AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Tatiana

Issued at 4:39 am AEST Sunday 14 February 2016. No Tropical Cyclone Advice is current for this system.


Community Threat

Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours
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Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours
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Past Cyclone Details

Past Location and Intensity Number
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Past Track and Movement
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Current Cyclone Details

Current Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Winds
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Destructive Winds
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Strong Gale Force Winds
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Forecast Cyclone Details
(Up to 72 hours from time of issue)

Forecast Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Wind Boundary
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Destructive Wind Boundary
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Strong Gale Force Wind Boundary
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Most Likely Future Track
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Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre
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The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.


Headline:

Ex-tropical cyclone Tatiana has decayed into a subtropical low pressure system.



Areas affected:

Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: None.

Cancelled zones: None.


Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Tatiana at 4:00 am AEST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 25.6 degrees South, 160.0 degrees East , 690 kilometres east of Fraser Island .
Movement: south at 28 kilometres per hour .

Ex-tropical cyclone Tatiana has continued to weaken and has now decayed into a subtropical low pressure system. Ex-Tatiana should continue moving in a general southwards direction today, before stalling and turning back northwards on Monday.

Ex-tropical cyclone Tatiana is not expected to impact the Queensland coast directly, however it will generate powerful surf along the coast later today and on Monday in areas south of Sandy Cape, including the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.


Hazards:

Powerful surf along the coast from Sunday and into Monday in areas south of Sandy Cape, including the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.


Recommended Action:

Details:
  Time (AEST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 4 am February 14 tropical low 25.6S 160.0E 55
+6hr 10 am February 14 tropical low 26.6S 159.7E 80
+12hr 4 pm February 14 tropical low 27.4S 159.6E 100
+18hr 10 pm February 14 tropical low 27.6S 159.3E 125
+24hr 4 am February 15 tropical low 27.3S 159.1E 145
+36hr 4 pm February 15 tropical low 26.6S 159.2E 180
+48hr 4 am February 16 tropical low 25.6S 158.6E 220
+60hr 4 pm February 16 tropical low 24.6S 158.4E 255
+72hr 4 am February 17 tropical low 23.3S 158.5E 290

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye


Next Issue

There will be no further Forecast Track Maps issued for this system unless it reintensifies.