Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Tuesday 30 June 2015
for the period until midnight EST Friday 3 July 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A tropical low situated to the north of the Solomon Islands is currently moving in a southwestwards direction and could enter the Eastern Region area of responsibility late Tuesday or during Wednesday. The tropical low is expected to develop further and could form into a tropical cyclone near the Solomon Islands on Wednesday or Thursday.

The system will remain very far offshore and does not pose a threat to the Queensland coast.

The official tropical cyclone season runs from November 1st to April 30th. This out of season outlook is being issued due to the heightened risk of tropical cyclone development.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Wednesday:
High
Thursday:
High
Friday:
Moderate



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/