Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for the Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 1 February 2015
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 4 February 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:


Potential Cyclones:  

Tropical Cyclone Ola, situated well offshore of the Queensland east coast (west
of New Caledonia) is expected to move in a general southwards direction over
the next couple of days and may enter the region on Tuesday. Tropical Cyclone
Ola should be on a weakening trend around the time it approaches the region,
though for the latest information on this system refer to the Fiji
Meteorological Service website at

There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
develop over the next few days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Monday          Very low   
Tuesday         Low        
Wednesday       Low        

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.