Tropical Cyclone Outlook

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:16 pm CST on Sunday 20 April 2014
for the period until midnight CST Wednesday 23 April 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:


Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
during the next three days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   
Wednesday       Very Low   

A low is expected to develop to the north of the region during the next few
days, then move southwest towards the Timor Sea late in the week or on the
weekend, increasing the chance of cyclone development.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).