AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma

Issued at 11:54 pm AEST Tuesday 19 February 2019. No Tropical Cyclone Advice is current for this system.


Community Threat

Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours
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Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours
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Past Cyclone Details

Past Location and Intensity Number
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Past Track and Movement
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Current Cyclone Details

Current Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Winds
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Destructive Winds
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Strong Gale Force Winds
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Forecast Cyclone Details
(Up to 72 hours from time of issue)

Forecast Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Wind Boundary
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Destructive Wind Boundary
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Strong Gale Force Wind Boundary
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Most Likely Future Track
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Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre
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The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.


Headline:

Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma is expected to move slowly southwest over the Coral Sea during the next few days.


Areas affected:

Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: None.

Cancelled zones: None.


Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma at 10:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 130 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 185 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 20.3 degrees South, 162.0 degrees East , 1210 kilometres northeast of Brisbane .
Movement: south southwest at 9 kilometres per hour .

Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma is expected to continue moving in a general southwesterly direction for the next few days while maintaining intensity, bringing it closer to the southeast Queensland coast late in the week.


Hazards:

Abnormally high tides are expected along the southern Queensland coast in the next few days. Seas and swell are also expected to increase well ahead of the approach of Oma. A Severe Weather Warning and Hazardous Surf Warning are current.


Details:
  Time (AEST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 10 pm February 19 3 20.3S 162.0E 30
+6hr 4 am February 20 3 20.7S 161.7E 50
+12hr 10 am February 20 3 21.1S 161.4E 70
+18hr 4 pm February 20 3 21.5S 161.1E 95
+24hr 10 pm February 20 3 21.8S 160.8E 120
+36hr 10 am February 21 3 22.6S 160.2E 155
+48hr 10 pm February 21 3 23.5S 159.6E 190
+60hr 10 am February 22 3 24.5S 159.2E 225
+72hr 10 pm February 22 3 25.5S 159.3E 265

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye


Next Issue

The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Wednesday