Publications

Synthesis Reports

• Hope, P., B. Timbal, H. H. Hendon, M. Ekström and Potter, N. | 2017

Annual Reports

• Hope, P., B. Timbal, H. H. Hendon and M. Ekström | 2016
• Hope, P., B. Timbal, H. H. Hendon and M. Ekström | 2015
• Murphy, B.,B. Timbal, H. H. Hendon and M. Ekström | 2014

Journal Publications

2017

• Ekström, M, and Gilleland, E. 2017: Assessing convection permitting resolutions of WRF for the purpose of water resource impact assessment and vulnerability work; a southeast Australian case study. Water Resources Research, DOI:10.1002/2016WR019545
• Fiddes, S. and Timbal, B. 2017. Future impacts of climate change on streamflows across Victoria, Australia: making use of statistical downscaling. Clim. Res., 71, 219-236.
• McIntosh, P.C. and Hendon, H.H. 2017: Understanding Rossby wave trains forced by the Indian Ocean Dipole. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3771-1.
• Nguyen, H., Hendon, H. H., Lim, E. P., Boschat, G., Maloney, E., Timbal, B. 2017 Variability of the extent of the Hadley circulation in the southern hemisphere: a regional perspective. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3592-2.
• Timbal, B., S. Fiddes and J. Brown 2017: Understanding Victorian rainfall projection uncertainties: the influence of patterns of projected tropical warming Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.5047

2016

• Ekström, M 2016: Metrics to identify meaningful downscaling skill in WRF simulations of intense rainfall event. Environmental Modelling and Software, 79, 267-284.
• Fiddes, S and B. Timbal, 2016: Assessment and reconstruction of catchment streamflow trends and variability in response to rainfall across Victoria, Australia, Clim. Res., 67, 43-60, doi:10.3354/cr01355 http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v67/n1/p43-60/
• Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon, M. Zhao and Y. Yin 2016: Inter-decadal variations in the linkages between ENSO, the IOD and south-eastern Australian springtime rainfall in the past 30 years Clim. Dyn. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3328-8
• Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon, J. M. Arblaster, F. Delage, H. Nguyen, S.-K. Min, and M. C. Wheeler 2016: The impact of the Southern Annular Mode on future changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43 (13), 7160-7167, doi: 10.1002/2016GL069453
• Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon, J. M. Arblaster, C. Chung, A. F. Moise, P. Hope, G. Young and M. Zhao 2016: Interaction of the recent SST trend and La Niña 2010: Amplification of the Southern Annular Mode and Australian springtime rainfall. Clim. Dyn. DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2963-9
• Zhao, M., Hendon, H.H., Alves, O., Liu, G. and Wang, G., 2016: Weakened Eastern Pacific El Niño Predictability in the Early Twenty-First Century. J. Climate, 29(18), pp.6805-6822.

2015

• Dowdy, A. J., M. R. Grose, B. Timbal, A. Moise, M. Ekström, J. Bhend and L. Wilson 2015: Rainfall in Australia's eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal, 65, 102-121
• Ekström, M, Grose, M. R. and Whetton, P. H. 2015: An appraisal of downscaling methods used in climate change research. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Clim. Change, 6, 301-319.
• Grose, M., J. Bhend, D. Argueso, M. Ekström, A. Dowdy, P. Hoffmann, J. P. Evans and B. Timbal 2015: Comparison of various climate change projections of eastern Australian rainfall, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal 65, 67-84
• Grose, M., B. Timbal, L. Wilson, J. Bathols and D. Kent 2015: The subtropical ridge in CMIP5 and implications for projections of rainfall in southeast Australia, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal 65, 85-101
• Hope, P., M. R. Grose, B. Timbal, A. J. Dowdy, J. Bhend, J. J. Katzfey, T. Bedin, L. Wilson and P. H. Whetton 2015: Seasonal and regional signature of the projected southern Australian rainfall reduction, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal, 65, 48-66
• Lim, E.-P. and H. H. Hendon 2015: Understanding the contrast of Australian springtime rainfall of 1997 and 2002 in the frame of two flavors of El Nino. J. Climate, 28, 2804-2822
• Lim, E.-P. and H. H. Hendon 2015: Understanding and predicting the strong Southern Annular Mode and its impact on the record wet east Australian spring 2010. Clim. Dyn, DOI:10.1007/s00382-014-2400-5
• Lucas, C and H. Nguyen, 2015: Regional characteristics of tropical expansion and the role of climate variability, J. Geophys. Res., 120, 6809-6824 doi:10.1002/2015JD023130
• Luo, J.-J., and Coauthors, 2015: Current status of intraseasonal-seasonal-to-interannual prediction of the Indo-Pacific climate. Chapter 1 in The Indo-Pacific Climate Variability and Predictability (eds. Yamagata, T. and Behera S.), Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate book series, the World Scientific Publisher (in press)
• Nguyen, H., C. Lucas, A. Evans, B. Timbal, and L. Hanson 2015: Expansion of the Southern Hemisphere Hadley Cell in Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing J. Climate, 28(20), 80678077, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0139.1.
• Rikus, L. 2015: A simple climatology of westerly jet streams in global reanalysis datasets part 1: mid-latitude upper tropospheric jets Clim. Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2560-y
• Teng, J., N. J. Potter, F. H. S. Chiew, L. Zhang, J. Vaze, and J. P. Evans 2015: How does bias correction of regional climate model precipitation affect modelled runoff? Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 19, 711-728
• Timbal, B., M. Griffiths and K. S. Tan 2015: Rainfall and streamflows in Greater Melbourne catchment area: variability and recent anomalies, Clim. Res. , 63:215-232

2014

• Ekström, M. 2014: Test of WRF physics schemes for Project 6 of the Victorian Climate Initiative: An outline of selected physical parameterisation schemes and other runtime options. Australia: CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship. https://publications.csiro.au/rpr/download?pid=csiro:EP143367&dsid=D
• Hendon, H. H., E.-P. Lim, H. Nguyen 2014: Seasonal Variations of Subtropical Precipitation Associated with the Southern Annular Mode, J. Climate, 27, 3446-3460
• Hendon, H. H., E.-P. Lim, J. Arblaster and D. L. T. Anderson 2014: Causes and predictability of the record wet east Australian spring 2010. Clim. Dyn., 42, 1155-1174
• Lucas, C., B. Timal and H. Nguyen 2014: The expanding tropics: a critical assessment of the observational and modeling studies WIRE : Clim. Change 5(1),89-112, doi:10.1002/wcc.251
• Pepler, A., B. Timbal, C. Rakich and A. Coutts-Smith 2014 Indian Ocean Dipole Overrides ENSO's influence on cool season rainfall across the eastern seaboard of Australia, J. Climate, 27, 3816-3826

2013

• Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon and H. A. Rashid 2013: Seasonal predictability of the Southern Annular Mode due to its association with ENSO J. Climate, 26, 8037-8054
• Timbal, B. and Drosdowsky, W. 2013: The relationship between the decline of South Eastern Australia rainfall and the strengthening of the sub-tropical ridge. Int. J. Climatol., 33, 1021-1034

Other Publications

• Lim, E.-P., Hendon, H.H., Hudson, D., Zhao, M., Shi, L., Alves, O. and Young, G. 2017: Evaluation of the ACCESS-S1 hindcasts for prediction of Victorian seasonal rainfall. Bureau Research Report, 19, 51pp
• Potter, N.J., Chiew, F.H.S., Zheng, H., Ekström, M. and Zhang, L. 2016: Hydroclimate projections for Victoria at 2040 and 2065. CSIRO publishing, 58 pp.
• Timbal, B., Fiddes, S., Grose, M., Kirono, D., Lim, E.-P., Lucas, C. and Wilson, L. 2016: Climate change science and Victoria, Victoria Climate Initiative (VicCI) report. Bureau Research Report, 14, 94 pp
• Potter, N., J. Teng, F. Chiew, M. Ekström, L. Zhang 2015: Scoping study for the delivery of future runoff projections for Victoria, Technical Report, CSIRO Land & Water

Past publications relevant to this program can be found on the publication page of the SEACI web site.