Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Wednesday 22 March 2017
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 25 March 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A low pressure system southeast of the Papua New Guinea mainland is forecast to develop over the next few days while drifting slowly southwest. Conditions are expected to become more favourable for tropical cyclone development in the coming days, particularly from Saturday onwards.

At this stage, the likelihood for a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region is moderate - this rating should continue into next week.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Thursday:
Very Low
Friday:
Low
Saturday:
Moderate



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/