Queensland Forecast

View the current warnings for Queensland

Forecast issued at 4:30 pm EST on Thursday 23 March 2017.

Weather Situation

A high over the Tasman Sea in combination with a broad area of low pressure over the northern Coral Sea to direct a moist, tropical air stream into much of Queensland. An upper trough over eastern Queensland will strengthen whilst moving north and east across the state today. Conditions will stabilise over the interior of the state from today as the upper trough moves out of the area. A surface trough over the Central Coast district will slowly move north today and Friday as a low deepens in the western Coral Sea.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

A slight to medium chance of showers and possible storms over the interior of the state, increasing to a medium to high chance over the northern tropics. A high to very high chance of showers and possible storms with some moderate to heavy falls possible about the Central Coast and Capricornia. A medium to high chance of showers elsewhere in eastern districts with possible thunderstorms. Fine and mostly clear in the far west. Light to moderate south to southwesterly winds in the southwest, with moderate southeast to northeasterly winds elsewhere.

Friday 24 March

A slight to medium chance of showers and possible storms over the interior of the state, increasing to a medium to high chance over the northern tropics. A high to very high chance of showers and possible storms about the central and southern tropical coast. A medium to high chance of showers elsewhere in remaining eastern districts with possible thunderstorms. Fine and mostly sunny in the far west and southwest and warmer than average. Light to moderate southeast to northeasterly winds, fresh at times about the east coast.

Saturday 25 March

The upper trough will move further northwards and into the tropics, while a ridge should extend over southern Queensland. A low pressure system in the Coral Sea is expected to intensify, and is a moderate chance of becoming a tropical cyclone. A slight to medium chance of showers about the southeast increasing to a medium to high chance about the central coast and northeast coast with possible storms. A medium to high chance of showers and possible storms across the far north and northwest of the state. Fine and mostly sunny over much of the interior of the state.

Sunday 26 March

The upper trough will move further north, while the ridge will strengthen over southern Queensland. The low in the Coral Sea is a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone, and is likely to move towards the east coast. A slight to medium chance of showers about the southeast increasing to a medium to high chance about the central coast and northeast coast with possible storms. A medium to high chance of showers and possible storms across the far north of the state. Fine and mostly sunny over much of the interior of the state.

Monday 27 March

The upper trough will move further north, while the ridge will remain strong over southern Queensland. The low or tropical cyclone in the Coral Sea will likely move towards the east coast, and possibly cross the coast about the north tropical coast of Queensland. Rain areas, showers and thunderstorms are expected to push on to the coast near and to the south of the system, but is highly dependent on the strength and location of the system. A slight to medium chance of showers about the southeast increasing to a medium to high chance of about the central coast and northeast coast with possible storms away from the low or tropical cyclone. A medium to high chance of showers and possible storms across the far north of the state. Fine and mostly sunny over much of the interior of the state.

Tuesday until Thursday

The upper trough is expected to shift further north into the northern tropics as a ridge develops over central and southern parts of the state. The low or tropical cyclone in the Coral Sea should push further inland during the outlook period, but there is a lot of uncertainty with its expected path. Showers are likely to affect the northern tropics. A slight to medium chance of showers along the remaining east coast, with mostly fine and sunny conditions and above average temperatures in western districts under the influence of the ridge. A weak upper trough may shift across southern Queensland during the outlook period, increasing the chances of showers and possibly storms with its passage.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 am EST Friday.

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