Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 6:38 pm EST on Friday 12 February 2016
for the period until midnight EST Monday 15 February 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Tropical cyclone Tatiana is situated well offshore in the central Coral Sea and poses no immediate threat to the Queensland coast. The system is now expected to remain within the Bureau of Meteorology's Eastern Region of responsibility as it adopts a more southward track. As the cyclone moves further south during the weekend, it will weaken and eventually transition into a vigorous extratropical system.

Refer to the latest Tropical Cyclone Information Bulletin and Forecast Track Map at www.bom.gov.au/cyclone for further details.

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday:
High
Sunday:
Very low
Monday:
Very low

Potential Cyclones:


There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop over the coming days.


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:

Saturday:
Very low
Sunday:
Very low
Monday:
Very low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/