IDD10610 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Northern Territory Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Saturday 8 March 2014 for the period until midnight CST Tuesday 11 March 2014. Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region: Nil Potential Cyclones: A developing tropical low, 1001 hPa, is located in the southeastern Arafura Sea, near 10.0S 138.8E, about 250 km east northeast of Cape Wessel at 9.30 am CST 8 March, moving slowly south. It is expected to move southeast over the next few days, away from the Northern Territory. The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone on Sunday morning before moving over Cape York Peninsula by Monday. Refer to the latest Tropical Cyclone Advice for further details [www.bom.gov.au/cyclone]. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on: Sunday High Monday High Tuesday Low There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next three days. NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).