Bureau Research Reports

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Belinda Trotta, James Canvin, Thomas Gale, Timothy Hume, Robert Johnson, Jiaping Liu, Daniel Mentiplay, Benjamin Owen, Anja Schubert, Gary Weymouth, Jennifer Whelan | March 2024
An initial benchmarking of IMPROVER – Part 2: evaluation of precipitation diagnostics
Bureau Research Report No. 093
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PDF 13.0 MB

Benjamin Owen, James Canvin, Thomas Gale, Timothy Hume, Robert Johnson, Jiaping Liu, Daniel Mentiplay, Anja Schubert, Belinda Trotta, Gary Weymouth, Jennifer Whelan | March 2024
An initial benchmarking of IMPROVER – Part 1: evaluation of non-precipitation diagnostics
Bureau Research Report No. 092
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PDF 5.1 MB

Meelis Zidikheri, Peter Steinle, Yi Xiao, Esteban Abellan Villardon | March 2024
An objective evaluation of the Bureau's ACCESS-GE4 global ensemble model
Bureau Research Report No. 091
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PDF 6.4 MB

Andrew Frost, Ashkan Shokri, Paul Fox-Hughes | February 2024
Spatial grassland and savanna curing seasonal prediction for input into the Australian Fire Danger Rating System
Bureau Research Report No. 090
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PDF 3.6 MB

Wendy Sharples, Stuart Baron-Hay | November 2023
Generating surface wind grids
Bureau Research Report No. 088
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PDF 0.7 MB

Andrew Dowdy | October 2023
A bias correction method designed for weather and climate extremes
Bureau Research Report No. 087
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PDF 2.7 MB

Christian Stassen, Chun-Hsu Su, Andrew Dowdy, Charmaine Franklin, Emma Howard, Peter Steinle | September 2023
Development and Assessment of Regional Atmospheric Nudging in ACCESS
Bureau Research Report No. 086
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PDF 1.48 MB

Jane Warne, Lachlan Nicholls, James Chittleborough, Bill Mitchell, Grant Smith, Herve Damlamian, Zulfikar Begg | September 2023
Absolute sea level in the Pacific: data and methodology
Bureau Research Report No. 085
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PDF 5.0 MB

Chun-Hsu Su, Susan Rennie, Joshua Torrance, Imtiaz Dharssi, Siyuan Tian, Emma Howard, Acacia Pepler, Christian Stassen, Peter Steinle | August 2023
Preliminary assessment of regional moderate-resolution atmospheric reanalysis for Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 084
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PDF 0.8 MB

Chris Lucas, Matthew C Wheeler, Hanh Nguyen, Andrew B Watkins, Zhi-Weng Chua, Catherine Ganter | August 2023
Revising the Bureau's ENSO Alert System: Adapting Indices in a Changing Climate
Bureau Research Report No. 083
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PDF 1.5 MB

Morwenna Griffiths, Paul Smith, Hailin Yan, Claire Spillman, Griffith Young and Debra Hudson | May 2023
ACCESS-S2: Updates and improvements to postprocessing pipeline
Bureau Research Report No. 082
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PDF 2.3 MB

Catherine de Burgh-Day and Robert Taggart | May 2023
A computationally efficient method for fitting smooth parametrized curves to precipitation distributions
Bureau Research Report No. 081
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PDF 7.7 MB

Simon Benson and Monika Krysta | April 2023
Generation of Background Error Covariances for ACCESS-C
Bureau Research Report No. 080
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PDF 0.4 MB
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PDF 5.8 MB

Susan Rennie | March 2023
Radar data assimilation upgrades for APS4
Bureau Research Report No. 078
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PDF 7.1 MB

Andrew Dowdy and Andrew Brown | March 2023
Environmental indicators for thunderstorms, lightning and convective rainfall
Bureau Research Report No. 077
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PDF 3.3 MB

Jesse Greenslade and Paul Gregory | March 2023
Towards an improved Bureau Seasonal Cyclone Outlook
Bureau Research Report No. 076
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PDF 0.4 MB

Sugata Narsey, James Risbey, Dörte Jakob, and Michael Grose | February 2023
Perspectives on the Feb-Mar 2022 east coast extreme rainfall event
Bureau Research Report No. 075
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PDF 11.4 MB

Saima Aijaz, Gary B. Brassington, Prasanth Divakaran, Charly Régnier, Marie Drévillon, Jan Maksymczuk and Kerry Smout-Day | January 2023
Global ocean Eulerian currents verification and intercomparison, 2018-2020
Bureau Research Report No. 074
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PDF 2.0 MB

Dörte Jakob, Mitchell Black, Naomi Benger, Michael Grose, Ben Hague, Justin Peter, Acacia Pepler | January 2023
A review of existing climate portals
Bureau Research Report No. 073
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PDF 3.7 MB

Hanh Nguyen, Chris Lucas, Matthew Wheeler and Andrew Watkins | December 2022
Summary of a workshop on ENSO/IOD alert systems for a warming world held 16-17 August 2022
Bureau Research Report No. 072
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PDF 0.4 MB

Deryn Griffiths and Ashoka Jayawardena | November 2022
AutoFcst: A coherent set of forecast grids
Bureau Research Report No. 071
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PDF 11.3 MB

Simon Benson, Monika Krysta, Tony Bannister | September 2022
Evaluating the Advantages and Challenges of the National Analysis System
Bureau Research Report No. 070
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PDF 2.7 MB

Chun-Hsu Su, Christian Stassen, Emma Howard, Harvey Ye, Samuel Bell, Acacia Pepler, Andrew J. Dowdy, Simon O. Tucker, Charmaine Franklin | September 2022
BARPA: New development of ACCESS-based regional climate modelling for Australian Climate Service
Bureau Research Report No. 069
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PDF 0.4 MB

Eun-Pa Lim, Ghyslaine Boschat, Irina Rudeva and Chris Lucas | September 2022
A review of Antarctic stratospheric ozone trends and variability and their impacts on surface climate
Bureau Research Report No. 068
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PDF 2.3 MB

Chun-Hsu Su, Susan Rennie, Imtiaz Dharssi, Joshua Torrance, Andy Smith, Tan Le, Peter Steinle, Christian Stassen, Rob A. Warren, Carl Wang, John Le Marshall | August 2022
BARRA2: Development of the next-generation Australian regional atmospheric reanalysis
Bureau Research Report No. 067
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PDF 3.2 MB

Xiaobing Zhou and Oscar Alves | July 2022
Evaluating Sea Ice in ACCESS-S2
Bureau Research Report No. 066
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PDF 3.5 MB

Christopher A. Pickett-Heaps & Elisabeth Vogel | July 2022
Seasonal Hydrological Ensemble Forecasts for Australia using AWRA-L — Hindcast Verification Report
Bureau Research Report No. 065
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PDF 0.7 MB

Robert Taggart | June 2022
Assessing calibration when predictive distributions have discontinuities
Bureau Research Report No. 064
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PDF 25.2 MB

Tim Cowan, Matthew C. Wheeler, Debra Hudson, Catherine de Burgh-Day, Morwenna Griffiths, Griffith Young | June 2022
Skill of ACCESS-S2 in predicting rainfall bursts over Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 063
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PDF 6.2 MB

Caroline Poulsen, Leon Majewski | May 2022
Gridded satellite solar observations project: Implementation of Heliosat-4 and the application of bias correction.
Bureau Research Report No. 062
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PDF 2.0 MB

Sri Srikanthan, Ulrike Bende-Michl, Louise Wilson, Wendy Sharples, Elisabeth Vogel, Justin R. Peter, Pandora K. Hope, Sean Loh, Zaved Khan, Vico Duong, Jake Roussis, Andrew Dowdy, Alison Oke, Vjekoslav Matic, Margot Turner, Greg Kociuba, Steven Thomas, Ali Azarnivand, Chantal Donnelly and Elisabetta Carrara | April 2022
National Hydrological Projections - Design and Methodology
Bureau Research Report No. 061
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PDF 3.3 MB

Ali Azarnivand, Wendy Sharples, Ulrike Bende-Michl, Ashkan Shokri, Sri Srikanthan, Andrew Frost, Stuart Baron-Hay | February 2022
Analysing the uncertainty of modelling hydrologic states of AWRA-L – understanding impacts from parameter uncertainty for the National Hydrological Projections
Bureau Research Report No. 060
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PDF 0.4 MB
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PDF 2.9 MB

Andrew Frost, Ashkan Shokri, Ali Azarnivand, Greg Keir | September 2021
Spatial root choke prediction modelling for Sydney Water: Technical report describing methodology and results
Bureau Research Report No. 058
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PDF 5.6 MB

Chun-Hsu Su, Harvey Ye, Andrew Dowdy, Acacia Pepler, Christian Stassen, Andrew Brown, Simon O. Tucker, Peter J. Steinle | July 2021
Towards ACCESS-based regional climate projections for Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 057
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PDF 5.8 MB

Samuel Bell, Savin Chand, Andrew Dowdy, Hamish Ramsay, Anil Deo, Chun-Hsu Su, Andrew Brown and Harvey Ye | July 2021
Australian tropical cyclone-induced extreme coastal winds in climate datasets
Bureau Research Report No. 056
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PDF 2.4 MB

Andrew Dowdy, Andrew Brown, Acacia Pepler, Marcus Thatcher, Tony Rafter, Jason Evans, Hua Ye, Chun-Hsu Su, Samuel Bell and Christian Stassen | July 2021
Extreme temperature, wind and bushfire weather projections using a standardised method
Bureau Research Report No. 055
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PDF 5.6 MB

Roseanna McKay, Ghyslaine Boschat, Irina Rudeva, Andrew Dowdy, Surendra Rauniyar, Zoe Gillett, Ariaan Purich, Acacia Pepler, Pandora Hope | July 2021
A review of the observed changes in the Southern Hemisphere circulation and their links to rainfall changes in south-eastern Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 054
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PDF 3.1 MB

Irina Rudeva, Ghyslaine Boschat, Roseanna McKay, Acacia Pepler, Andrew Dowdy, Pandora Hope | July 2021
Weather systems related to wet and dry extremes
Bureau Research Report No. 053
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PDF 0.6 MB

Catherine de Burgh-Day, Francis Dillon | July 2021
A hybrid parametrisation for precipitation probability of exceedance data
Bureau Research Report No. 052
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PDF 12.1 MB

Stefan Zieger and Diana J. M. Greenslade | May 2021
A multiple-resolution global wave model – AUSWAVE-G3
Bureau Research Report No. 051
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PDF 0.7 MB

Robert Taggart | December 2020
Point forecasts and forecast evaluation with generalised Huber loss
Bureau Research Report No. 050
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PDF 1.7 MB

Doerte Jakob, Luke Osburn, Pandora Hope, Lynette Smith | November 2020
Short-duration, heavy rainfall is intensifying, but not everywhere, and not all the time – A literature review
Bureau Research Report No. 049
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PDF 3.4 MB

Hongyan Zhu, Guomin Wang, Beth Ebert, Diana Greenslade, Catherine de Burgh-Day, Paul Fox-Hughes, François Delage, Carla Mooney, Andrew Frost, Rachel Law, Caroline Poulsen, Mandy Mitreski and Ian Smith (editors) | November 2020
A Land of Storms, Floods and Bushfires: Seamless and Integrated Forecasting – Abstracts of the Bureau of Meteorology Annual R&D Workshop, 23 November to 26 November 2020, Melbourne, Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 048
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PDF 4.5 MB

Susan Rennie | October 2020
Direct Assimilation of Radar Reflectivity from Australian Dual-Polarisation Radars
Bureau Research Report No. 047
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PDF 6.9 MB

Editors: Alan Seed, Aurora Bell, Peter Steinle, Susan Rennie | May 2019
Forecasting Demonstration Project - Sydney 2014
Bureau Research Report No. 046
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PDF 5.5 MB

Carlos Velasco-Forero, Jayaram Pudashine, Mark Curtis, and Alan Seed | September 2020
STEPS3 – ADV – VERIFICATION REPORT
Bureau Research Report No. 045
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PDF 2.9 MB

Josephine R. Brown, Robert A. Colman, Sugata Narsey, Aurel F. Moise | July 2020
Sensitivity of Australian Monsoon Rainfall to Aerosol Direct and Indirect Effects under a Range of Emission Scenarios
Bureau Research Report No. 044
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PDF 2.5 MB

Grant Smith, Claire Spillman | May 2020
Ocean Temperature Outlooks – Coral Bleaching Risk: Great Barrier Reef and Australian waters
Bureau Research Report No. 043
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PDF 0.9 MB

Catherine de Burgh-Day, Morwenna Griffiths, Hailin Yan, Griffith Young, Debbie Hudson, Oscar Alves | April 2020
An adaptable framework for development and real time production of experimental sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast products
Bureau Research Report No. 042
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PDF 1.8 MB

Alex Evans, David Jones, Rob Smalley, Stephen Lellyett | June 2020 (Updated)
An enhanced gridded rainfall analysis scheme for Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 041
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PDF 3.3 MB

Diana Greenslade, Leon Majewski, Linden Ashcroft, Jaclyn Brown, Christine Chung, Chantal Donnelly, Justin Freeman, Deryn Griffiths, Val Jemmeson and Ian Smith (editors) | November 2019
Forecasting for the Future: New science for improved weather, water, ocean and climate services - Abstracts of the Bureau of Meteorology Annual R&D Workshop, 25 November to 28 November 2019, Melbourne, Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 040
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PDF 1.5 MB

Diana J. M. Greenslade and Stewart C. R. Allen | October 2019
On the optimal amplitude thresholds for tsunami warning
Bureau Research Report No. 039
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PDF 1.5 MB

Bodo Zeschke, Mike Willmott, Agnes Lane and Anthony Rea | October 2019
How Himawari-8 data has revolutionised the work of Bureau of Meteorology Forecasters
Bureau Research Report No. 038
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PDF 1.6 MB

Surendra P. Rauniyar, Scott B. Power and Pandora Hope | September 2019
A literature review of past and projected changes in Victorian rainfall and their causes, and climate baselines
Bureau Research Report No. 037
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PDF 1.0 MB

Richard A. Dare and Rodney Potts | August 2019
A sensitivity study of the fog fraction scheme employed in the ACCESS NWP models
Bureau Research Report No. 036
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PDF 14.1 MB

Richard A. Dare and Rodney Potts | August 2019
Sensitivity and tuning of the visibility scheme employed in the ACCESS NWP models
Bureau Research Report No. 035
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PDF 6.7 MB

Andrew Brown and Andrew Dowdy | August 2019
Extreme wind gusts and thunderstorms in South Australia analysed from 1979-2017
Bureau Research Report No. 034
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PDF 3.4 MB

Belinda Roux | December 2017
ACCESS Sensitivity Experiments for fog cases at Perth Airport
Bureau Research Report No. 033
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PDF 1.6 MB
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PDF 1.8 MB

Diana Greenslade, Andy Taylor, Justin Freeman, Holly Sims, Eric Schulz, Frank Colberg, Prasanth Divakaran, Mirko Velic and Jeff Kepert | October 2018
A First Generation Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Forecast System Part 1: Hydrodynamic model
Bureau Research Report No. 031
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PDF 5.1 MB

Keith Day, Michael Naughton, Saima Aijaz, Surendra Rauniyar, Grant Smith, Carlos Velasco-Forero and Meelis Zidikheri (editors) | November 2018
Ensemble Methods: Nowcasting to Climate Change - Abstracts of the Bureau of Meteorology Annual R&D Workshop, 26th November to 30th November 2018, Melbourne, Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 030
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PDF 1.5 MB

Yimin Ma, Gary Dietachmayer, Peter Steinle, Wenming Lu, Lawrence Rikus, Dean Sgarbossa | April 2018
Diagnose Wind Gusts from High Resolution NWP Modelling over Mountainous Regions
Bureau Research Report No. 029
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PDF 10.5 MB

Stewart Allen, Diana Greenslade, Frank Colberg, Justin Freeman and Eric Schulz | January 2018
A first-generation national storm surge forecast system
Bureau Research Report No. 028
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PDF 1.9 MB

Belinda Roux | September 2017
Case studies for fog at Melbourne Airport
Bureau Research Report No. 027
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PDF 0.7 MB

Imtiaz Dharssi and Vinodkumar | October 2017
JASMIN: A prototype high resolution soil moisture analysis system for Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 026
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PDF 6.7 MB
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PDF 6.8 MB

Dare, R.A. | September 2017
Evaluation of numerical model forecasts of visibility and fog at Australian Airports
Bureau Research Report No. 024
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PDF 3.9 MB

Zhao, M., Zhang, H-Q. and Dharssi, I. | June 2017
Impact of Land-surface Initialization on ACCESS-S1 and Comparison with POAMA
Bureau Research Report No. 023
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PDF 2.0 MB

Vinod Kumar & Imtiaz Dharssi | May 2017
Evaluation of daily soil moisture deficit used in Australian forest fire danger rating system
Bureau Research Report No. 022
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PDF 1.7 MB

Deryn Griffiths, Harry Jack, Michael Foley, Ioanna Ioannou and Maoyuan Liu | April 2017
Advice for Automation of Forecasts: A Framework
Bureau Research Report No. 021
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PDF 2.1 MB

Hudson, D., Shi, L., Alves, O., Zhao, M., Hendon, H.H. and Young, G. | March 2017
Performance of ACCESS-S1 for key horticultural regions
Bureau Research Report No. 020
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PDF 6.9 MB

Lim, E.-P., Hendon, H.H., Hudson, D., Zhao, M., Shi, L., Alves O. and Young, G. | October 2016
Evaluation of the ACCESS-S1 hindcasts for prediction of Victorian seasonal rainfall
Bureau Research Report No. 019
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PDF 2.6 MB

Guomin Wang, Pandora Hope, Eun-Pa Lim, Harry H Hendon and Julie M Arblaster. | November 2016
Three Methods for the Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events
Bureau Research Report No. 018
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PDF 6.5 MB

Peter Steinle, Imtiaz Dharssi, Georg Gottwald, Val Jemmeson, Jeffrey Kepert, John Le Marshall, Jin Lee, Terence O'Kane, Pavel Sakov, Yonghong Yin and Keith Day (Eds.) | November 2016
Data assimilation – Abstracts of the tenth CAWCR Workshop 5-9 December 2016, Melbourne, Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 017
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PDF 3.7 MB

Hudson, D. and Marshall, A.G. | September 2016
Extending the Bureau's heatwave forecast to multi-week timescales
Bureau Research Report No. 016
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PDF 9.7 MB

Hope, P., Timbal, B., Hendon, H. and Ekström, M. (eds.) | September 2016
Victorian Climate Initiative final annual report 2015-16
Bureau Research Report No. 015
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PDF 3.7 MB

Bertrand Timbal, Marie Ekström, Sonya Fiddes, Michael Grose, Dewi Kirono, Eun-Pa Lim, Chris Lucas and Louise Wilson | May 2016
Climate change science and Victoria
Bureau Research Report No. 014
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PDF 4.1 MB

Li Shi, Debra Hudson, Oscar Alves, Griffith Young, Craig MacLachlan | March 2016
Comparison of GloSea5-GC2 skill with POAMA-2 for key horticultural regions
Bureau Research Report No. 013
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PDF 6.3 MB

Harry H. Hendon, Mei Zhao, Andrew Marshall, Eun-pa Lim, Jing-Jia Luo, Oscar Alves and Craig MacLachlan | December 2015
Comparison of GLOSEA5 and POAMA2.4 Hindcasts 1996-2009
Bureau Research Report No. 011
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PDF 14.4 MB

Xiaobing Zhou, Jing-Jia Luo, Oscar Alves and Harry Hendon | December 2015
Comparison of GloSea5 and POAMA2.4 Hindcasts 1996-2009: Ocean Focus
Bureau Research Report No. 010
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PDF 3.7 MB

Vinod Kumar and Imtiaz Dharssi | December 2015
Sources of soil dryness measures and forecasts for fire danger rating
Bureau Research Report No. 009
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PDF 1.2 MB

Hongyan Zhu and Gary Dietachmayer | December 2015
Improving ACCESS-C convection settings
Bureau Research Report No. 008
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PDF 1.0 MB

Hongyan Zhu and Rachel Stratton | December 2015
Effects of the changing heating profile associated with melting layers
Bureau Research Report No. 007
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PDF 1.1 MB

Richard A. Dare and Noel E. Davidson | December 2015
Seasonal distributions of daily heavy rain events over Australia
Bureau Research Report No. 006
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PDF 3.6 MB

Hope, P., Timbal, B., Hendon, H. and Ekström, M. (eds.) | October 2015
Victorian Climate Initiative annual report 2014-15
Bureau Research Report No. 005
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PDF 7.8 MB

Melanie Webb and Paul Fox-Hughes | July 2015
An analysis of extreme rainfall in northern Tasmania, 12-14 January 2011
Bureau Research Report No. 003
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PDF 4.1 MB

Xiaobing Zhou, Oscar Alves, Anthony C. Hirst, Simon J. Marsland and Daohua Bi | July 2015
The role of Karimata Strait Throughflow and Makassar Strait Throughflow on the Indo-Pacific Climate
Bureau Research Report No. 002
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PDF 17.0 MB

Debra Hudson, Andrew G. Marshall, Oscar Alves, Li Shi and Griffith Young | June 2015
Forecasting upcoming extreme heat on multi-week to seasonal timescales: POAMA experimental forecast products
Bureau Research Report No. 001
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