Queensland Forecast

No warnings for Queensland

Forecast issued at 4:30 am EST on Saturday 25 November 2017.

Weather Situation

A large, slow moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge along the Queensland east coast, which will remain in place over the coming days. A broad area of low pressure over the northern interior of the continent will remain slow moving and will link up with a surface trough that extends from South Australia into far western Queensland. This setup will maintain a moist airmass through much of northern, central and western Queensland over the weekend. Drier air will extend into the far southwest following the trough. A series of generally weak upper troughs will maintain at least some instability across much of the state in the coming days. A surface trough over the Coral Sea will move slowly west, and may approach the southeast coast over the weekend.

Forecast for the rest of Saturday

The slight chance of showers and storms over the western half of the state, increasing to a medium chance over northwest parts, however fine and mostly sunny conditions are likely over far southwest Queensland. The slight chance of showers about the east coast and adjacent inland, increasing to a medium chance south of about Rockhampton, where there is also the chance of storms. Light to moderate mostly southeast to northeasterly winds, tending fresh about parts of the east coast. A southwesterly change develops in the far southwest as a surface trough moves through.

Sunday 26 November

The high pressure system in the Tasman is likely to remain slow moving, with the weak ridge along the east coast persisting. This should result in minimal shower activity about the east coast and adjacent inland, becoming more likely about the southeast coast as the Coral Sea trough moves close by. Shower and storm activity should continue about western parts and the southern interior, more likely in the far northwest. Daytime temperatures rising above the November average over the central to southwestern interior.

Monday 27 November

A new upper trough is likely to develop over central Australia and combine with the slow moving surface trough over the far southwest of the state to produce some shower and storm activity over western and southwestern parts of Queensland. The high pressure system in the Tasman and the resulting ridge along the east coast of Queensland are expected to remain in place, resulting in the slight chance of showers about the east coast and adjacent interior, more likely about the southeast. Daytime temperatures remaining a little above the November average over the southern interior.

Tuesday 28 November

The high pressure system will remain centred over the Tasman Sea and New Zealand, extending a weak ridge over eastern Queensland with shower activity persisting over eastern districts. The upper trough is likely to move over the central to western interior of the state on Tuesday but remain relatively weak, resulting in the chance of shower and storm activity for much of the interior, although there is uncertainty regarding the movement and intensity of the upper trough and the resulting weather. The surface trough is likely to be through western parts of the state.

Wednesday until Friday

The high pressure system will remain centred over the Tasman Sea and New Zealand, extending a weak ridge over eastern Queensland with shower activity persisting over eastern districts.A broad upper trough is likely to be located over the state during the outlook days but remain relatively weak, resulting in patchy shower and storm activity over the state, although there is continuing uncertainty regarding the movement and intensity of the upper trough and the resulting weather. The surface trough is likely to shift westwards into the Northern Territory and weaken during Wednesday.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 pm EST Saturday.

Product IDQ10700