Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 5 July 2015
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 8 July 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


Ex-tropical cyclone Raquel is situated to the southwest of the Solomon Islands and may reform into a tropical cyclone as it moves away from the Solomon Islands. If the system does reform into a tropical cyclone it is expected that it would weaken below tropical cyclone strength during Monday.

Refer to the latest Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletin and associated Forecast Track Map for further details.

The system will remain very far offshore and does not pose a threat to the Queensland coast.

The official tropical cyclone season runs from November 1st to April 30th. The out of season outlook is being issued due to the heightened risk of tropical cyclone development.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Monday:
Moderate
Tuesday:
Very low
Wednesday:
Very low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/