AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Tropical Low

Issued at 2:39 am WST Saturday 19 April 2014. No Tropical Cyclone Advice is current for this system.


Community Threat

Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours
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Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours
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Past Cyclone Details

Past Location and Intensity Number
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Past Track and Movement
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Current Cyclone Details

Current Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Winds
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Destructive Winds
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Gale Force Winds
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Forecast Cyclone Details
(Up to 72 hours from time of issue)

Forecast Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Wind Boundary
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Destructive Wind Boundary
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Gale Force Wind Boundary
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Most Likely Future Track
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Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre
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The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.


Remarks:

The developing tropical low is moving over open waters and is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone during Saturday. The system poses no direct threat to the Cocos Islands.

Name:  Tropical Low

Details:
  Time (WST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 2 am April 19 tropical low 12.3S 91.1E 55
+6hr 8 am April 19 1 12.7S 90.5E 80
+12hr 2 pm April 19 1 13.1S 89.8E 100
+18hr 8 pm April 19 1 13.5S 89.6E 125
+24hr 2 am April 20 2 13.8S 89.6E 145
+36hr 2 pm April 20 2 14.5S 89.9E 180
+48hr 2 am April 21 1 15.2S 90.7E 220
+60hr 2 pm April 21 1 16.3S 91.8E 255
+72hr 2 am April 22 tropical low 17.5S 92.8E 290

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye

The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 9:00 am WST Saturday