The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Tropical cyclone Tatiana should transition into a deep low during Saturday, and remain off the southeast coast.
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: None.
Cancelled zones: None.
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 55 kilometres of 19.2 degrees South, 160.0 degrees East , 1060 kilometres east northeast of Yeppoon and 930 kilometres northeast of Sandy Cape .
Movement: south southeast at 18 kilometres per hour .
Tropical cyclone Tatiana should continue moving in a southerly direction overnight and tomorrow. During tomorrow unfavourable atmospheric conditions should weaken the cyclone and see it transition into a deep subtropical low pressure system.
Powerful surf along the coast from Sunday and into Monday in areas south of Sandy Cape, including the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast.
|Time (AEST)||Intensity Category||Latitude
|0hr||10 pm February 12||2||19.2S||160.0E||55|
|+6hr||4 am February 13||2||20.2S||159.8E||80|
|+12hr||10 am February 13||1||21.1S||159.8E||100|
|+18hr||4 pm February 13||1||21.8S||159.9E||125|
|+24hr||10 pm February 13||1||22.9S||159.7E||145|
|+36hr||10 am February 14||tropical low||24.6S||159.0E||185|
|+48hr||10 pm February 14||tropical low||25.5S||158.9E||220|
|+60hr||10 am February 15||tropical low||25.6S||158.9E||255|
|+72hr||10 pm February 15||tropical low||24.7S||159.2E||290|
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Saturday