Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 5:23 am EST on Sunday 14 February 2016
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 16 February 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Tropical cyclone Tatiana has weakened and is now a subtropical low situated well offshore in the Coral Sea. Ex-Tatiana is not expected to impact the Queensland coast directly, however it will generate powerful surf along parts of the Queensland and New South Wales coast later on Sunday and Monday.

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Sunday:
Very low
Monday:
Very low
Tuesday:
Very low

Potential Cyclones:


There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop over the coming days.


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Sunday:
Very low
Monday:
Very low
Tuesday:
Very low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/