The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Ex-tropical cyclone Tatiana has decayed into a subtropical low pressure system.
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: None.
Cancelled zones: None.
Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 25.6 degrees South, 160.0 degrees East , 690 kilometres east of Fraser Island .
Movement: south at 28 kilometres per hour .
Ex-tropical cyclone Tatiana has continued to weaken and has now decayed into a subtropical low pressure system. Ex-Tatiana should continue moving in a general southwards direction today, before stalling and turning back northwards on Monday.
Ex-tropical cyclone Tatiana is not expected to impact the Queensland coast directly, however it will generate powerful surf along the coast later today and on Monday in areas south of Sandy Cape, including the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.
Powerful surf along the coast from Sunday and into Monday in areas south of Sandy Cape, including the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.
|Time (AEST)||Intensity Category||Latitude
|0hr||4 am February 14||tropical low||25.6S||160.0E||55|
|+6hr||10 am February 14||tropical low||26.6S||159.7E||80|
|+12hr||4 pm February 14||tropical low||27.4S||159.6E||100|
|+18hr||10 pm February 14||tropical low||27.6S||159.3E||125|
|+24hr||4 am February 15||tropical low||27.3S||159.1E||145|
|+36hr||4 pm February 15||tropical low||26.6S||159.2E||180|
|+48hr||4 am February 16||tropical low||25.6S||158.6E||220|
|+60hr||4 pm February 16||tropical low||24.6S||158.4E||255|
|+72hr||4 am February 17||tropical low||23.3S||158.5E||290|
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
There will be no further Forecast Track Maps issued for this system unless it reintensifies.