Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea


Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Monday 19 March 2018
for the period until midnight EST Thursday 22 March 2018.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:


Potential Cyclones:

A tropical low north of Thursday Island is expected to intensify whilst pushing west across the northern Gulf of Carpentaria and into the Arafura Sea over the next few days. Another tropical low over the Solomon Sea is forecast to shift southeast into the northeastern Coral Sea during Wednesday and Thursday.

The likelihood of either tropical low developing or moving into the Eastern Region during the next three days is rated as very low.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Very low
Very low
Very low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
5% to 20%
20 to 50%
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at