Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea


Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 5:47 pm EST on Friday 3 April 2020
for the period until midnight EST Monday 6 April 2020.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:


Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Potential Cyclones:

A trough lies near the southern Papua New Guinea coast and across the far northern Coral Sea. This trough will move north tomorrow and weaken over the weekend.

Tropical Cyclone Harold has just moved outside of the Eastern Region and is located near 10.6S, 160.8E. The tropical cyclone is moving to the east southeast at 28 km/h and is expected to continue developing over the coming days. This system is expected to continue to move into the Fiji area of responsibility and is expected to remain well offshore from the Australian coast with no impact to the mainland or island communities.

No further tropical lows are expected on this trough.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Very Low
Very Low
Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
5% to 20%
20 to 50%
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at