Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Thursday 11 February 2016
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 14 February 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A tropical low situated over the central Coral Sea is near tropical cyclone strength and gradually intensifying, while moving in a general eastwards direction. The low is expected to curve onto a southeasterly track over the next day or two and is rated a high chance of forming into tropical cyclone before exiting the region late on Friday or early Saturday.

The low is expected to remain well offshore and does not pose a threat to the Queensland coast.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Friday:
High
Saturday:
Low
Sunday:
Very Low


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Friday:
Very low
Saturday:
Very low
Sunday:
Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/