IDD10610 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Northern Territory Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria Issued at 2:38 pm CST on Thursday 24 April 2014 for the period until midnight CST Sunday 27 April 2014. Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: A weak Tropical Low, 1004 hPa, is located in the Arafura Sea. The low is expected to remain weak and move slowly east to southeast for the next 48 hours and then move northwest from Sunday. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on: Friday Very Low Saturday Low Sunday Low NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between 125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).