Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 17 February 2018
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 20 February 2018.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

None.

Potential Cyclones:


There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next three days.

At 10am AEST Saturday, severe tropical cyclone Gita, category 3, was located to the south of New Caledonia, and moving west-southwest at about 8 kilometres per hour. Gita is forecast to curve onto a southerly track between Norfolk Island and Lord Howe Island this weekend and into Monday, remaining well offshore from the Queensland east coast. While the centre of the system is not expected to enter the Eastern Region, its peripheral gales may briefly affect the far southeastern edge of the area during late Sunday or Monday.

For the latest information on this system, refer to the New Zealand MetService website [www.metservice.com].


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Sunday:
Very low
Monday:
Very low
Tuesday:
Very low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/