IDV18530

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

Fire Weather Forecast
for Thursday 26 November 2009

Issued at 4:32 pm EDT on Monday 23 November 2009.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Location	MaxT °C	DewP °C	RH %	Wind km/h			DF	CUR %	FFDI	GFDI	Wind Change
				Dir	Spd	Gust
Walpeup	32	14	33	N	20	35	8	100	14	12
Swan Hill Airport	34	13	28	N	30	45	6	100	18	27
Mallee	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 3100
	WIND (1000): N  50						FDI above 35: NA
Horsham Airport	30	14	37	N	30	50	6	100	11	20
Stawell	30	14	37	N	30	45	6	90	11	14
Wimmera	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 3000
	WIND (1500): N  50						FDI above 35: NA
Ballarat Airport	26	12	41	N	30	45	4	30	5	0
Portland Airport	23	14	56	NNE	15	20	8	10	4	0
Hamilton Airport	27	14	44	N	30	40	8	30	10	0
Mortlake	26	14	47	N	20	30	7	20	6	0
Western	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 2200
	WIND (1000): N  45						FDI above 35: NA
Bendigo Airport	31	13	33	N	20	35	8	90	14	8
Shepparton Airport	34	13	28	N	25	35	7	90	18	14
Northern Country	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 3300
	WIND (1000): N  45						FDI above 35: NA
Mangalore Airport	32	13	31	NNE	20	30	7	90	13	9
North Central	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 2800
	WIND (1500): N  45						FDI above 35: NA
Geelong Airport	24	13	50	NE	15	20	5	70	3	0
Coldstream	29	13	37	N	15	20	6	30	7	0
Tullamarine	28	13	39	N	20	30	4	70	5	1
Dunns Hill	24	13	50	N	20	30	2	20	1	0
Pound Creek	24	14	53	NE	10	15	5	10	2	0
Central	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 2200
	WIND (1000): N  45						FDI above 35: NA
Albury-Wodonga	33	14	31	N	30	45	6	80	15	9
Wangaratta Airport	33	14	31	NNE	20	30	6	60	12	0
Hunters Hill	27	14	44	N	30	40	4	50	5	0
Northeast	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 3300
	WIND (1500): N  40						FDI above 35: NA
Latrobe Valley	28	13	39	NE	10	15	8	50	8	0
East Sale Airport	27	14	44	E	20	30	10	70	10	1
Mount Moornapa	28	13	39	N	15	20	7	70	8	1
West and South Gippsland	LAL: 1		RAIN: NO				MIX (M): 2800
	WIND (1000): NNW  35						FDI above 35: NA
Orbost	27	14	44	NE	15	20	6	50	5	0
Gelantipy	26	14	47	NNW	15	20	6	40	4	0
East Gippsland	LAL: 1		RAIN: NO				MIX (M): 2800
	WIND (1500): NNW  25						FDI above 35: NA
Falls Creek	20	14	68	N	30	50	2	40	0	0
Alpine Areas	LAL: 1		RAIN: YES				MIX (M): 3600
	WIND (2000): NNW  35						FDI above 35: NA
Interstate:

Notes:

MaxT = Maximum Temperature

RH = Relative Humidity

Dew Pt = Dew Point Temperature

DF = Drought Factor

CUR = Curing

FFDI is the Forest Fire Danger Index

GFDI is the Grassland Fire Danger Index

LAL = Lightning Activity Level: (0) = nil thunderstorms, (1) = isolated thunderstorms, (2) = scattered thunderstorms, (3) = widespread thunderstorms

RAIN: NO = less than 5mm, YES = greater than 5mm over district for day.

MIX (above sea level) = Mixing Depth

WIND (above sea level) = Upper Wind

FDI above 35 = time when FDI is above 35 when at least 4 hours before or after MaxT time

Forecast for Thursday:

Another low pressure trough approaching from the west. At this stage it looks like northerly winds developing, with seabreezes on the Gippsland coast. Warm temperatures but reasonably moist airmass. Showers developing in the west ahead of the low pressure trough, possibly tending to rain. Fire danger in grass reaching the very high category in the Mallee with the fresh northerly wind.