No warnings for Queensland
Forecast issued at 4:30 am EST on Tuesday 1 December 2015.
A surface trough will enter western Queensland today and shift east over the interior of the state to extend from the northwest into the western Darling Downs on Wednesday. Unstable conditions will persist over areas near and east of the trough, enhanced by a series of upper troughs moving across the south of the state. A coastal trough will enter far southern Queensland waters late Wednesday and shift north to the central coast during Thursday and Friday. A high will enter the Tasman Sea on Friday, extending a firm ridge about the east Queensland coast in the wake of the trough.
Forecast for the rest of Tuesday
A slight to medium chance of showers and storms over much of the interior, increasing to a medium to high chance with possible severe storms through the northwest and also in a band from the Carnarvon Ranges into the Maranoa and Darling Downs. Some patchy rain is also expected under the cloud band extending east over the interior. A cooler day in the northwest under the cloud. Mostly fine about much of the east coast with just the slight chance of a shower in the northeast tropics and the slight chance of an afternoon shower or storm in the far southeast. Moderate to fresh northwest to northeasterly winds, tending southeast to northeast in the tropics and southerly in the far southwest of the state.
Fire Danger - Very High in the Maranoa and Warrego district.
Wednesday 2 December
The surface trough will shift further east over the interior while a coastal trough will move north into far southern Queensland waters at night. The upper trough will move further east, extending the cloud band through southern central and southeast districts where a high chance of showers or patchy rain and some storms are expected. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms will extend through the northwest into the central west and southern interior near and east of the inland surface trough. Fine and sunny conditions will extend through the southwest. The medium chance of showers is expected over the northeast tropical coast, with possible storms due to a trough moving west from the Coral Sea. Cooler conditions will spread through western Queensland.
Thursday 3 December
The coastal trough should continue shifting north, reaching the northern Capricornia coast by the evening. A high over the Tasman Sea will extend a firm ridge along the coast in its wake. The upper trough will also contract northwards towards central Queensland. Conditions will stabilise over the far southeast with just some shower activity expected. Fine and sunny conditions will persist through the far southwest and also develop about the northeast tropical coast. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms will extend over remaining areas, increasing to a high chance over the Wide Bay and Capricornia districts near the coastal trough.
Friday 4 December
The high in the Tasman Sea will extend a ridge along the Queensland east coast with fresh to strong southeasterly winds leading to a slight to medium chance of showers about the east coast and adjacent inland, more likely on the central coast with possible isolated storms due to the coastal trough moving north over the area. The inland surface trough should shift further west into western Queensland, with the slight chance of showers and storms over the interior near and to its east, increasing to a high chance in the northwest.
Saturday until Monday
The high over the Tasman Sea will remain slow moving through the outlook period whilst gradually weakening, maintaining a weak ridge along the east Queensland coast. The upper trough over the north of the state should contract into the Coral Sea early in the weekend with a more stable upper pattern developing over much of the state on Sunday and Monday. Showers and storms should therefore gradually contract to far northern and western parts of the state while mostly fine conditions will spread through remaining areas. Hot conditions will again develop through western Queensland during the outlook period as winds tend northerly ahead of a new surface trough tracking east over central Australia.
The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 pm EST Tuesday.