IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
Tropical Cyclone 3 day Outlook for Northern Region, including the Gulf of
Carpentaria
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Sunday 12 February 2012
Valid until the end of Wednesday.
Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region and Gulf of Carpentaria:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to
develop during the next three days. A weak monsoon trough is located the north
Arafura Sea.
Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Northern region on:
Monday: Very Low.
Tuesday: Very Low.
Wednesday: Very Low.
NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day...
Very low: less than 5%, Low: 5% to 20%, Moderate: 20% to 50%, High: Over 50%.
The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor [northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E].
Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone
DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
