Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 26 March 2017
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 29 March 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

At 2pm, Tropical Cyclone Debbie was estimated to be 475 kilometres east-northeast of Townsville. Tropical Cyclone Debbie is forecast to track west-southwesterly, bringing the system towards the north Queensland coast and is most likely to cross the Queensland coast on Tuesday morning. Conditions are expected to favour the continued intensification of the cyclone as it approaches the coast over the remainder of the weekend and into early next week.

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Monday:
High
Tuesday:
High
Wednesday:
Low




Likelihood of another tropical cyclone in the eastern Region.

Monday:
Very Low
Tuesday:
Very Low
Wednesday:
Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/