The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Tatiana to generate powerful surf along the southeast Queensland coast from Sunday
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: None.
Cancelled zones: None.
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 22.3 degrees South, 160.4 degrees East , 810 kilometres east northeast of Fraser Island .
Movement: south at 26 kilometres per hour .
Tropical cyclone Tatiana should continue moving in a general southwards direction tonight and is expected to transition into a deep subtropical low pressure system during Sunday.
The remnant subtropical low is not expected to impact the Queensland coast directly, however it will generate powerful surf along the coast from Sunday and into Monday in areas south of Sandy Cape, including the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.
Powerful surf along the coast from Sunday and into Monday in areas south of Sandy Cape, including the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.
|Time (AEST)||Intensity Category||Latitude
|0hr||4 pm February 13||2||22.3S||160.4E||55|
|+6hr||10 pm February 13||1||23.2S||160.2E||80|
|+12hr||4 am February 14||tropical low||24.3S||159.9E||100|
|+18hr||10 am February 14||tropical low||25.3S||159.5E||125|
|+24hr||4 pm February 14||tropical low||25.9S||159.0E||145|
|+36hr||4 am February 15||tropical low||25.8S||158.8E||185|
|+48hr||4 pm February 15||tropical low||25.2S||159.0E||220|
|+60hr||4 am February 16||tropical low||24.2S||158.9E||255|
|+72hr||4 pm February 16||tropical low||23.2S||158.7E||290|
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 11:00 pm AEST Saturday