Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Tuesday 29 November 2022
for the period until midnight EST Friday 2 December 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region.

A low may develop off southern Cape York Peninsula on Friday or Saturday within the trough off the north Queensland coast. The low is expected to move southeast away from the Queensland coast over the weekend and early next week. The system has a Very Low risk of being a tropical cyclone on Friday. The system may develop further over the weekend well off the Queensland coast, but is not likely to be tropical in nature.

There are no other significant tropical lows expected to develop during the next seven days.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Wednesday:
Very Low
Thursday:
Very Low
Friday:
Very Low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/