Kevin Tory

Senior Research Scientist

Current work and responsibilities

My research falls into two main areas: Atmospheric dynamics and Tropical Cyclone (TC) climatology. The former includes TC formation, East Coast Lows, forest fire weather, and Pyrocumulus formation dynamics and thermodynamics.

I developed a TC tracking and detection scheme for use in coarse resolution numerical models, which has been applied to reanalysis data, CMIP5 climate models, and the Bureau's weather prediction and seasonal prediction NWP models.

Career background

  • 1992: Monash University, B. Sci. (Hons)
  • 1997: Monash University, PhD (Atmospheric Science)
Professional positions
  • 1997–1999: Postdoctoral Fellow (Atmospheric Science); University of Melbourne and University of Northern British Columbia.
  • 1999–2007: Model Development Group (BMRC/CAWCR; Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia).
  • 2008–present: High Impact Weather Team (CAWCR/R&D; Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia).

Selected publications

  • Tory, K. J., H. Ye and R. A. Dare, 2017: Understanding the geographic distribution of Tropical Cyclone formation for applications in climate models. Clim. Dyn. Conditionally Accepted.
  • Tory, K. J. and R. A. Dare, 2015: Sea surface temperature thresholds for tropical cyclone formation. J. clim., 28, 8171—8183.
  • Tory, K. J., R. A. Dare, N. E. Davidson, J. L. McBride and S. S. Chand 2013: The importance of low-deformation vorticity in tropical cyclone formation. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13, 2115—2132.
  • Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, R. A. Dare and J. L. McBride, 2013: An assessment of a model-, grid- and basin-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme in selected CMIP3 global climate models. J. Clim. 26, 5508-5522.
  • Tory, K. J., S. S. Chand, J. L. McBride, H. Ye, R. A. Dare, 2013: Projected changes in late 21st century tropical cyclone frequency in thirteen coupled climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. J. Clim., 26, 9946—9959.
  • Tory, K. J., J. D. Kepert, J. A. Sippel and C. M. Nguyen 2012: On the use of potential vorticity tendency equations for diagnosing atmospheric dynamics in numerical models. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 942—960.

Kevin Tory

  • Atmospheric Dynamics
  • Tropical Cyclone formation
  • Tropical Cyclone climatology
  • Tropical Cyclones in a changing climate
  • Thermodynamics of Pyrocumulus
- Google Scholar page
- Full CV