The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma is expected to move slowly southwest over the Coral Sea during the next few days.
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: None.
Cancelled zones: None.
Intensity: category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 130 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 185 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 20.3 degrees South, 162.0 degrees East , 1210 kilometres northeast of Brisbane .
Movement: south southwest at 9 kilometres per hour .
Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma is expected to continue moving in a general southwesterly direction for the next few days while maintaining intensity, bringing it closer to the southeast Queensland coast late in the week.
Abnormally high tides are expected along the southern Queensland coast in the next few days. Seas and swell are also expected to increase well ahead of the approach of Oma. A Severe Weather Warning and Hazardous Surf Warning are current.
|Time (AEST)||Intensity Category||Latitude
|0hr||10 pm February 19||3||20.3S||162.0E||30|
|+6hr||4 am February 20||3||20.7S||161.7E||50|
|+12hr||10 am February 20||3||21.1S||161.4E||70|
|+18hr||4 pm February 20||3||21.5S||161.1E||95|
|+24hr||10 pm February 20||3||21.8S||160.8E||120|
|+36hr||10 am February 21||3||22.6S||160.2E||155|
|+48hr||10 pm February 21||3||23.5S||159.6E||190|
|+60hr||10 am February 22||3||24.5S||159.2E||225|
|+72hr||10 pm February 22||3||25.5S||159.3E||265|
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Wednesday