Tropical Cyclone Outlook

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:38 pm CST on Thursday 24 April 2014
for the period until midnight CST Sunday 27 April 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

A weak Tropical Low, 1004 hPa, is located in the Arafura Sea. The low is
expected to remain weak and move slowly east to southeast for the next 48 hours
and then move northwest from Sunday.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Friday          Very Low   
Saturday        Low        
Sunday          Low        



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).