Tropical Cyclone Outlook

IDD10610

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria

Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Tuesday 28 January 2020
for the period until midnight CST Friday 31 January 2020.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A weak tropical low, 1000 hPa is located over the Gulf Country in Queensland near 17.3S 141.2E, about 575 kilometres east northeast of Brunette Downs at 9.00am CST on 28 January. This tropical low is slowly moving but is expected to move towards the southwest tonight and during Wednesday, crossing into the Northern Territory border and into the southeastern Barkly Districts later on Wednesday. The low will continue to move in a southwest direction before taking a more southerly path on Thursday afternoon.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:

Wednesday:
Very Low.
Thursday:
Very Low.
Friday:
Very Low.



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/