El Niño Indices

Indices for different types of El Niño — updated monthly on this page for the period 1854 to present

During year-to-year El Niño events in recent decades, major sea surface warming has occurred frequently in the central Pacific. This is distinct from the eastern Pacific warming pattern during canonical El Niño events. Accordingly, the central-Pacific El Niño exerts distinct impacts on ecosystems, climate and hurricanes worldwide. The increased frequency of the new type of El Niño presents a challenge not only for the understanding of El Niño dynamics and its change but also for the prediction of El Niño and its global impacts at present and future climate.

A recent study (Sullivan et al. 2016) has proposed simple indices to represent the different types of El Niño, which can be used for understanding, prediction, and impact assessment:

– Sullivan, A., J.-J. Luo*, A. C. Hirst, D. Bi, W. Cai and J. He, 2016: Robust contribution of decadal anomalies to the frequency of central-Pacific El Niño . Scientific Reports, 6, 38540; doi: 10.1038/srep38540

Indices for Eastern Pacific (EP) type, Central Pacific (CP) type, and mixed type of El Niño are calculated as in 1, 2 and 3 below:

  1. EP = Niño3_normalized – 0.5 * Niño4_normalized
  2. CP = Niño4_normalized – 0.5 * Niño3_normalized
  3. Mixed type = EP + CP ≈ Niño3.4_normalized

Where Niño3_normalized, Niño4_normalized, and Niño3.4_normalized denote the normalized sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in the Niño3 (5°S-5°N, 150°W-90°W), Niño4 (5°S-5°N, 160°E-150°W), and Niño3.4 (5°S-5°N, 170°W-120°W) area, respectively.
CP-EL-Nino pattern

Leader

Jing-Jia Luo

Team

  • Jing-Jia Luo
  • Arnold Sullivan

Related Links

Climate impacts of the three different El Niños

For more information
please contact Jing-Jia Luo

Pattern-EP-ElNino
Pattern-CP-ElNino
Pattern-mixed-type

Source: All pattern images adapted from Supplementary Figure 2 in Sullivan et al. 2016.

Time series of the three types of El Niño from January 1854 to present

Updated monthly

Ep El Nino index CP El Nino Index Mixed-type-ElNino-index

ASCII data for the monthly values of the three types of El Niño from January 1854 to present:

  1. Download EP El Niño index here.
  2. CP El Niño index here.
  3. Mixed-Type of El Niño index here.