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/