Queensland Forecast

No warnings for Queensland

Forecast issued at 4:30 pm EST on Tuesday 28 February 2017.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system in the Tasman Sea will remain slow moving over the next few days, maintaining a firm ridge and a moist onshore wind flow along the east Queensland coast. An upper level low over the southeast of the state will shift slowly southwards tonight and through Wednesday. Another upper trough will then extend through much of the state mid to late week. A series of surface troughs over the Coral Sea will move west towards the central coast and tropics mid to late week, combining with the upper features to enhance showers and storms. A new surface trough will shift west over the Queensland interior from Thursday.

Forecast for the rest of Tuesday

A slight to medium chance of showers and isolated storms over areas east of about Bundaberg to Goondiwindi. The high to very high chance of showers and storms over the Peninsula, with the slight to medium chance extending into the tropical interior and northwest of the state. A slight to medium chance of showers over the remaining east coast and adjacent inland, with possible isolated storms inland. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds.

Wednesday 1 March

A slight to medium chance of showers and storms over areas east of about Rockhampton to Goondiwindi, increasing to a medium to high chance near and east of the Great Dividing Range with storms more likely over inland parts. A high to very high chance of showers and storms over areas north of about Cooktown. A slight to medium chance of showers about the remaining east coast and a slight to medium chance of showers and storms in the far west of the state. Moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds.

Thursday 2 March

The upper trough will shift southeast over southern Queensland while yet another upper trough will shift east towards southwestern Queensland late in the day. The high pressure system near New Zealand will start to weaken while a new high pressure system will shift east over the Southern Ocean. A trough over the Coral Sea will shift west towards the central and east tropical coasts. The upper trough will combine with an onshore wind flow to result in a high chance of showers and possible isolated storms about the central and southern coasts and nearby inland. A high to very high chance of showers and isolated storms will extend over the northern tropics with possible locally heavy falls with storms. Fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected in the southwest of the state, with the slight chance of a shower or storm over the remaining interior.

Friday 3 March

The new upper trough in the southwest of the state will likely intensify while shifting slowly east into western Queensland, while a surface trough over the interior of the state will shift further west. Another trough in the north of the state will likely slip further southwards, resulting in the high to very high chance of showers and storms extending from the tropics to the central coast with possible locally heavy falls, particularly with storms. The far west of the state should remain find and mostly sunny. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms will extend over remaining parts of the state, increasing to a medium to high chance of the central interior and into the southeast inland.

Saturday 4 March

The upper trough may shift slightly eastwards across the south of the state, maintaining instability across much of the state, whilst the surface trough will remain slow-moving over the interior of the state. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms is therefore possible for much of the state, increasing to a medium to high chance of the central and eastern parts of the state where moisture levels are higher. The far southwest of the state should remain fine and mostly sunny. The upper trough in the north of the state will remain slow-moving across the south of Cape York Peninsula and into the Herbert and Lower Burdekin District and tropical moisture will continue to spread to the far north of the state. A high to very high chance of showers and storms with some rain areas is therefore expected across areas north of about Bowen to Kowanyama with some heavy falls possible, particularly with storms.

Sunday until Tuesday

The upper trough will likely shift slightly further eastwards across southern Queensland on Sunday before weakening over the south of the state on Monday and Tuesday. The deep trough in the north of the state will likely shift further southwest whilst a series of surface troughs over the Coral Sea should shift west towards the central and east tropical coasts. These systems will maintain a high to very high chance of showers and storms over the tropics, spreading further southwest into the northern interior and Gulf Country throughout the outlook period. Some locally heavy falls are possible, particularly with storms. A weak ridge of high pressure is likely to persist about the remaining east coast of Queensland. The onshore wind flow will combine with the upper feature in the south of the state to result in the medium to high chance of showers and storms continuing over the central interior and southeast of the state, though storms are more likely over inland parts. Fine and mostly sunny conditions should persist in the far southwest of the state with the slight to medium chance of showers and storms over the remaining west and southern interior.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 am EST Wednesday.

Product IDQ10700