The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
The tropical low is expected to move in a southwest direction today before adopting a more southerly track on Sunday. The tropical should slowly intensify and may develop into a tropical cyclone before crossing the Queensland coast between Townsville and Mackay overnight Sunday or early Monday.
GALES may develop about coastal and island communities between Cairns and St Lawrence during Sunday.
Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is possible about coastal and nearby adjacent inland areas between Cooktown and Mackay from late Saturday and should persist into Sunday.
People between Cairns and St Lawrence should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).
Name: Tropical Low
|Time (EST)||Intensity Category||Latitude
|0hr||4 am March 8||tropical low||16.2S||150.0E||130|
|+6hr||10 am March 8||tropical low||16.5S||149.1E||150|
|+12hr||4 pm March 8||tropical low||17.1S||148.8E||175|
|+18hr||10 pm March 8||tropical low||17.4S||148.6E||195|
|+24hr||4 am March 9||tropical low||17.8S||148.4E||220|
|+36hr||4 pm March 9||1||19.3S||148.1E||255|
|+48hr||4 am March 10||1||20.0S||148.2E||295|
|+60hr||4 pm March 10||tropical low||20.8S||148.2E||330|
|+72hr||4 am March 11||tropical low||20.2S||148.4E||365|
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 11:00 am EST Saturday